Tweet

Kelly Brown

2 Jan, 13 tweets, 5 min read

https://twitter.com/DFisman/status/1345173515763392516

I believe we're now in danger of full Canadawide "hard-lockdown" for at least 3 months. This is the appalling #COVIDZero strategy unofficially supported by the Science Table, rebranded as #CanadianShield. Economy/society won't make it 'til Spring. ⬇️is based on garbage analysis!

https://twitter.com/DFisman/status/1345173515763392516

This is the thin, bankrupt economic analysis the group puts forth, which contains no analytical rigor, and assumes the economy can bounce immediately to full capacity and the "end" of a lockdown. Utter absurdity. drive.google.com/file/d/1ZDcal5…

There is no evidence of a deadly epidemic in the community....

Hospital admissions for COVID and ILI are below expected for this time of year, outside of the GTA..

@DFisman

This thread illustrates the potential conflicts of interest and apparant inconsistent thinking on the part of @DFisman, the abovementioned supporter of #CanadianShield.

https://twitter.com/kishkitsch/status/1344548775520559104?s=20

https://twitter.com/rubiconcapital_/status/1344308128842723333?s=20

The analysis references the success in Australia with Melbourne ultra-hard, damaging lockdowns as a reference point... its bankrupt because evidence suggests COVID may have already circulated...

https://twitter.com/rubiconcapital_/status/1344308128842723333?s=20

https://twitter.com/rubiconcapital_/status/1343065887767732224?s=20

Where is the evidence of symptomatic illness in the community?

https://twitter.com/rubiconcapital_/status/1343065887767732224?s=20

There are enough vaccines in Ontario for 2 doses for EVERY Long-Term Care resident in the province! This would reduce COVID19 mortality by over 70%+ in the province.

https://twitter.com/NathanStall/status/1344353498570379264?s=20

Enough vaccines in the province TODAY to protect the most vulnerable...

https://twitter.com/NathanStall/status/1344353498570379264?s=20

https://twitter.com/rubiconcapital_/status/1342514506136739840?s=20

#CanadianShield?

https://twitter.com/rubiconcapital_/status/1342514506136739840?s=20

https://twitter.com/JeanmarcBenoit/status/1340140040291233792?s=20

https://twitter.com/JeanmarcBenoit/status/1340140040291233792?s=20

https://twitter.com/rubiconcapital_/status/1335752699778916352?s=20

Lastly... there is ZERO justification for further lockdowns for a virus with this mortality profile... it is utter lunacy to think otherwise. Happy New Year.

https://twitter.com/rubiconcapital_/status/1335752699778916352?s=20

https://twitter.com/rubiconcapital_/status/1341793004944826368

Addendum... more absurdity from the Ontario Science Table here..

https://twitter.com/rubiconcapital_/status/1341793004944826368

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More from @rubiconcapital_

Kelly Brown

@rubiconcapital_

3 Jan

@GlobalCanadaOrg

"Global Canada” (@GlobalCanadaOrg) appears to be the funder of the #CanadianShield strategy (@csc_canada_), essentially a #COVIDZero rebrand, supported by Ont Science Table members. It seeks extended, hard-lockdowns Canadawide.

Global Canada is funded by Bill Gates’ Foundation…

@RobertGreenhill

Global Canada (“GC”) is run by Executive Chairman, Robert Greenhill (@RobertGreenhill). Mr. Greenhill is a former high-ranking official at the World Economic Forum, serving as Managing Director and Chief Business Officer for 6 years until 2014, when he founded Global Canada…

Global Canada (“GC”) was founded in 2015 and has since received three grants as disclosed on the Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation website. The first two were in November 2015/2016 and total a modest ~$1.3m…

(more on the 3rd, more recent grant in a moment)

Read 22 tweets

Kelly Brown

@rubiconcapital_

2 Jan

@csc_canada_

Quick summary of the total *garbage* economic “analysis” by @csc_canada_ and the #CanadianShield folks (aka #COVIDZero). This is their “evidence” for more damaging, widespread lockdowns in Canada, which I now believe are inevitable given this new PR push….

https://twitter.com/DFisman/status/1345433077246537730

It starts with a completely made up, fancy acronym called “STUDIO” as the name for the “model", to presumably give it an air of legitimacy...

It was “completed quickly” and designed to inform policymakers (so it will have the ear of government)…

Read 12 tweets

Kelly Brown

@rubiconcapital_

23 Dec 20

The unconvincing analysis from your Ontario #COVID19 Science Table; a quick thread…

Michigan has been used as a reference point by the Science Table since October 9th….

And again, in the October 29th update…
(case growth not yet worrisome)

Read 12 tweets

Kelly Brown

@rubiconcapital_

20 Dec 20

1/ Grab a cup of coffee

We are now seeing striking correlations between (i) the # of COVID19 tests and (ii) % positivity within/across certain important individual PHUs in Ontario.

This has implications for local lockdown policy, and for the global PCR/false-positive debate...

@profnfenton

2/

If you are not in Ontario, but involved with / following the PCR debate, this is still of interest to you. We are seeing similar testing/positivity correlation dynamics as seen in the UK. This thread borrows/builds substantially from @profnfenton here:

https://twitter.com/profnfenton/status/1340032960284794881?s=20

3/

Upfront caveat: correlation does not mean causation, and it is difficult to draw definitive conclusions from simple testing data. However, it is important to determine whether lockdown policy (for its unmeasurable collateral damage) is informed by false/flawed test results.

Read 27 tweets

Kelly Brown

@rubiconcapital_

15 Dec 20

1/

Vaccine debate now brewing on (i) who gets it first, and (ii) vaccine rates required for herd-immunity & getting back to normal.

Public Health says no normal ‘til vax rates are 60-70% (*assumed* herd threshold).

The Toronto data says perhaps just 10.9%...

Let’s explore…

2/

I’ll get to the data in a moment, but first, I present two opposing viewpoints, then you can decide what the data says makes the most sense…

3a/

1st view, Dr. Yaffe today in Ontario:

“its gonna take months before…significant % of the pop vaxx’d--usually for infectious diseases 60-70% of the pop is needed for herd immunity; we’re not gonna get there until probably the summer”… 22m:30s:

Read 16 tweets

Kelly Brown

@rubiconcapital_

12 Dec 20

@katewand

Link thread of the powerful & thought-provoking short video essays produced by @katewand on lockdown/COVID culture. She's now produced 4 of these incredible videos to date, & frankly I’m a bit shocked her following hasn’t grown faster (although she’s now at 2.3K subs on YT).👇

@stacey_rudin

1. “Lockdown: The Right Side of History”

(essay by @stacey_rudin)

“In the COVID debate, there is a mainstream, 'popular' narrative, and a competing, 'unpopular' narrative — a 'fringe.' The former exploits the common, mediocre desire to be 'popular.'"