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Yaneer Bar-Yam Profile picture
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11 Feb, 4 tweets, 3 min read
Laos reports continued success in their Zero Covid strategy, with a total of 45 cases since the beginning of the pandemic and only one case in the last two weeks.

Part of their success is due to having strict travel restrictions, with 14-day quarantines upon arrival.
Yesterday Djibouti reported 9 new cases, 0 deaths, and 361 tests. They have reported ~6k cases and 63 total covid deaths to date, with only 2 deaths since the start of this year.

reliefweb.int/sites/reliefwe…
Many states are reporting significant progress in US. Daily cases and hospitalizations are extremely high, but falling quickly. Deaths are relatively constant at 3,000 per day.

See more: endcoronavirus.org/states
Canada reports progress in almost every region, with the exception of Newfoundland and Labrador, which reported a new high of 53 new cases today. Most of those cases were under 20 yo, and there are 32 additional presumed positive cases identified by rapid tests.

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More from @yaneerbaryam

Yaneer Bar-Yam Profile picture
12 Feb
Yesterday Israel reported 6,010 new cases and 41 deaths. Despite leading the world in vaccine doses per person, progress toward zero is slow.

90% of people older than 60 are now vaccinated with one dose, 80% have received two doses.

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Switzerland reports progress, with cases now less than ⅕ of peak. Enough to move them into our “nearly there” category on EndCoronavirus.org/countries

Congratulations! ImageImageImageImage
Denmark reported 470 cases and 11 deaths yesterday. Despite progress, cases of the more transmissible and more severe UK variant are likely still growing. We are hoping they gain control if it too.

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Read 4 tweets
Yaneer Bar-Yam Profile picture
11 Feb
Waiting for Biden

We’re waiting. Waiting for the leadership that will allow us to live our lives again.

We have been living with COVID for so long, it often feels like we have forgotten how to live without it.

1/
Imagine hugging friends again, traveling freely, starting large bar tabs, dancing, going to the theatre and to concerts. Imagine all schools, universities, family events, and sports games happening without restrictions.

2/
Despite the fact that most of the world’s best scientists today are working in America, despite the fact that America has produced most of the vaccines for COVID-19 so far, despite that, a long period of risk, restrictions, and uncertainty stretches before us across 2021.

3/
Read 27 tweets
Yaneer Bar-Yam Profile picture
9 Feb
Open Letter on behalf of the Edmonton Independent Hospitality Community

"We are calling on all levels of government to adopt a Covid Zero plan. This will stop the cycle of bleed & bandage, and focus on a long term solution for real economic recovery.

#ZeroCovid #CovidZero
1/
"Our goal is and always has been for hospitality operators to get back to a point where we can meaningfully contribute to rebuilding the economy.

2/
"Adopting a Covid Zero strategy has worked to drastically reduce and in some cases eliminate Covid in other jurisdictions such as South Korea, Taiwan, Vietnam, New Zealand, Australia and even here in the Atlantic provinces of Canada.

3/
Read 11 tweets
Yaneer Bar-Yam Profile picture
9 Feb
Singapore continues to report effective control: today 20 imported quarantined cases and 2 community cases. No covid deaths since November 2020. Congrats!
Denmark has reported significant progress since December, cases are down by ~10X from peak.

However, progress in the last 10 days has come to a halt, with daily cases leveling off around 400.
New York State reports some progress, with new cases decreasing by over 30%, hospitalizations and deaths just starting to decrease.

Also, 9% of New Yorkers received at least one vaccine dose.
Read 4 tweets
Yaneer Bar-Yam Profile picture
8 Feb
Cases in South Africa have decreased significantly since mid-January. They are now reporting less than ⅕ of their peak! Enough for them to transition from our “Needs Action” category to “Nearly There”. Congrats!

See more: EndCoronavirus.org/countries
Canada reports some progress, primarily in Ontario and Quebec. Yesterday Canada reported 3,264 cases.

Deaths remain high, but are decreasing. Their second ‘wave’ has now caused more deaths than the first wave in spring.
Atlantic Canada is also reporting progress.

Case in the last two weeks:

New Brunswick 233
Prince Edward Island 3
Nova Scotia 13
Newfoundland and Labrador 17
Read 4 tweets
Yaneer Bar-Yam Profile picture
7 Feb
How Complexity Science can help us understand pandemics and other wicked policy problems

"..let's say you go out to your car and somehow you have amnesia. And your brain is fine, but you don't remember what driving is about..

1/
staatslabor.ch/en/transcript-…
"The question is: what would you do in order to figure out what to do?..Maybe you would..try to pull on the hood or pull on the doors. Maybe you'd get a door open. But you probably might end up in the backseat just like you might end up in the front seat.

2/
"The purpose of complexity science, as I understand it, is to figure out what are the control variables in a problem. So if you knew that the steering wheel and the brakes and gas and the gearshift were the things that you need to control..you would know how to drive a car.

3/
Read 14 tweets

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