Singapore continues to report effective control: today 20 imported quarantined cases and 2 community cases. No covid deaths since November 2020. Congrats!
Denmark has reported significant progress since December, cases are down by ~10X from peak.

However, progress in the last 10 days has come to a halt, with daily cases leveling off around 400.
New York State reports some progress, with new cases decreasing by over 30%, hospitalizations and deaths just starting to decrease.

Also, 9% of New Yorkers received at least one vaccine dose.
Uruguay had an extremely successful handling of the pandemic until October, when cases grew exponentially. Recently, they have reported progress, with daily cases now roughly half of the peak in the 7-day average.

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More from @yaneerbaryam

9 Feb
Open Letter on behalf of the Edmonton Independent Hospitality Community

"We are calling on all levels of government to adopt a Covid Zero plan. This will stop the cycle of bleed & bandage, and focus on a long term solution for real economic recovery.

#ZeroCovid #CovidZero
1/
"Our goal is and always has been for hospitality operators to get back to a point where we can meaningfully contribute to rebuilding the economy.

2/
"Adopting a Covid Zero strategy has worked to drastically reduce and in some cases eliminate Covid in other jurisdictions such as South Korea, Taiwan, Vietnam, New Zealand, Australia and even here in the Atlantic provinces of Canada.

3/
Read 11 tweets
8 Feb
Cases in South Africa have decreased significantly since mid-January. They are now reporting less than ⅕ of their peak! Enough for them to transition from our “Needs Action” category to “Nearly There”. Congrats!

See more: EndCoronavirus.org/countries
Canada reports some progress, primarily in Ontario and Quebec. Yesterday Canada reported 3,264 cases.

Deaths remain high, but are decreasing. Their second ‘wave’ has now caused more deaths than the first wave in spring.
Atlantic Canada is also reporting progress.

Case in the last two weeks:

New Brunswick 233
Prince Edward Island 3
Nova Scotia 13
Newfoundland and Labrador 17
Read 4 tweets
7 Feb
How Complexity Science can help us understand pandemics and other wicked policy problems

"..let's say you go out to your car and somehow you have amnesia. And your brain is fine, but you don't remember what driving is about..

1/

staatslabor.ch/en/transcript-…
"The question is: what would you do in order to figure out what to do?..Maybe you would..try to pull on the hood or pull on the doors. Maybe you'd get a door open. But you probably might end up in the backseat just like you might end up in the front seat.

2/
"The purpose of complexity science, as I understand it, is to figure out what are the control variables in a problem. So if you knew that the steering wheel and the brakes and gas and the gearshift were the things that you need to control..you would know how to drive a car.

3/
Read 14 tweets
7 Feb
The US can do better

Three thousand people are dying every day. We can do better.

1/
Hospitals are overflowing and many go untreated. We can do better,

Our doctors and nurses see the worst suffering they have seen, and we aren’t holding our loved ones. We can do better.

2/
The vaccine rollout keeps hitting snags. We can do better.

Schools are not working, we are not protecting our children or our teachers, and We can do better.

3/
Read 9 tweets
7 Feb
Bhutan reports 4 days of zero cases, successfully crushing their recent outbreak. Their Zero Covid strategy has proven to be successful.

According to the Prime Minister, they plan to vaccinate their population all in one week, starting mid-March.
Good News! Belize now averages 19 new cases per day with test positivity rate of ~3%.

They join our Winner’s Circle at EndCoronavirus.org/countries!

Congratulations!
Iceland reduced cases further in January, now averaging 3 new cases per day. Yesterday, only one domestic case was reported, which was already in quarantine. They have now delivered 5 doses of vaccine per 100 people.

Well done, Iceland!
Read 4 tweets
6 Feb
Two Radical Proposals for ‘Getting to Zero’

"Health experts around the world are now re-evaluating their nations’ responses..as “mitigation policies” have failed to contain two waves of the pandemic — with a..wave of highly infectious variants on the way.
thetyee.ca/Analysis/2021/…
"By now every[one] knows what COVID mitigation looks like: imprecise lockdowns with no real targets followed by ill-timed openings that result in more exponential grief.

2/
"And then politicians, who look as dazed as Bill Murray in Groundhog Day, call for another round of lockdowns with no strategy and no goals.

"It’s a policy of constant déjà vu — all pain, no gain and more COVID-19.

3/
Read 28 tweets

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