for the amateurs/new followers interested in #silver space

just a quick manual on how to play catch-up, as my analysis is focused on LT-followers.

we are playing this #silver bull cycle with both physical, and silver miners.

15% is in physical…

best ways
1. coins & bars (sold out or very high premiums)
2. for dollar investors $PSLV (avoid $SLV)
3. for euro investors i prefer Kinesis as you avoid dollar risk Euro…

most important for big gains, is a well diversified portfolio in #silver miners.

i avoid ETF's as $SILJ as the performance is inferior to a basket.

i prefer juniors as they will outperform majors in a unleveraged way by at least 2x

fav. majors are $AG - $HL - $FSM - $CDE - $PAAS - $EXK

fav. juniors are listed here…

it's important to have at least 10

if you have $25k or more, i would play the top 25
if you have $50k, i would play the whole PF

all depending on brokers costs
it's important to get acces to Toronto TSX for this Golden Decade.

otherwise you wil keep missing opportunities. we are in front of a decade long bull market.

most have a US ticker on otc as well.

Interactive Brokers is an example (not possible for 2-3 CSE picks)

if you trade 7 figures, diversify is what you need, to all my portfolio's for example (silver 70% - gold 20% - commodities 10%)

if you want to make huge money in this bull market, exploration is the place to be imo, this will outperform producers over time.

why? if we to $ 2500, the landscape will change for the coming decade. even if we retrace (to $2000) - exploration companies will go through the roof on a renewed #silverfever and #goldfever rush

timing becomes less important, a lot of our picks are building value everyday

if you trade bigger ($500K or more, 7-8 figures) - and you are interested in the precious metals sector: i would recommend the Crescat (@Crescat_Capital) fund as the nr 1 option to go.

they have been on top of the sector early and are positioned for the biggest returns LT


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More from @TheLastDegree

23 Jan
#Gold Hold & Stay Strong.

A thread.

The two main drivers of #gold are real yields and M2 money supply.

I want to show you some major bigger cycles, blended in with Elliot Waves and Money Supply.

Look at the 8 year #gold cycle showing a very clear picture.

Our framework suggests 1 or 2major upwaves in #gold cycle, before a retrace

This top would coincidence with an important stock market top, which also asks for a final blow-off

An event driven by M2 money printing

The next gold peak suggests to be important.

Important equals parabolic.

Enforced by EW. (Gold will make a 5 while Silver will make a violent 3 since it bottomed only March 2020)

It's takes a long time and can continue.

Fact is #silver is trading higher as Sept 24

Read 16 tweets
22 Jan
In a whipsaw market, timing tools on shorter timeframes become less reliable. No need to make accurate predictions on before key levels are taken out.

No need to get depressed, wait for resolution.

Reshuffling weights in the PF was a good idea for the long run. I have more time for simultanious learning.

Leverage is down to a negligible allocation at 6%, down from 13%.

Physical is set⚡️

Amateurs tend to think that when a roadmap isn’t playing out NOW- immediately, they give up or lower expectations.

Exact the opposite is true.

When nobody expects, a trending move will develop and for many months longer as in our original roadmaps. We adapt along the way.

Read 4 tweets
20 Jan
i still remember April 24 2011, it was eastern sunday

i had been on a backcountry ski trip, for 2 full weeks, up North, without connection to the outside world

i didn't had a smartphone
at the hostel reception, there was 1 old Pentium available for checking email

I had been in a position for many months, long dated agq (2x) calls since august 2010. Leverage on leverage. All in on silver metal. No miners.

After struggling a bit, I managed to open my account.

It showed 7 digits for the 1st time ever.

I managed it, because I was away

And because we had a clear, memory target from the 1980.

Soon, we will in blue sky territories

Above $50


where will this ride end... ?
Read 4 tweets
2 Jan
Let's look again at the 2005-2008 two parabolic advances in $gold. first, read yesterday's thread if you haven't:

Today i want to look what some major miners did - between the 2 parabolic gold advances: how did they act?

Getting more historic context in the minds, will allow us to navigate calmer the stormy waters ahead, and HOW we want to manage them.

my basic framework is we will see a parabolic metal top mid 2021, followed by another parabolic metal top early 2023.

Now what did some miners do in a same situation: the 2006-2008 timeframe.

Notice the $GDX was launched exactly a few weeks after the 2006 top 😉

Read 9 tweets
1 Jan
How high can #gold run during this next intermediate cycle?

my current target stands at $2440 by May

targets are not exit points: the combination of a lot of signals/ratio's are. we adapt along the way

an 38% is fairly high for a 6month cycle
averages are 20.6% to 48.6%

the average is 30% = equal to $2300

however look at the very LT chart posted yesterday

we just had a breakout above a new high, after a multiyear bear market and advance phase

the last 5months, we backtested the breakout from this base (the red dot)

Read 7 tweets
22 Nov 20
watching closely $silver next week

while $gold futures made a lower low, the $silver low of Sept 24 is still holding with over 11% higher

this is a serious anomaly in cycle trading, not seen since... August 2010

back then in august 2010 $silver found it's low fast after 16 days, while gold needed 34 (!) days more to set the final intermediate cycle low, all those 7 trading weeks $silver refused to fall... something was brewing.

August 24, an 8 month rally started adding 178%

we have an almost identical setup now.

$Silver made it's low Sept 24, $gold made a new low more as 32 days later, while $silver kept grinding.

Something is brewing... again.
Read 4 tweets

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