1/ Being interviewed by @CurleyWriter got me thinking more about how age-related social network features affect #SARSCoV2 spread...
https://twitter.com/curleywriter/status/1364228062527721473
2/ Here’s a new pet theory I have for why Florida and California are #COVID19 outliers in different directions (CA worse than expected, FL faring better than expected*):
Differences in typical social networks of older people in each state
Differences in typical social networks of older people in each state
3/ We know that parts of California, which suffered terribly in recent #SARSCoV2 surge, have the highest levels of household crowding in the country...
https://twitter.com/whitneyepi/status/1345349965586034688
4/ I think that crowded multigenerational housing, seniors living crowded with low-wage “essential workers” who don’t have adequate protections, are a huge risk for an exponential surge in #SARSCoV2, like what California recently experienced
5/ on other hand, Florida has a large number of older people, but I’d guess the older people in Florida are more likely to live in non-crowded senior communities, that are physically and socially isolated from young adults (the major drivers of #SARSCoV2 transmission)
6/ this is a pet theory based on anecdote and a light understanding of the age-by-demographic structure of each state. Demographers, what do you think? What have I missed? @familyunequal @drjenndowd
* even as I talk about Florida doing *relatively* well, the losses and suffering there are still awful. The US has suffered tremendously in real terms. We can’t let relative comparisons among states obscure that the average is terrible
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