the burden of COVID lockdown has been borne entirely by local small businesses and their employees - a gross inequity ignored by public health ethicists, who haven't lost a single fat paycheck. The devastation is visible on store fronts in arterial road (Danforth) near me,
2/ here are pictures of 10 shuttered premises in short two blocks, each representing the end of someone's dream and livelihood, with each owner ending up with losses and debts.
3/ two more
4/ two more
5/ two more
5/ two more
6/ two more
I don't know where the taxes are going to come from to pay the bloated salaries and pensions of public sector.
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this is such garbage reporting by US media: what US calls "Iranian-backed militia" are units of Iraqi military. Iraq is majority Shia so there are Shia units in Iraq military. Hard to see how bombing Iraqi military units is going to improve US-Iraq relations.
Iraq asked US to withdraw forces from Iraq as they are not currently fighting ISIS. US military in Iraq has become hostile occupying force that has no strategic purpose, is a target for local resistance, creating pointless risk of larger conflict to "honor" their sacrifice.
an astounding replay of events of Dec 29, 2019. Biden admin says that there was a rocket attack near Irbil in Kurdish area in northeastern Iraq. The Dec 2019 rocket attack was in nearby Kirkuk, also in Kurdish area, where ISIS cells were also active, making attribution obscure
Neil Ferguson, notorious lead author of Imperial College model, sent a snarky and supercilious response to an earnest but questioning citizen concerned about policy. Full significance of Ferguson's reply wasn't appreciated by recipient but will be understood by old CA readers.
2/ Ferguson's go-to reference for someone daring to question his statistical work was the following: climatechangecommunication.org/wp-content/upl…. Guess what it was. Without peeking.
3/ COVID modeler Neil Ferguson's go-to reference was Lewandowsky and Cook, 2020. The Conspiracy Theory Handbook.
primary concerns re COVID are: fatalities, ICU &hospitalization, which vary by age group. Not easy finding data granular enough to examine interactions. Nor are such details discussed collectively (as they should) in Ontario science briefings. Here is (hard-won) Toronto summary.
while COVID impact on ICUs has been a (if not the) primary focus of "Science Table" briefings, the number of fatalities is about 2.5 times higher than number of people who've gone to ICU. Mostly people over 80 who've died in community or in non-ICU hospital wards.
fatality rates of over 80s (and over 70s) in ICUs is very high: 70% (61%) respectively, while recovery rate of under 50s is very high (86%).
the oh-so-woke Ontario Science Table presented graphs purporting to show share of LTC of total deaths (left) and ICU (right). According to these figures, LTC accounts for substantial majority of deaths (~70%) but micro-fraction of ICU admissions. Has this been observed elsewhere?
2/ on its face, this figure contradicts a claim that I've been making: that vaccinating vulnerable in LTC would be effective means of mitigating concerns over projected ICU overcrowding. But is figure correct?
3/ if figure is correct, this seems like pretty fundamental information for policy-makers. So why havent Ontario science advisors ever mentioned it previously?
on Jan 21, 2021, just as vaccine supply in Canada dried up, Science Table, Ontario's woke COVID advisors, belatedly urged that govt to accelerate vaccination of LTC residents (relative to young HCWs outside LTC residences). Exactly what I'd urged on Dec 22 covid19-sciencetable.ca/sciencebrief/t…
2/ even this belated recognition by woke Science Table omitted the main reason why vulnerable 80+s, especially LTC 80"s, deserved priority even ahead of young HCWs: its direct impact on hospitalizations given expected pending hospital crisis
3/ I said this not to disparage contribution of young doctors, HCWs in ICUs. My father was a surgeon, two nieces are doctors. My family has benefited greatly from prompt and inspired care in Toronto ICUs. My point was policy: vaccinating seniors was best way to avert ICU crisis
amidst COVID projection porn by Ontario "Science Table", actual data on new cases in Ontario LTC homes has had spectacular decline since early Jan, when govt figured out that LTC residents were getting shortchanged in allocation by public health (relative to hospital admin etc)
2/ yesterday, there were only 11 new cases among LTC residents (14 - Feb 17), down from 160-200 daily at beginning of January. In Dec, nearly all vaccines appear to have been appropriated by young HCWs - meritorious but not nearly as vulnerable as LTC residents.
3/ because hospitalization rates are extremely high for cases among seniors, esp 80+ seniors, such a dramatic reduction in LTC cases should have immediate and observable impact on hospitalization rates. Which have gone down dramatically as well.