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Fionna O'Leary, πŸ•―πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Ί Profile picture
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27 Feb, 5 tweets, 4 min read
🦠🦠 7,434 new cases continuing overall now slow downward trend

⚰️⚰️290 (28 day cut off) deaths

βš°οΈπŸ’”βš°οΈπŸ’” 143,085 Covid deaths total (by date of death)

i.e.

138,468 deaths to 12/2/21 (ONS/Stats authority deaths on death cert)
+
4617 deaths (28 day cut off) 13/2/21 - 26/2/21
πŸ₯ Admissions 1,111

πŸ›Œ IN patients 14,808

VENTILATION πŸ›Œ 1971

Just to remind everyone that just before cases really started to rocket on 2/9/20 we had just over 800 people in hospital with Covid in the whole of the U.K.

What an opportunity we had to crush Covid. Lost.
Hard to believe that we now have nearly 2.5 times that number in ICU alone & we allowed it to rocket to nearly 50 times the total in patient numbers at the beginning of September in c4 months

Spring Peak: 21687 (12 Apr)
Winter Peak: 39248 (18 Jan)

H/t @ganeshran for the data
πŸ’‰ 537,266 doses administered yesterday πŸ‘

πŸ’‰πŸ’‰ 20,450,858 doses given to 19,682,408 people

πŸ’‰πŸ’‰πŸ’‰of those 768,810 people have received 2 doses.

πŸ’‰πŸ’‰ 32,733 second doses yesterday.

Definitely beginning to step up second doses now.

Should see that increase next week on.
Worth pointing out that, yet again, the 60 day death measure (493) is markedly higher than the 28 day count (290) .

203 more deaths more

H/t @LawrenceGilder for the summary.

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More from @fascinatorfun

Fionna O'Leary, πŸ•―πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Ί Profile picture
27 Feb
Lance Forman has really lost the plot when confronted with the evidence of the effect on Brexit on the fishing industry he purported to serve.

And shown what manner of man he really is.
I particularly enjoyed his spelling of soul.
PS. Lance’s series of unpleasant tweets was directed at the lovely @Sillyshib
Read 4 tweets
Fionna O'Leary, πŸ•―πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Ί Profile picture
26 Feb
🦠🦠8523 cases.

⚰️⚰️ 345 (28 day cut off) deaths

⚰️⚰️⚰️ 529 (60 day cut off +ve test and Covid on death cert) deaths

βš°οΈπŸ’”βš°οΈπŸ’” 142,808 deaths total (deaths by date of death)

(ONS to 12/2/21 - 138,468

+ 4340 :- 28 day cut off 13/2/21 - 25/2/21

= 142,808 TOTAL βš°οΈπŸ’”)
πŸ₯ Admissions 1117

πŸ›Œ IN Patients 15,485

VENTILATION πŸ›Œ 2047

General trend downward, particularly in the over 80s H/T to @jburnmurdoch for the logscale graphs on the right.

Heartening as vaccinations have taken an good jump up today.
πŸ’‰ A brilliant 521,039 doses given yesterday (35,319 of them 2nd doses so going ⬆️⬆️⬆️)

πŸ’‰πŸ’‰ 19,913,592 doses administered to 19,177,555 people

πŸ’‰πŸ’‰πŸ’‰ of whom 736,037 people have received two doses.

Graph on the left is first dose.

Graph on the right is second dose.
Read 5 tweets
Fionna O'Leary, πŸ•―πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Ί Profile picture
25 Feb
ISRAEL: When you consider how much of their population is vaccinated
- 1st dose: 49.9% (+0.3)
- 2nd dose: 35.1% (+0.6)
Their case numbers are still VERY high (4,168 is equivalent to c 28k cases here)
The numbers in hospital and ICU are still high (equivalent to over 2k in ICU and c8k in hospital in the U.K.) but, as a proportion of cases, it is far lower than we are experiencing here

27 deaths in Israel is equivalent to c180 in the UK

So maybe fewer severe cases and deaths
Here is a story I posted yesterday about the decline in cases coming to a halt and the profile of hospital cases changing

haaretz.com/israel-news/dr…
Read 8 tweets
Fionna O'Leary, πŸ•―πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Ί Profile picture
25 Feb
Look at antibody levels after 1 dose of Pfizer especially in the older age groups-& not just the oldest.

Then look at the table in the previous tweet at two doses.

@andrew_croxford @dgurdasani1 @chrischirp

I’d like to see deaths & hospitalisations broken down 1 dose/2 dose
@d_spiegel points out the death data is encouraging.

Is there a division between 1 shot and 2 shot Pfizer patients?

Ditto hospitalisations?

The AZ data should be clearer next month given they only started vaccinating on 4 Jan

It also looks to me from the PHE report (15-22 Feb) as if the decline in hospitalisations is larger and faster in the 75-85+ age groups too.

Is there more granular data?
Read 9 tweets
Fionna O'Leary, πŸ•―πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Ί Profile picture
25 Feb
We haven’t even fully reopened schools yet
We got a bit of a half term dip but not nearly as big as the Xmas dip

Nursery schools have most cases, but they also tend to have most children at present.

The anecdotal feedback from friends with nursery/primary age kids is they don’t get tested even when a cough/upset tummy
There does seem to be a disproportionately larger, faster drop in cases in the 85 + and also in the 75-84 year olds.

The next two weeks should reveal whether that shifts clearly into the 65-74 age group.
Read 10 tweets
Fionna O'Leary, πŸ•―πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Ί Profile picture
25 Feb
🦠🦠9,985 new cases

⚰️⚰️323 (28 day cut off deaths)

βš°οΈπŸ’”βš°οΈπŸ’” 142,908 deaths total, by date of death.
i.e.

138,468 ONS/Stats authority Covid (death cert) to 12/2/21.

+

4440 deaths by date of death (28 day cut off) 13/2/21 - 24/2/21

= βš°οΈπŸ’” 142,908. Exceeding SAGE’s RWC
Dashboard notes confirm the death reporting blip yesterday, corrected today

New cases by report date disguise a rather higher number by swab date, due to weekend lows on swabbing, showing that when more swabs done cases go up

14.3k on Monday 15th Feb
πŸ₯ ADMISSIONS 1142 (21/2/21) so still generally trending down

πŸ›Œ IN Patients 16,059, whilst generally trending down is still very high indeed.

VENTILATOR πŸ›Œ 2118 is still hundreds above the height of the November peak.
Read 7 tweets

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