What's interesting with @coinbase ?
1. They may issue a "loyalty rewards" token
2. 95% trading revenues are from retail clients, which pay 30x vs institutional
3. Pre-IPO value at 7% of crypto market cap
4. Debt: No fiat $271m in crypto

(cont'd)
👇🏻👇🏻1️⃣
messari.io/article/coinba…
5. Tokens sold are "revenues". That means @coinbase VC sales might be revenues
6. Strong user growth but low active users
7. @brian_armstrong's grants vest only after+750% stock price appreciation. Fully vests if stocks go up by 16x

Now let's look at valuations 👇🏻
2️⃣
3️⃣ Pre-IPO valuations are at $98 bn. That's closest to "Price / Sales to Growth" comparables.

Coinbase is priced well above publicly traded crypto platforms and stock exchanges.
messari.io/article/coinba… Image
4️⃣ Valuation sanity check?
Coinbase houses 11% of all crypto assets. We compare the market cap of companies to the relevant stock market.

That averages ~1% vs #Coinbase at 7%, despite not having a monopoly. Image
5️⃣ Due to market momentum, growing institutional adoption, Coinbase is priced at the high end of our valuation range.

Equities & crypto have traded independently. This listing would provide an anchor for crypto-native exchange tokens valuations.

messari.io/article/coinba…
Check out the link for our Coinbase valuations model.

Deep dive into each topic is in the article

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More from @asiahodl

4 Mar
$BNB was up +750% in the 1st 50 days of the year. High gas prices and $100 million funding from @binance has propelled #BinanceSmartChain's TVL to be 25% of Ethereum.

What is Binance Smart Chain ? Why has it made sense for users and what are the key projects?
1/
#BSC isn't trying to cure cancer or be the most innovative, decentralized blockchain. They're focused on low-cost yield farming with high APYs.

This is especially useful as gas prices has skyrocketed on ETH:
2/
@cz_binance doesn't hide that it's a centralized blockchain. Run on $BNB, here's how #BSC follows Ethereum:
+ It's EVM-compatible so projects are easily ported over
+ Same look & feel of the blockchain explorer
+ Biggest app is a fork of Uniswap
3/

messari.io/article/explor…
Read 9 tweets
25 Feb
1/ In a world of multiple blockchains, we need bridges & the ability to scale. We also need to end hardforks so the community sticks together.

How does @Polkadot work and what does it mean for $DOT?

Let me ELI5.

messari.io/article/polkad…
2/ What is Polkadot trying to do?

Since blockchains don't communicate, Polkadot wants to be a multi-chain platform that also allows for scalability. Like a Layer0 solution connecting all the blockchains and applications.

One blockchain to rule them all.
3/ How's it going to achieve this? Like a sea urchin, Polkadot has a "Relay Chain" as the beating heart. The spikes are "Parachains", which take different characteristics and are specialized by use case. Like a computer dedicated to run 1 task.

(see diagram for examples)
Read 11 tweets
22 Feb
1/ DeFi exploits are slowing but the $ size has been increasing. $ALPHA lost $38m last week - what does that imply ? Does losing -$285 million matter?

We dive into the impact of exploits on Price & TVL 👇🏻👇🏻
2/ We list all the exploits vs TVL and price below.

Since the DeFi summer, protocols’ expected loss to hacks or failures = 0.1%. The Exploit Amount / TVL is much higher = 9%.

However, protocols are punished, losing -40% (average) of TVL in 24 hours.

messari.io/article/how-de…
3/ The most likely attack vector is a combination of an oracle attack with a flash loan. @chainlink has become the de-facto choice for projects looking to outsource oracles.

$LINK has been a beneficiary though also saw a node operator spam attack in Aug-2020
Read 6 tweets
21 Feb
Bad day for Bitcoiners
POS: Proof of S̵t̵a̵k̵e̵ Supercar
One $BSV investor snuck in
Read 4 tweets
17 Feb
1/ Memes only get you so far. Tokens eventually meet gravity and trade on valuations.

So how do you value DeFi Lending tokens?
$AAVE, $COMP, $ALPHA, $MKR, $CREAM

Thread👇🏻👇🏻
messari.io/article/a-clos…
2/ Why is this important? Lending Deposits are at $20 billion, generating $660 million interest annually.

Protocols extract value by both attracting capital and putting it to use. Major pricing dislocations happen.
3/ Loan Origination --> Fees are typically extracted based on borrow volume. @AlphaFinanceLab has originated $1 billion in its first 3 months.

Price / Borrow Volume is a key metric. In the report, we also showcase Borrow Vol growth
Read 8 tweets
5 Feb
@FTX_Official adds new features at an unprecedented pace.

Here we value $FTT based on 1. Burn Yields, 2. Price/Sales, 3. Price/Earnings and those 3 metrics vs Growth.

Thread on $FTT 👇🏻👇🏻👇🏻

messari.io/article/valuin…
FTX created innovative new products like basket trades, leveraged tokens, prediction markets, and tokenized stock trading.
It has grown to be a major venue for futures trading:
2/ Image
Due to the hype of the launch, and lockup schedule -- $FTT soared after launch but flatlined for ~1 year before rallying again at the end of 2020:

3/
messari.io/article/valuin… Image
Read 9 tweets

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