#ReportingPakistan

In an unexpected electoral setback which is shocking, even by #Pakistan's turbulent standards, cricketer-turned-prime minister #ImranKhan faces a crucial #VoteOfConfidence.

Here's a look at @ImranKhanPTI's political career, spanning over two decades.
Propelled by his celebrity & supported by his (now former) wife @Jemima_Khan, Khan's early political career saw him adopt the role of international activist. Here, in 1997, he's on a tour of South Africa with then-President Nelson Mandela.
Philanthropy would form the basis of his politics. The Shaukat Khanum, Pakistan's first cancer research hospital, would be inspired by his mother's demise & become his showcase for organizational change. Months before her own death in 1997, Princess Diana would help raise funds.
After an unimpressive showing in his first election, and without much local political relevance, Khan would pick a humane, pan-Islamic theme for his politics. Here, in 1999, with his son Suleman in Islamabad, he protested Russia's treatment of Chechen Muslims.
The philanthropy would spill over into social justice causes. Here, in 1998, Khan is seen leading a nighttime May Day march in the commercial capital, #Karachi. Though his politics would eventually veer right of center, his beginnings were clearly left-leaning.
The 1999 coup would bring change and an opportunity. With the country's leading politicos #BenazirBhutto & #NawazSharif in exile, his @PTIofficial would try to exploit the gap in the 2002 elections. Khan would attract crowds, as seen in a Karachi rally here, but not the votes.
Khan's relationship with the military ruler, General Pervez Musharraf, would remain controversial. Though they admired each other personally - here, in 2002, they're at a fundraiser - Khan claims to have refused becoming a part of Musharraf's military-led regime, despite offers.
With weak back-to-back election results, detractors taunted Khan to "stick to the cricket." But he took the criticism casually, often flaunting his own feat of winning the World Cup in 1992 with a weak team. Here, in 2004, he's with @TheRealPCB captain Inzamam-ul-Haq in #India.
The ongoing war in Afghanistan changed Pakistan, as well as Khan's politics. His swing to the right solidified as he joined a coalition of anti-war & Islamist parties. Here, at a conservative/Islamist rally in '04, he vowed to resist Musharraf's plans to remain as army chief.
The alignment with the Islamists was not casual political flirting. By 2005, Khan was campaigning with heavyweight conservatives (and eventual rivals) like Qazi Hussain Ahmed & Maulana Fazlur Rehman, criticising Pakistan's alliance with the US and Musharraf's secular credentials.
Though his more liberal critics would castigate him as "Taliban Khan," the cricket hero would remain very relevant on the international celebrity circuit. Here, in 2006, he's seen hosting legendary Indian batsman @sachin_rt and the rest of the @BCCI team at his Islamabad villa.
Khan's pan-Islamic tendencies remained, with contradictions. He'd be an anti-war pacifist cum conservative nationalist by day, then a hard-charging socialite by night. He also publicly fawned over other "Big Man" leaders, like Malaysia's Mahathir Mohamad, pictured here in 2006.
When Musharraf's weakened regime announced elections in 2007/8, Khan stepped into campaign mode, but without clear direction. On the one hand, he was close to the Islamists. On the other, he needed support from students, like these from the University of Punjab, pictured in '07.
Khan's anti-Musharraf posture eventually earned him some political street cred. He had long been criticised for being too close to the army's conservative intelligence wing. But a few nights of imprisonment in 2007, and the stubble to prove it, took care of that, if temporarily.
By the late 2000s, the cricketer turned politician had turned into a unapologetic nationalist. Here, in 2009, he is pictured congratulating nuclear scientist A. Q. Khan, the man at the centre of the world's most serious proliferation scandal, after a court ordered his release.
By the end of the decade, Khan would reorganize. On October 30, 2011, with #Pakistan spiralling from increasing terrorism, a broken economy & a weak government, he'd mark his comeback with a massive rally in Lahore & a new appeal that would propel him forward: anti-corruption.
But if majestic Lahore, the political capital, would be the stage of his comeback, the unruly northwest would be the engine. Here, Khan would continue to burnish his ethnic Pashtun & anti-war credentials, as seen at a "peace march" against US drone strikes in 2012, in Musa Khel.
The propulsion would be exhilarating. On the eve of the 2013 elections, no analyst in the country would count Khan out of the race. But tragedy would strike the former cricketer, who would fall almost 20 feet while ascending a rally stage, hurting his spine & ending his campaign.
His recovery would be quick, but his electoral loss would keep him in the opposition. Yet, Khan would remain the world's most famous Pakistani, with a narrative increasingly similar to the country's military establishment. Here, in '13, he meets US Secretary of State John Kerry.
In 2014, as the government's relations with the army frayed, Khan saw opportunity. He would lead a massive "peace march," paralyzing the capital for months. Part-rock concert, part-political protest, critics saw the months-long & eventually violent movement as militarily-backed.
His protests called off, Khan, not much of a legislator, prepared for the next election in perpetual campaign mode: planting trees, regularly appearing on TV, or flying around to attend rallies with his newfound religiosity & tasbih, or prayer beads, as seen here in Narowal, '18.
By 2018, his presence would be larger than ever. And he would get help. From donors, especially rich Pakistanis based abroad. From sell-swords, who'd leave their parties for him. And, at least indirectly, from the army, which would push probes against his rivals, weakening them.
Though he'd fumble during his oath taking ceremony in August 2018, the event would still be momentous. After almost 25 years in electoral politics, over twenty of which were spent in the wilderness, Khan would become the first man to break #Pakistan's entrenched two-party system.
Today, smack in the middle of his term, with a mixed record of both gains & losses, compromises & qualities, straight-shots & u-turns, Khan stands vulnerable to what can be described as a best-case scenario of a mere palace coup or something worse: being marooned by the military.

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More from @WajSKhan

26 Jul 20
Full disclosure for this thread: I don't vote. I follow the old ethical tenet that journalists & judges shouldn't vote.

Exactly two years ago, I was excited to see @ImranKhanPTI win an election & assume the helm of affairs in Pakistan, the country of my birth.

So although...
...I didn't vote, I was still excited to see him win.

Why?

See, with the 2018 polls @ImranKhanPTI had done what few politicians can do: he'd broken a system.

In this case, Pakistan's notorious -- and static -- two-party system.
Admittedly, not a lot politicians can challenge entrenched machines.

Many a candidate has tried to break America's two-party system. It hasn't worked. Examples abound in other democracies, too.

However, like Z.A. Bhutto before him (who broke the one-party system in Pak)...
Read 25 tweets
22 Aug 19
Received legal notices from @twitter for two days straight: the Gov of India has complained that I’ve violated the “laws of India.”

Till yesterday, @twitter cited certain tweets to be problematic (for India).

Today, my account @wajskhan in general is allegedly in violation.
So far, @twitter has been very straightforward, giving me my legal options.

Till yesterday, I was advised that among my choices, deleting certain tweets was one option.

However, not quite sure what to do today, considering my entire account - active since ‘09 - is at stake.
I’ve written back to @twitter but not heard back.

I worry that my account may be removed because of my critique of India’s policies & actions in #Kashmir.

Also believe that social media, already blacked out by India in Kashmir, is crucial for global discourse & truth-telling.
Read 7 tweets
19 Aug 19
Lets talk about this clearly:

Imran Khan & Gen QJ Bajwa find themselves in a very different power equation versus the last two civilian administrations & the last two #COAS's

'08-'11, Gen Kayani & the Zardari regime were clearly cat-&-mousing for most of Kayani's 1st tenure.
Compulsions: The Lawyers' Movement, NRO, Musharraf's uniform, Memogate (some of Kayani's productions or co-productions, backed by foreign supporters). Then, post-Osama/Raymond Davis, Kayani was deployed to stabilize rudder by an atrophied Zardari. Not much of a choice for PPP.
That Kayani's personal interests & connections compromised his standing within & without the institution he was once revered by was clear by the middle of his 2nd term.

Soon after he was done, even junior officers weren't refraining for calling him 'agent' & 'mixed up'
Read 19 tweets
16 Aug 19
Pakistan’s leadership is building up a serious case against India, but so far, most of its been for domestic audiences.

Internationally, @ImranKhanPTI hasn’t been able to really sell his cause for #Kashmir. The UNSC consultation today is a test case of Pak’s diplomatic muscle.
Failure in New York by @MOFAPakistan will further build up frustration at home - especially in the rank & file of the military - and increasingly validate the hawks to position Pakistan to launch an asymmetric war, if not conventional operations against India.
The last time Pakistanis needed such existential validation was after their fall in 1971.

Consequently, nukes & Islamization were experimented with by civ & military governments alike. A Constitution was birthed & prolifically amended to support national security & identity.
Read 11 tweets

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