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Charles #GetCovered-ba Profile picture
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5 Mar, 4 tweets, 2 min read
(sigh) A bunch of Dem Senators voting "no" on this amendment DOES NOT MEAN THEY OPPOSE $15MW (besides Manchin & a few others), it just means they know it can't be included in the COVID bill and don't want to risk the entire bill being tanked as a result.
Having said that, as @leonardkl noted a few weeks back, some of them *DO* oppose $15MW (some support a lower increase, some support regional variances, etc):
businessinsider.com/minimum-wage-i…
The larger point is that progressives spent the past two weeks beating up on VP Harris & the Parliamentarian when THERE WERE NEVER 50 VOTES FOR ATTACHING $15MW TO THE #AmRescuePlan IN THE FIRST PLACE.
Welp. There you go.

Can we move on to actually passing the rest of the bill now, please?

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More from @charles_gaba

Charles #GetCovered-ba Profile picture
6 Mar
#FunFact: #COVID19 deaths are now 3% *higher* per capita in the Red Counties than the Blue Counties nationally.
acasignups.net/21/03/06/weekl… Image
#FunFact: The 100 counties w/the highest #COVID19 death rates voted for Donald Trump by 18 POINTS.
acasignups.net/21/03/06/weekl…
Counties w/highest #COVID19 *cases* per capita:
1. Crowley County, CO
2. Chattahoochee County, GA
3. Bent County, CO
4. Lincoln County, AR
5. Dewey County, SD
6. Lake County, TN
7. Norton County, KS
8. Bon Homme County, SD
9. Buffalo County, SD
10. Trousdale County, TN
Read 5 tweets
Charles #GetCovered-ba Profile picture
6 Mar
📣 Assuming the #AmRescuePlan makes it through final House passage & is signed into law by President Biden, these graphs are going to be extremely important for the next two years:
acasignups.net/21/02/04/aca-2…
📣 Under the #AmRescuePlan, #ACA enrollees who are ALREADY receiving financial subsidies would see savings of up to $3,000/year or more on average...

...and enrollees who AREN'T currently eligible for subsidies would see savings of up to $17,000/year or more.

That's not a typo. Image
📣 IMPORTANT: The expanded #ACA subsidies under the #AmRescuePlan are supposed to be *retroactive* to the beginning of 2021, which means *current* ACA enrollees are supposed to receive the extra subsidies dating back to January!

I don't know what form that will take, however.
Read 8 tweets
Charles #GetCovered-ba Profile picture
6 Mar
📣
Manchin: AYE.

Murkowski: NO.
SINEMA: AYE.

SULLIVAN: Not present, at a funeral
Read 4 tweets
Charles #GetCovered-ba Profile picture
5 Mar
Wait...so Portman's would extend to July, Carper's would extend to September w/out being taxed?

Here's an idea: Pass Portman's first, THEN pass Carper's.

Manchin can rightly claim he "worked across the aisle". Portman can rightly claim he "got Dems to pass his amendment".
Worst-case scenario: Portman's passes, Carper's doesn't, unemployment is cut off in July. The House Dems suck it up and vote for it anyway, EVERYONE gets to hate Manchin for being Lieberman 2.0. 1/
"But Lieberman tanking the PO in 2010 paved the way for Dems to lose the House!"

Well, he was part of it, but keep in mind that this is a different situation: That was watering down a *long-term* bill. In this case, Biden/Dems would have a chance to mitigate the damage: 2/
Read 4 tweets
Charles #GetCovered-ba Profile picture
5 Mar
(sigh) Told you so. It was worth a shot, but their opposition to expanding Medicaid has NOTHING to do with "budgetary concerns". It has EVERYTHING to do with the #ACA being signed by a Black Democrat.
Personally I think Medicaid funding should be fully federalized anyway to avoid letting red states skimp out on the program, but that's a separate issue. @KFF estimates that if all 12 states take the bribe, they'll receive $10B more than they'd spend:
acasignups.net/21/03/02/amres…
The other option Dems have would be to simply eliminate the *lower-bound* #ACA subsidy cliff so everyone in the Medicaid Gap can get fully-subsidized ACA plans instead. The problem with this is that it would guarantee a bunch of expansion states *reversing* themselves.
Read 6 tweets
Charles #GetCovered-ba Profile picture
3 Mar
"How dare Dems lower the relief check income threshold!"

Guess how much #COBRA normally costs laid-off employees? $7,300/yr for individuals, $21,000/yr for a family.

The prior #AmReliefPlan covered 85% of COBRA from April - Sept. This covers 100%.
kff.org/health-costs/r…
15% x $7,300 x 0.5yr = $550/person in additional savings.

15% x $21,000 x 0.5yr = $1,575/family in additional savings.

I'm not saying that I support lowering the threshold, I'm just saying that you need to look at what they're doing with that money instead.
The $1,400 checks were originally going to phase out by $100K. Now that’s down to $80K. Let’s assume the median income impacted earns $90K, so is “losing” $700.

If they qualify for COBRA, this would cancel out $550 of that on average. Not all, but a lot of it.
Read 5 tweets

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