A week and a half ago we put out rough projections of cases including the B117 variant in the US
What has happened since then and what should we expect next?
Updates on each state
Starting from California--which is following the curve of inaction
@brumatingturtle
What has happened since then and what should we expect next?
Updates on each state
Starting from California--which is following the curve of inaction
@brumatingturtle
https://twitter.com/yaneerbaryam/status/1365320740980072449
[Blue is projection, Black is actual (reported)]
Massachusetts--significantly worse
Florida--roughly the same
Michigan--significantly worse
Pennsylvania--roughly the same
2/
Massachusetts--significantly worse
Florida--roughly the same
Michigan--significantly worse
Pennsylvania--roughly the same
2/
[Blue is projection, Black is actual (reported)]
North Carolina--perhaps a bit less (looks like no variant)
Louisiana--roughly tracking
Indiana--a bit higher
Georgia--significantly worse
3/
North Carolina--perhaps a bit less (looks like no variant)
Louisiana--roughly tracking
Indiana--a bit higher
Georgia--significantly worse
3/
[Blue is projection, Black is actual (reported)]
Texas--following our curve, now testing is happening after the crisis!
Arizona--doing significantly worse (2X) and significantly more B117.
Texas--following our curve, now testing is happening after the crisis!
Arizona--doing significantly worse (2X) and significantly more B117.
FYI: Tracking is not a good thing, the cases are expected to rise with more rapid transmission of new variants.
Reopening (not included in the projections) makes it worse.
Reopening (not included in the projections) makes it worse.
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