A brief update. 46 new #covid19sverige deaths and nearly 6000 new cases reported today, taking the total reported FHM death toll to 13088. All but 2 deaths are from the last 2 weeks. With lag considered, we are likely experiencing around 20-30 deaths/day at present.
With lag considered, we are likely experiencing between 20-30 deaths/day at present.
Nationally we're averaging approximately 4000 new cases per day.
For a nice example of how media can manipulate perceptions, deliberately or otherwise, here's a headline from @expressen today.
"Sharp increase in infections in Norway - 96 percent more cases in three weeks • Highest R-number in one year "
This is all true, and concerning, and n response, Norway is implementing some new restrictions.
Norway in the 7 days until March 8 reported 3898 new cases.
In the same time, Sweden reported 26949 new cases - nearly 700% higher than Norway.
Here's how the Nordics compare.
With nearly 30000 new cases a week, and statistics indicating long-term ongoing symptoms in at least 10% of them, that is ***at least 3000 Swedes a week developing long-term health issues*** due to wide community spread of SARS-CoV-2.
It's the 1 year anniversary of the first reported death from Covid-19 in Sweden. 23 new deaths reported today, and a further 5300 new confirmed infections.
This is a dramatically higher death toll than our Nordic neighbours, who chose a suppression strategy - get cases down as much as possible - as opposed to Sweden's mitigation strategy - get cases down enough so that healthcare is not overwhelmed.
At the peaks of Wave 1 and Wave 2, Sweden was experiencing around 100 deaths/day from Covid-19. We continue to have around 20-30 deaths a day.
34 new #covid19sverige deaths reported today, taking the total to 13042. There are 34 deaths with no date of death recorded. These deaths were spread fairly evening over the past 2 weeks, with only 2 deaths recorded earlier.
Now that the data is more or less complete, a slowdown in the rate of new deaths is clearly apparent from approx mid-Jan in the cumulative deaths data. This is approx 3 weeks after harder restrictions were put in place.
This is also clear on the 7 day average of mortality, with deaths declining significantly from Jan 14. While the last 2-3 weeks data remains incomplete, a clear slowing in the rate of decline is already apparent from approx Feb 14.
Prof Jonas @Ludvigsson yesterday posted a response to questions about why he signed the Great Barrington Declaration. I hope he doesn't mind but I've translated it in to English for those interested, followed by some comments.
First, I disagree with Prof Ludvigsson about "lockdowns", however you define them, not being useful unless implemented early. Stricter restrictions have led to significant declines in cases in country after country.
#covid19sverige update, Swedish media anti-oroa special edition.
58 new deaths reported today (138 on tuesday and 44 yesterday) taking the death toll to 12428.
Changes this week as far back as Nov 22 (moved to next day), but the majority of additions are in the past 2wks.
Growth in cumulative deaths continues to slow, reflecting a decrease in daily mortality
7 day rolling average mortality I've removed all updates from 2020 to simplify as Excel was complaining about it! Deaths averaging 90 or above from Dec 20 through now to Jan 15, down from a Christmas high of 99.
Right, back to things that matter rather than petty attacks on citizen activists who disagree with the accepted narrative.
There's a pandemic occurring and B117 and other variants on the rampage in Sweden. Why am I optimistic?
First, let's look at this graph.
The outbreak began in Sweden in the beginning of March, and about 3 weeks later the deaths started to mount up, increasing rapidly until mid-April when they began a long, slow decline.
The decline was slower than anywhere else in Europe, but nevertheless a decline.
The question is - why? The obvious answer is that at the end of March, the Swedish government issued various recommendations on physical distancing, working from home etc.
Without mentioning any names, about a week ago a member of "the 22" contacted me and said they were under attack by a Swedish journalist, the same one behind today's SR Ekot article.
The journalist was claiming they'd made a false statement about something Tegnell said back in May and they was asking for my assistance in providing proper sources for what was said. I was happy to oblige. Tegnell *had* said it, I had the sources, the journalist was wrong.
I've since learned that the same journalist criticised "the 22" last year, claiming they had falsified some numbers in a report. The Swedish Press and Broadcasting Authority called them out for it.