People have been commenting that the protest shouldn't have happened on Saturday, it risked being a superspreader event and was therefore properly banned due to Coronavirus, and therefore the police had no option to ban it.

This is a non-sequitur.
1/
I would have preferred there not to be a large gathering on Clapham Common right now. The number of new cases of Covid-19 is still too high, and opening schools is likely to push this up considerably.
2/
Vaccination is going well, but the groups most likely to spread Covid-19 have largely not been vaccinated so far. (OTOH, there is increasing evidence that vaccination will decrease transmission, when enough people are fully vaccinated.)
3/
So, in an ideal world, I would not have wished there to be a gathering… HOWEVER…

a) The gathering took place out of doors. It was not Cheltenham. (Cheltenham may have featured outdoor horse-racing; but it also featured a LOT of crowded restaurants, bars, etc.)
4/
Bars, cafes and restaurants are closed, so people attending the event on Saturday are unlikely to have congregated indoors to a great extent.

Transmission outdoors appears to be extremely low - especially when people can stay more than a few feet from other people.
5/
It's probably still wiser not to stand close to and facing somebody who is shouting or singing a few feet away unless you are both wearing a mask. (If you are not the one shouting/singing, wear a higher spec mask like an FFP2 one.)
6/
But still, the risk outdoors is small… And…
b) The event was going to happen. No matter how much would have preferred that it didn't, it couldn't feasibly have been stopped.

So the issue should have been about how to ensure it happened as safely as possible.
7/
The police could have cooperated with Reclaim the Streets - by all accounts they are a responsible group. They could have had stewards - who could have influenced people attending with less antagonism than police officers could.
8/
They could have had a PR system so that speakers could address the crowd without people having to squeeze together close to the podium. And prevent contempt of court speeches - and indeed discourage anything more than quiet vigil-keeping.
9/16
By "banning" something that was inevitably going to happen, the police ensured it could not be prepared in a way that reduced the risks associated.
10/16
And, once it was going ahead, the duty of the police was to minimise the risk of harm.

The Covid risk of congregating outdoors - especially with many people wearing masks - is very low.
11/16
By moving in, forcing people to squeeze together, and the use of violence, the police turned a relatively low-risk situation into a much higher risk situation (even just on the topic of Covid risk).
12/16
And that's not starting on the other harms done and opportunities missed.

Wouldn't it have been great if there had been a group of police officers, heads bare and bowed, standing silently in respect, not threatening other vigil-keepers?
13/16
Instead, they've dramatically reduced public trust in the police.

And by insisting that they had to do what they did to reduce risks (when it's obvious that the risks were low before they waded in, and became much higher as a consequence), they are further damaging trust.
14/16
Of course, it is possible that they were explicitly ordered to do this by the Home Secretary or others in her circle.

And I'm sure the orders to the officers on the ground came from higher up (which is why Cressida Dick is rightly in the spotlight).
15/16
The police, of course, are supposed to make their own assessment and act on it, not follow orders from the executive. So they failed.

But it's possible there was undue pressure put on them by the executive, and that would be highly reprehensible, too.
16/16

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More from @petermbenglish

14 Mar
My email to my MP (Chris Grayling) about the Police, Crime, Sentencing and Courts Bill…
1/6
Dear Chris,

I'm sure that, as a former Home Secretary, you will be as concerned as I am about the events of last night.

Of course, the reason why protest is not permitted at present is the Covid-19 regulations, which I  broadly support.
2/6
We hope, of course, that within a year or so - possibly even within months - the restrictions necessary for the control of Covid-19 will become a distant memory. However, undue restrictions on protest look like they may continue as a consequence of…
3/6
Read 6 tweets
7 Mar
I was pleased to hear that @theRCN calls for better PPE (specifically, for higher specification masks) were the lead item on the news this morning. This shameful andegregious failure to protect staff will no doubt feature in the eventual public enquiry.
1/8
We, at @TheBMA, have been calling for this for many months now.

There is no "low risk" patient-facing setting. I am horrified whenever I go into a hospital.
2/8
This is me, wearing the sort of mask worn by NHS staff. A "fluid-resistant surgical mask" or FRSM as the guidance calls them. This mask is better-fitting than many I've seen on staff; and I'm wearing it, correctly, properly covering my nose and chin.
3/8
Read 9 tweets
6 Mar
I'm so glad you managed to get positive changes, @DrJudyStone! Sounds like a dreadful experience for you :-(
twitter.com/DrJudyStone/st…

@Fifino9 has managed a couple of improvements, too.
1/9
Attending her GP (family doctor) for her Covid-19 vaccine, the guy in the queue behind her wasn't wearing a mask and was coughing heavily. The volunteer receptionist was wearing a cloth mask.
2/9
Since her letter, they've changed their policies. People with symptoms (even if it's a chronic cough) and those who won't or can't wear a mask are seen separately, away from other patients. And all staff and volunteers wear proper surgical masks.
3/9
Read 10 tweets
6 Mar
Much of my career, as a Consultant in Communicable Disease Control, has been about risk management.

So I was interested to see this paper on "the precautionary principle".

pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/11319454/
1/7
The precautionary principle seems unarguable, doesn't it? If it might be risky, don't…

But in practice, people often look at the risk that interests them. Head injuries from cycling. GI infections from streams. Zoonoses from pets or farm animals.
2/7
You can end up with disproportionate and even harmful responses.

Put people off cycling and you reduce all the benefits from cycling and do, overall, more harm.

Ban pets and - well,, there'd be a rebellion.
3/7
Read 7 tweets
5 Feb
Covid-19.

What we (UK) most urgently need to do is to:
a) Cut transmission globally (to reduce mutation and the arrival of variants that evade the immune system and vaccines)
b) Cut the number of people in the UK who get ill enough to be admitted to hospital…
1/9
c) Cut transmission in the UK, see a) above, and to reduce eg #LongCovid

Vaccines - especially when given first to those most likely to get seriously ill and require hospital admissions - will definitely help with b). They are good at preventing serious illness.
2/9
But we still don't really know how effective vaccines are at preventing transmission. And, with variant viruses which are more transmissible than the variant that we had a year ago, it's not clear that vaccines will ever bring Re below 1 without additional restrictions.
3/9
Read 10 tweets
5 Feb
This is a great thread with some useful-for-explaining metaphors on how immunity works and how it can be dysfunctional. It left me wanting to know more about…
… It left me wanting to know more about how an immune system, primed to recognise an antigen, is less susceptible to the "cytokine storm" overreaction which is responsible for severe Covid-19 disease.

I would also like to know more about immunity and #LongCovid.
Incidentally, @Felicea's thread gets (adequately, not perfectly) translated by Google Chrome if you use the threadreaderapp.com version threadreaderapp.com/thread/1357490… - blame Chrome where the meaning isn't entirely clear!
Read 4 tweets

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