This story about the challenges climate change is creating for coastal SC is a great distillation of why it's so important for our financial regulators to start treating climate change as a systemic risk. Brief thread: nytimes.com/2021/03/14/cli…
1/ First, this quote says everything you need to know about what happens if we stay on the course we are on.
2/ So here's a community where parts of beaches are shrinking by 14' a year, trying to figure out whether they are willing to raise the property taxes necessary to elevate the main road. That sisyphyean question is question is at the heart of system climate financial risk
3/ To wit: we know massive losses of capital are coming. What we don't know is who gets left holding the financial bag. Local tax payers may pay for this project... but the ocean is still rising until we get climate change under control.
4/ So what's the next shoe to drop? Will it be loss of coastal properties? If so, who will be holding the mortgages at that point? The bank who wrote the mortgage? The one they sold it to? Someone who collateralized it? Fannie and Freddie?
5/ How about the property risk? Will the home insurance policies cover the loss, or will it get punted to the National Flood Insurance program? How much of that insured risk has been passed to the reinsurance industry?
6/ Lots of property insurance programs are short duration, written one year at a time. Will insurance companies continue to write those policies or will home owners suddenly find themselves unable to renew, leaving them (and their lenders) fully exposed?
7/ What if people start proactively moving to higher ground now? What does that do to the local tax base? How will schools and other local services be provided to those who can't afford / choose not to relocate? Who will be expected to backstop that risk?
8/ These are thorny questions, but they are all the questions that we have to grapple with in a rapidly warming world. And there are just as many financial dislocations to think about in a world that moves proactively to slow/reverse climate change.
9/ After all, a rapid shift from fossil fuels to renewables implicitly requires a massive write-down of assets on oil/gas/coal company balance sheets. A shift in labor markets from coal mining to PV array installation implies big geographic shifts in economic activity
10/ This is why @SenFeinstein and I introduced the Addressing Climate Financial Risk Act last month. casten.house.gov/media/press-re…
11/ And why @brianschatz and I introduced the related (but slightly different) Climate Change Financial Risk Act of 2019 last session. casten.house.gov/media/press-re…
12/ We know these physical changes are upon us. We know smart, capitalist market actors are going to respond to protect their investors from that risk. It is urgent we do the analysis to understand how that will affect our financial system to protect the rest of the economy.
13/ In short, we need to stop "masking a problem that never gets fixed." /fin

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More from @SeanCasten

2 Mar
Thanks for asking, friend! I'm happy to answer. First though, note that what we voted was simply to say that prisoners can vote. And as you know well, most prisoners are convicted of more trivial offenses.
1/ And as I'm sure you're well aware, our prison system massively over-incarcerates minorities, typically for low-level crimes that white men like me never get arrested for.
2/ Note this has nothing to do with whether or not people should do the time if they did the crime. It's simply saying that we cannot and should not use our prison system as a back-door to disenfranchisement.
Read 12 tweets
28 Feb
We need to end the damned filibuster. And we need to stop pretending that a 50/50 division in a body that was designed to over-represent land at the expense of people reflects a divided US electorate.
Fact: The Senate, by design only represents 98.7% of the American electorate (because it excludes DC and the territories, which are represented in the House)
For comparison, WY, VT, AK, ND and SD represent fewer Americans than live in DC and the territories. And they get 10 votes (10% of the total!)
Read 5 tweets
27 Feb
Early this morning, we passed the #AmericanRescuePlan.

It's critically needed and the Senate must act now to get these resources into our economy to help struggling families and businesses, accelerate vaccine roll-out and safely reopen our schools.

A few important things:
1/ The single biggest line item in the bill is for direct, $1400 checks to people earning $75,000 or less ($150,000 for couples). $1400 per earner and each of their dependents.
2/ (If you earn more than these levels the amount of the payment scales down to zero at $100K/$200K), to ensure this is targeted to the neediest.)
Read 21 tweets
26 Feb
OK, so this gets me a little verklempt. Herewith a true story about two of the most special moments in the 116th Congress - the first Congress for me and my friend @SpanbergerVA07. Sharing because it's a nice story and we need more nice stories. Thread:
1/ So one of the weirder things about this job is that all votes "feel" the same. Lots of debate, drama, press before & after (some) votes, but the process of pressing yay or nay is the same on a post office renaming as it is on a $5T appropriation.
2/ Intuitively, of course we know some are more meaningful. But the feedback is usually delayed. My first experience of anything different was the vote on the #EqualityAct in the 116th.
Read 16 tweets
25 Feb
Hey #energytwitter! Been a while since I rapped at ya. How about a thread on how the securitization of undepreciated coal plant capital can accelerate the greening of the electric grid? (Honestly, if that doesn't keep you to keep reading, I can't help you.) Here we go:
1. Triggered by this piece this morning about efforts to do so in Wisconsin. energynews.us/2021/02/25/mid…
2. To understand why this is necessary, you need to understand that under the traditional regulated utility construct, a utility invests capital in exchange for a guaranteed rate of return, earned through kWh sales.
Read 14 tweets
20 Feb
Since you'll need a 2/3 majority, I'd encourage you not to skip over the bits about a "well regulated militia" and "bear arms" and ask why our founders chose that specific language. Then read Justice Stevens: law.cornell.edu/supct/html/07-…
You'll also want to consider why our founders chose the language in the final 2A while expressly rejecting this proposal from Pennsylvania:
And you'll want to examine why the Virginia proposal, which formed the basis of the final text initially included a religious exemption for "bearing arms", since our founders understood that term to be compulsory rather than voluntary.
Read 4 tweets

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