Weekly French Covid thread.
Big decisions are expected at a health defence council chaired by Pres Macron this morning. A weekend lockdown in the greater Paris area, Ile-de-France? Probably. Maybe even a complete lockdown of the capital/ surrounding area for 2 to 3 weeks. 1/12
Big decisions are expected at a health defence council chaired by Pres Macron this morning. A weekend lockdown in the greater Paris area, Ile-de-France? Probably. Maybe even a complete lockdown of the capital/ surrounding area for 2 to 3 weeks. 1/12
Macron has been postponing the decision on Paris (for political reasons mostly) since late Feb but can no longer delay. Ile de France now has the highest incidence rate in the country – 418.9 cases per 100,000 people in 7 days to 13 March. 2/12
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Intensive care in the Paris area is overwhelmed – 1,117 beds occupied by C19 patients last night, despite transfers elsewhere. Normal total IC beds for ALL cases is 1,000.
The betting is on a weekend lockdown (like those in force in the Nice area and the north). 3/12
The betting is on a weekend lockdown (like those in force in the Nice area and the north). 3/12
No changes for the rest of the country (for 1st anniversary of the 1st lockdown)? Unclear
Opposition parties are being briefed this afternoon, always a sign that big decisions are coming. This may mean that the decision will leak before the weekly press conf tomorrow evening
4/12
Opposition parties are being briefed this afternoon, always a sign that big decisions are coming. This may mean that the decision will leak before the weekly press conf tomorrow evening
4/12
In the meantime, the suspension of AstraZeneca shots in France and other EU countries is a big blow just as the French programme seemed to be reaching a decent cruising speed at last. The EU meds agency will rule tomorrow whether use of AZ should resume. 5/12
There is mockery of EU countries’ precautionary pause in UK media, including BBC. Lets hope their confidence in the “British vaccine” is justified.
German figures on post-AZ blood clots are worrying/bizarre. Is a short pause to investigate such a bad idea?
6/12
German figures on post-AZ blood clots are worrying/bizarre. Is a short pause to investigate such a bad idea?
6/12
Wrong to say, as some do, that this is political and anti-British decision. Truer to say that it’s the opposite: an unwillingness by politicians in the EU, faced with anti-vax populations, to brush away medical concerns. 7/12
The nationwide figures I follow weekly are now perhaps of limited value. The Covid - mostly UK variant - incidence rate is variable from region to region. Why? Not clear. Areas with dense populations and exposed to travellers from UK in Dec appear to be worst afflicted. 8/12
BUT some good news...
Deaths continue to fall – from an av. of 297.2 a day last week to 267 in last 7 days. This is largely due to a continuing fall in care home deaths where 87% of residents have now had one vax shot and 66% both. Also 40% of over-75’s have had one shot. 9/12
Deaths continue to fall – from an av. of 297.2 a day last week to 267 in last 7 days. This is largely due to a continuing fall in care home deaths where 87% of residents have now had one vax shot and 66% both. Also 40% of over-75’s have had one shot. 9/12
The av. number of daily cases nationwide over the last 7 days was sharply up – 25, 028, after 21,948 last week. Covid patients in hosp. rose by 523 to 25,492. But the real worry is pressure on intensive care: 4,239 beds occupied nationally last night – 321 up in a week. 10/12
During the week, Fr. crossed the grim threshold of 90,000 Covid deaths. The total is now 91,170.
Of those “only” a third died in the 1st wave.
The 1st 30,000 deaths happened in 19 weeks 1 Mar to 13 July.
The 2nd in 22 weeks to 18 Dec
Another 30,000 died in last 12 weeks. 11/12
Of those “only” a third died in the 1st wave.
The 1st 30,000 deaths happened in 19 weeks 1 Mar to 13 July.
The 2nd in 22 weeks to 18 Dec
Another 30,000 died in last 12 weeks. 11/12
Will a Paris lockdown allow Macron to continue to defend his great gamble of early Feb and avoid a third nationwide lockdown? Maybe. Warmer weather might also help.
One year gone? Seems like yesterday. Hang in there.
12/12
I
One year gone? Seems like yesterday. Hang in there.
12/12
I
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