Thread by @lxeagle17

A roughly 3% underperformance in Durham, 1% underperformance in Wake/Mecklenberg, and an absolutely *awful* performance in Eastern NC.

But even w/ that, Biden only underperformed by about 0.75% in NC, partially because of his strength in the West...so now what?

I'll let @stewroel's *excellent* thread speak more about this, but Democrats have got to start overperforming in North Carolina metros and suburbs like they did in Georgia. If NC Dems overperformed like GA Dems did (GA: +1.90), Democrats would have won NC.

https://twitter.com/stewroel/status/1373454836759289856?s=20

The problem is that the NC metros have proven stubbornly resistant to change on the scale that the Georgia metros have exhibited. It could break soon, of course; different areas swing at different rates, but it'll require a fair bit of smart investment in the state

What I mean by smart investment is quite simply: STOP OBSESSING OVER ROBESON AND START FOCUSING ON AREAS YOU'LL WIN. You will *not* win the state by flipping Robeson, and the policies you'll need to adapt to win the county back will mean the metro won't be D+50.

I don't necessarily buy that the metro and suburbs won't snap even harder to the left eventually; there's a lot of educated voters moving in to the research triangle area, and we also know that swings aren't linear; areas can snap hard to the left or right fairly quickly.

The problem is, of course, that if we just assume it'll happen and then try to win back ancestrally Democratic areas instead, we'll end up getting absolutely nothing done while wondering why we don't win the state, and it's probably because we'd be targeting the wrong areas.

This is probably something @JMilesColeman, @stewroel, or @SenhorRaposa would know better, but I'd like to know what % of educated white voters we currently pick up in North Carolina; are the Fox exit analysis numbers of R+1 reliable here?