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Eric Feigl-Ding Profile picture
@DrEricDing
Mar 21, 2021 • 34 tweets • 19 min read • Read on X
PAY ATTENTION—There is one crisis we all needs to pay attention to—and that is the unprecedented Brazil 🇧🇷 surge of the #P1 variant, overloaded hospitals, & sharp mortality spike. If more contagious #P1 out of control worldwide, we are all endangered. 🧵

#SOSBrazil #COVID19 ImageImage
2) I cannot overemphasis how serious the crisis in Brazil is. It is virtually impossible to find any ICU bed, and many hospitals running out of sedative medications to perform intubation with—so doctors are intubating without any analgesic meds. Hospitals are in collapse.
3) I’m not exaggerating that hospitals in Brazil are in collapse. This is the headline of a major newspaper. Image
4) Don’t just listen to me. Listen to the reporting on the ground. This report was filed last week by @MattRiversCNN — he says it has gotten only worse.

5) Nobody can deny the pandemic when hospitals are completely overrun. Don’t let anyone dismiss #COVID19 and what is happening in Brazil - hospitalizations and deaths DO NOT LIE. Image
6) The crisis is described by the @fiocruz @fiocruz_en foundation as the **worst sanitation and hospital collapse in the history of Brazil** Image
7) I’m told by reporters that even “we're also hearing very consistently, that in Brazil more and more young people are dying on the virus. doctors keep telling us that their patients keep getting younger, no comorbidities” - from doctors across many cities. @MattRiversCNN
8) But also more concerning — Brazil experts analysis says P1 is potentially 2-2.5x faster transmission (more contagious) than the old common strains. That means it is also faster than #B117 sweeping the world.

We need to get serious about Brazil crisis. ?
9) Another Brazil research group puts #P1 transmission at 2x faster than old strain (instead of 2.5x above), but they estimate a way worse whopping 25-60% reinfection rate. That’s serious.

bbc.com/news/amp/healt… Image
10) How good is are the mRNA vaccines against this #P1 variant menace? Only semi— it has moderate neutralization- better than the SA #B1351, but worse than #B117 (which responds well to vaccine).

FYI earlier Pfizer-conducted study said okay, but this bigger study disagrees.
11) But the problem for Brazil is that it doesn’t have the mRNA vaccines. It has the AstraZeneca and SinoVac vaccine. We don’t know the exact efficacy yet for #P1, but SinoVac vaccine showed a much lower 50% efficacy in Brazil trials, before P1.

google.com/amp/s/www.bbc.…
12) Now 50% is still good, and for severe disease, it’s 78% for SinoVac, so that’s decent.

J&J vaccine shows mid to upper 80% for Brazil, but J&J isn’t available in Brazil yet either.

Main problem is Brazil doesn’t have enough! google.com/amp/s/amp.cnn.…
13) state of Rio de Janeiro suspended its vaccination campaign because it had run out of vaccine supplies.

"This is a disaster, a total disaster," a woman told CNN after being denied her vaccine. "Who is to blame for all this? I think our leaders, our politicians suck."
14) “less than 10 million people in the country of about 220 million had received at least one dose, according to federal health data. Only 1.57% of the population had been fully vaccinated.”

THIS IS AN EPIC DISASTER in the making for Brazil. google.com/amp/s/amp.cnn.…
15) How the hell did Brazil screw up its vaccine supply so much?

“multiple experts say the ineptitude of the federal government, led by Covid-skeptic Bolsonaro, has sabotaged. They point to a distinct lack of urgency on the fed govt to secure supplies”
cnn.com/2021/02/01/ame…
16) Brazil is in talks with the US to import some vaccines. The US already “loaned” 4 million doses to Mexico & Canada. But the talks with Brazil started March 13th and still have not reached any deal. Brazil needs it soon. Hope Bolsonaro is playing ball.
google.com/amp/s/www.voan…
17) Even with vaccine imports, and the delay in rollout and immunity kicking in, the next month will be brutal for Brazil. We might see what unmitigated full onslaught with a downplaying Bolsonaro looks like.

Meantime, Brazil ordering 3x the coffins.

metropoles.com/brasil/covid-a…
18) But I also want to offer a message of hope to the people of Brazil 🇧🇷— the world sees your struggle and your pain. I talk to colleagues at the WHO and in DC. The world has not forgotten you—even if your leader maybe sometimes has. The world needs to care and does care.
19) Meantime, Bolsonaro is the one person that world leaders need to call out and pressure. He is literally stopping all efforts to improve the situation. This is untenable.

If this Brazil crisis keeps going, I worry for its stability. google.com/amp/s/amp.cnn.… Image
20) I don’t believe in doomed fate. “There is no fate but what we make.”

Brazil needs help, Brazil needs change. Brazil needs leadership that will put human lives first, and to end suffering of its poor.

May God & the world help the people of Brazil.
21) To the rest of the 🌎—please don’t be selfishly withholding aid/vaccines. If Brazil’s #P1 crisis grows, so will the risk for the world. We rise as fall as one planet & civilization. We need to remember the motto—“All for one, one for all”—let’s all find our inner humanity. 🙏
22) p.s. the Oxford-AstraZeneca reported to be is efficacious against the #P1 variant. But the study hasn’t be released yet by researchers - details forthcoming.

US has a stockpile over over 30 million doses of AstraZeneca—it needs to release now.
cnbc.com/2021/03/05/oxf…
23) UK Imperial team:

⚠️“data show #P1 variant is 1.4-2.2 times more transmissible than other variants & original #SARSCoV2 strain, and 25%-65% more likely to evade existing protective immunity from previous non-P.1 infections—susceptible to reinfection.”
edition.cnn.com/world/live-new… Image
24) The catastrophe in Brazil is the worst in its history. And likely will be the worst in the annals of this pandemic — we desperately need to urgently send aid and vaccines to Brazil 🇧🇷.

Please help @WHCOS @aslavitt46 @ASlavitt @JeffZients @DrTedros @mvankerkhove @gabbystern
25) good news - vaccine deals inked by Brazil to buy more.

Bad news—most of the vaccines ordered aren’t coming for many many months.
26) Vaccine inequality is the great inequality that will lead to more tragedy in this pandemic.

We need to send vaccines urgently to Brazil, Mexico, and all of Latin America. #COVID19 #COVID19Vaccine

(HT @fibke) Image
27) The longer we neglect to vaccinate low and middle income countries (LMIC), the longer this crisis will continue.

#VaccinEquity for Brazil and all of Latin America and Africa and Asia.

(Ht @fibke)

pandem-ic.com/vaccine-equity… Image
28) ...I’m hearing some signals US might help Brazil hospitals in some potential ways soon. Unclear what yet. But there are some in WH that are exploring. Fingers crossed of what’s to come.
29) this was Brazil 3 days ago... and those spikes have now surged even more.
30) Now Brazil’s #P1 crisis has spilled over into neighboring countries...
31) And now #P1 has invaded North America - British Columbia 🇨🇦 has a recent sudden surge of #P1.
32) The Brazilian 🇧🇷 #P1 epidemic has now definitively spilled into other countries and caused outbreaks—the largest being in British Columbia, Canada.
33) P.s. small update on Brazil 🇧🇷 situation - I have receive word that Brazil is now engaging with the US directly. Hopeful 🙏
34) Brazil needs to act fast.... now more young people are dying than in first wave.

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More from @DrEricDing

Eric Feigl-Ding Profile picture
Aug 14
JUST IN— W.H.O. Declares Global Emergency Over New Mpox Outbreak. The threat this time is deadlier. Since the beginning of this year, the Democratic Republic of Congo alone has reported more than 14,000 mpox cases and 524 deaths. Those most at risk include women and children under 15. The outbreak has spread through 13 countries in Africa, including a few that had never reported mpox cases before.

(Gift 🎁 link)
nytimes.com/2024/08/14/hea…Image
2) public health emergency of international concern— Also known as PHEIC, this is a status given by WHO to “extraordinary events” that pose a public health risk to other countries through the international spread of disease.

cnn.com/2024/08/14/hea…
3) The Africa Centres for Disease Control and Prevention declared the outbreak a public health emergency of continental security the day before — the first such declaration by the agency since its inception in 2017.
Read 15 tweets
Eric Feigl-Ding Profile picture
Jul 19
Concerning—CDC now says that 42 states are seeing rising rates of #COVID19 again—with levels high or very high in 35 states (and rising). COVID wastewater levels have already surpassed last summer’s peak and climbing fast. #CovidIsNotOver
cdc.gov/forecast-outbr…


Image
Image
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2) Substantial 28% increase in one week. Question is how high it will go. It’s a new variant (mostly KP2 and KP3 and JN1), which are evasive against past infection and past vaccines.
3) COVID is surging in many countries worldwide. Eg in Italy where deaths are also climbing once again. New variants, new surges.
Read 4 tweets
Eric Feigl-Ding Profile picture
Jul 3
A girl using cover name JANE DOE testified under oath at Ghislaine Maxwell’s criminal trial that she was introduced to Trump by Jeffrey Epstein when she was 14 years old. Pass it on.
Trump’s name appears 7 times in Epstein’s latest files. They regularly called each other according to phone logs. Trump says Epstein is a “terrific guy”. And he traveled on flights, according to logs, to Epstein’s island multiple times.
3) THIS STUFF IS NEW—not old Epstein-Trump info. New information regarding Epstein's child trafficking activities was released 7/2/24. Documents from 2016 are now out of date and do not show the depth of Trump's dealings with Epstein... READ MORE:

nymag.com/intelligencer/…
Read 4 tweets
Eric Feigl-Ding Profile picture
Jul 2
Reminder—Trump had expressed executing people on many occasions while President, according to his own Attorney General. Now the Supreme Court has green lit any official act with full presidential immunity. Germany did the same in 1933. It turned out great.
2) If we ignore history, we are bound to repeat it. How Germany became Nazi Germany in 1933….
3) And the U.S. military will become Trump’s official personal army.
Read 8 tweets
Eric Feigl-Ding Profile picture
Jul 1
American Democracy is dead. Long Live the King. The King can now “assassinate you, officially”.

By @ElieNYC
thenation.com/article/societ…
Image
2) Laws aren’t really laws anymore to the President of the United States. Who do you want as president now?
3) American democracy had a great 240-year run. Too bad it’s now sorta over after today’s SCOTUS ruling.
Image
Read 6 tweets
Eric Feigl-Ding Profile picture
Jun 23
📍 The New York Times Is Failing Its Readers Badly on Covid

📌“Example of ‘science opinion’ run amok in the [NY Times] is a piece… by Zeynep Tufekci, a commentator with no training in biological science or epidemiology… ➡️Tufekci plays into the hands of the anti-science politicians who now seek vengeance on the flimsiest of grounds.”

By GREGG GONSALVES and JOHN P. MOORE
thenation.com/article/societ…Image
Image
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2) “Tufekci also adds to the ongoing pile-on about whether the directive to maintain a distance of six feet from others was needed. Although the precise distance was indeed somewhat arbitrary, there was no possibility of obtaining hard data in the relevant time frame. The six-foot distance was a reasonable assumption based on public health history, and the practice of social distancing for other respiratory pathogens, particularly those spread by droplets. It was also adopted in multiple other countries, for the same reasons.”
3) “The problem here isn’t that Tufekci is questioning the evidentiary basis of the six-foot rule—science and public health cannot progress if we don’t evaluate the results of our work. But that progress is more effective when grounded in good-faith inquiry, rather than the kinds of attacks Tufekci levels against government scientists for doing their best in desperate circumstances. This only serves to bolster the forces who seek to destroy the US public health infrastructure, not make it better.

Tufekci also leaves the impression that she alone realized SARS-CoV-2 was airborne early on. In fact, the debate about transmission was fast and furious within the scientific community at that time”
Read 9 tweets

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