Waiting patiently. Day 59 of the #Bitcoin Cycle with a looming Cycle Low in focus. Day 50 bull trap behind us.

This is my preferred look at what's possibly coming up.

Lows can dip further than expected, and to be bought. Otherwise buy ATH break. (Traders) Image
"IF"

If we get another 60-day Cycle that continues Oct-20 trend to $80k-$100k, then I believe we're going top with sizable 40-50% correction, that takes MANY (4-6) months to consolidate.

The entire 60-day cycle gain would be erased. Prefer 60-day consolidation from this point Image
And in such a scenario, I will be forced to sell 15% of my $BTC. 🙊

#4YearJourney #blasphemy
Target hit, cycle on Day 64.

Now we can begin looking for Cycle Lows. "Lows can dip further than expected"

Not convinced until the fat lady sings. Image
Interestingly, the 20-week moving average is at $36k, will be $39k within 2 weeks.

That level would certainly reveal who is swimming naked.

Yeah I know, institutions would never allow that. 😉
Progression of a cycle. Patience.

#Bitcoin

This is a new cycle. Question is does it take the same form (as the prior 3). Image
Still tracking this Cycle outlook. #bitcoin

12hr bollinger bands tightest since rally Oct2020 started. VOL down. Volumes low.

This 6-month rally has re-fueled (8th consolidating week at $1T mcap zone). Time to reveal intentions. Close below $53k get worried. Image
#bitcoin Cycle progression, going to plan. They're not always this neat.

Nothing more one can do, but sit tight and wait. No stress, out of your control. $BTC Image

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More from @BobLoukas

3 Apr
New Project.

Taking 100 $ETH from my IRA Trust.

Going to stake in ETH2 Validator.

10yr horizon. Should compound to around 175 ETH by yr 10.

Should generate 12ETH per yr income, tax free/life. Principal untouched.

12ETH x (Price 2031) = Yr Income.
Risk is $200k or 100ETH.
2/ Of course could trade it. Play the Cycles and v.likely come out more ETH over period.

But already do that. This portion of funds allocated to long term investment ignoring market timing and about long term cap appreciation/income.

Planting a tree. l'm an investor + trader.
3/ Logistically, established trust's years ago using sensefinancial.com - (Not ad or referral) giving checkbook access.

Created Trust accounts at PAXOS. You buy ETH in TRUST'S name for record keeping.

So validator gets fed ETH from Paxos then back later for conversion.
Read 5 tweets
7 Apr 20
1/. Stock markets are surging on “Corona news is better than modelled”.

The amount of deaths is irrelevant to a pricing system, only the perceived economic impact.
2/. This “Hope” that we can get back to normal sooner will likely last a while longer, as we are still early in the Cycle. (Recent March lows marked new cycle).
3/. Going further out though, recurrences of #coronavirus popping up in the US and throughout the world will lead to rather shutdowns and slowdowns. The cumulative disruptions will cause a real drag on economies and therefore, earnings.
Read 7 tweets
20 Mar 20
What I think I know.

#Covid_19 is clearly fast spreading and packs a punch. Not debating how we're choosing to fight it, but the world is committed now to "social distancing" and economic aid.

1/
2/ The bright side is apparently the China model, 45 days in Wuhan and the numbers peaked, now virtually free of new cases!!

The world is projecting a similar 30 day period (flatten the curve) and we're BBQing in the spring.
3/ Problem is, the West is not disciplined like China...far from it. They were able to contain this b/c of draconian measured imposed on all residents.

Do you think the Chinese fought #corona like this?
Read 9 tweets
13 Jun 19
Once we see Bitcoin > $150k ($3T market cap), with broad institutional participation, ETF's, retirement money, which is then followed by a working layer 2 payments capability, Bitcoin will become enough of an establishment threat for them to attack.
Expect heavy and coordinated regulation and/or outlawing of Bitcoin. This will become the next bull market top and bear market catalyst. Circa 2021.

Bitcoin suffers a prolong and sustained bear market as a result. 2021-2026. Completing the first 16-yr Cycle.
Talking a lot off the table at the next top will be extremely important.
Read 4 tweets

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