Gosh—just one lab has discovered a huge cluster of 215 cases of contagious #P1 variant via screening in Vancouver 🇨🇦... to put in perspective, the entire US 🇺🇸 has only 79 #P1 cases in total.
5) Meanwhile, another UK group at Imperial puts #P1 at 2x (100% increase) more transmissible than older common strains— but with even larger reinfection potential.
Keep in mind #b117 from UK is only 40-60% faster than old common. This implies #P1 is faster than B117.
BREAKING—Mexico's 🇲🇽 government is acknowledging in a quietly released report that the country's true death toll from the coronavirus pandemic now stands above 321,000. That is almost 60% more than Mexico’s official test-confirmed number #COVID19 cases.🧵
2) Mexico does little testing, and because hospitals were overwhelmed, many Mexicans died at home without getting a test. The only way to get a clear picture is to review “excess deaths” and review death certificates.
3) “The higher toll would rival that of Brazil, which currently has the world’s second-highest number of deaths after the United States. But Mexico’s population of 126 million is far smaller than either of those countries.”
2) And of course I got the “do you know Kung fu” question. The even more ignorant ones asked “karate”. It’s harmless at first, but it gets tricky once older because then some playground bully then wants to play tough guy and fight you for sport.
3) I ignored most of it, but it also hurt that we were poor, and they teased me about my awkward clothes that we bought from Goodwill and Salvation Army thrift stores.
2) “In the state’s capital, more and more people between 20 and 54 are getting infected, the city’s health secretary, Edson Aparecido, told GloboNews TV on Friday. Younger patients wait longer to seek health care and are sicker when they arrive”.
3) “Before, the risk factor to dying from Covid-19 was being older, having some co-morbidity,” said Domingos Alves, a professor of medicine who’s part of the national monitoring group. “Now, the risk is being Brazilian.”
Help Brazil—4000 deaths a day is near, 🇧🇷 has 1/4 of the entire world’s daily #COVID19 deaths, far more than any other single nation. Brazil is “on verge of even greater calamity and that shutdowns are no longer avoidable”.
The more contagious #P1 variant from Brazil has now invaded N America—British Columbia🇨🇦 has a sudden cluster of 215+ new #P1 cases sequenced by one Vancouver lab.
#P1 is more contagious, has reinfection risk and possibly more severe.🧵
2) 215 identified by one lab in Vancouver — and not all even included in public reports by BC health Dept yet (they are much slower reporting than CTV news)
BC 🇨🇦 has added 20-30 daily #P1 cases per day for the last 4 days (again not including all the #P1 above)
3) And are these new #P1 cases due to international travel or were they local transmission?
The BC health Dept report few days ago said the initial 84 cases were all community transmission!! Zero international travel. This is a bad sign — so many at once and no travel.