Not sure of how will the Debt mutual funds react to the change in valuation rules of AT1 & Tier 2 bonds and what should you do?
A thread for my retail investor friends.
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The first step is to understand what are AT1 & Tier 2 bonds. Have written about them in the past. It’s a must that you read both of these before going ahead
(a)
AT1 bonds have no defined maturity and are dependent on the bank/issuer to call the bonds back where as Tier 2 bonds are bonds where there is a defined maturity in place. (3/8)
If u now look @ the new valuation norms, the norms r only for AT1 for all practical purposes as Tier 2 bonds always had maturity in place & were used while doing the valuation. So ignore the tier 2 holding of ur Mutual Fund portfolio as there will nt b ny material impact. (4/8)
Markets have already priced in AT1 bonds down and yields have risen by 100-120 bps. Market is not waiting for April 1 implementation to show the impact. Which means your funds having AT1 would have already got affected whatever it had to. (5/8)
What should you do now?
(1) If your funds have less than 5% AT1 bonds, don’t do anything. Most of it is priced in (6/8)
(2) If your funds have more than 5% AT1 bonds, there still can be a small impact depending on the exposure. But if your investment is below 3 years, the tax disadvantage is more if you redeem. (7/8)
I have written multiple threads earlier on
- Sector Analysis
- Macro Economics
- Debt Markets
- Real Estate
- Equity Markets etc.
You can find them all in the link below. (**END**)
Personal Finance 101 – My learning’s about investing
This topic is for everyone, whether you manage your money yourself or through your advisor, it will go a long way in managing your finances.
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Subscribe to our YouTube for some interesting educational content around Personal Finance - youtube.com/c/KirtanAShah
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(1) Lets start with Life Insurance
Term Insurance is the best way to take an insurance cover & probably the only product to buy in life insurance. Make sure u disclose all the necessary information before taking the insurance. Smoking, Alcohol, any pre-existing deceases etc(3/n)
Why increase in Bond yields is creating panic in the equity market? Also, how does Gold generally react in such times?
A Thread!
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This thread will require you to do some brush up.
Before we understand this topic, its important to understand what happened the last 6-8 months. Have written a detailed thread on 'liquidity' & I advice reading it first before we move any ahead (2/n)
Today I am so happy that investors in #Franklin have received some part of their investments back. I am purposely writing this small thread, not to show that I am technically sound but because I want to answer the trolls who made my life difficult over the last 10 months (1/n)
(1) Franklin funds were wound up on the 23rd of April 2020. It was the 9th of April 2020, that I wrote the below tweet and warned my twitter followers on the rising borrowing levels in FT funds and why it was not normal, rest is history (2/n)
(2) After the wound up, we had multiple media reports floating on how investors will receive their monies back at the average maturity of the funds, which I believed was otherwise. (3/n)
After writing on Banking & Paints, this thread focuses on the 'Logistic Sector'. Idea is to give a small start to the retail investors looking at investing in this space from where they can build on.
This thread covers,
- Macro
- Business Model
- 3PL & 4PL
- Valuation (1/n)
Logistics business macro
-14% of India’s GDP is spent on Logistic
-Organized market is 42%
-Growing at 10-15%
-Employs 2.2 cr
-Achieved Infrastructure status
-FY 14-18 attracted 1,00,000 cr FDI (2/n)
What’s the business?
Logistic is traditionally seen as a warehousing & transportation business where goods, needs 2b transported 4m point A to B using Road, Rail, Ship or Air & can be stored at multiple warehouses before the consumer receives the product (3/n)
What is currently happening in the Debt markets?
- RBI announcing 14 days variable reverse repo
- Government talking about 12L cr of borrowing
- RBI announcing 20,000 cr of OMO
Lets demystify. ‘re-tweet’ & help us reach more investors
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There is a lot of liquidity in the system. You have heard many say it and even I wrote about it
Banks have liquidity but are cautious in lending. If banks don’t lend this liquidity, banks will be at a loss (notionally) as they will still have to pay the investors it borrowed from - FD, Savings Account, Current Account, RD etc. (2/n)
RBI announced allowing the retail investors to buy-sell government securities directly. In this thread lets explore the What, Why & How of ‘Retail Direct’
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(Q1) Wasn’t the retail already allowed to invest in G-Secs?
Retail could take exposure to G-secs through Mutual Funds and also use brokers & invest in G-secs (since 2018) exactly the way they buy-sell equities (2/n)
(Q2) How of what is announced is different?
(a) Using the current model of the brokers, only buying-selling in the secondary market is allowed. Retail Direct will allow retail to participate in Secondary as well as the Primary market of G-sec (3/n)