Eight years ago, I told an OLD portfolio manager that FinTech would CRUSH banks.

He told me that banks have infinite capital, and will buy any FinTech they see as a threat.

Turns out, we were both right.

Time for a thread 👇👇👇
Bank stocks went up +140%, they strategically acquired many FinTech competitors and even incubated their own technology.

BUT...

Quietly, the FinTech industry was CHIPPING AWAY. Gradually, then suddenly, this happened…
They took a +30% bite of the finance pie. And the size of that bite is growing at an accelerating pace.

“Technological change is always slower than we think. BUT it’s always more profound than we could have ever imagined.”
This week, let’s breakdown DIGITAL WALLETS in 1 MIN!

1.DIGITAL WALLETS 👉 What are they?
2.COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE 👉 How will banks compete?
3.FUTURE 👉 One wallet to rule them all!

Let’s get started!
1.1/ DIGITAL WALLETS 👉 What are they?

Digital wallets are a digital version of your physical wallet.

It allows you to pay for things, usually through a mobile phone app, and even stores gift cards, tickets and more.
1.2/ Why have they become so popular?

Because we’ve been spoiled by ONLINE SHOPPING and SOCIAL MEDIA.

We are now demanding the same user experience from our financial services.
1.3/ How did they start?

Back in the late 90s, we started sending money on the internet - the birth of Digital Payments.

Let’s take a quick peek back — it didn’t happen overnight!
1.4/ VENMO & CASH APP

Square’s Cash App & PayPal’s Venmo are the two most POPULAR consumer digital wallets in the U.S.

Before we get into a comparison of the two, let’s look at the competitive landscape and how banks are going to compete.
2.1/ COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

The global digital wallet market is now a >$1 TRILLION sector.

To put that in perspective, it’s basically equivalent to the Top 10 largest banks in the US.
2.2/ How will banks compete?

The digital wallet sector is expected to grow at nearly 30% a year to reach over $7 trillion by 2027.

It’s going to be hard and expensive for banks to compete.
2.3/ BANK STRATEGY

In a nutshell, banks are using old & tired ways of landing customers.

“Advertising and promotion, postage, stationery and supplies”
2.4/ DIGITAL WALLET STRATEGY

Digital Wallet companies are using edgy social media marketing & influencers as well as unique “branded” identifiers.

This pulls in new customers cheaply.
2.5/ BANKS vs. DIGITAL

These tactics are working so well the numbers speak for themselves.

The customer acquisition cost for Digital Wallets is $20 versus Banks at $925!
3/ CASH APP vs. VENMO

Even though CASH APP is bigger and has more growth, I won't be buying it YET.

See WHY (and a full analysis) below!
gritcapital.substack.com/welcome
4.1/ Future: One Digital Wallet to Rule them All!

I imagine a future where holding, sending, realizing & borrowing value whether in the form of fiat, crypto, NFT’s, stocks, real estate etc...

is possible from ONE digital wallet.
4.2/ THE FUTURE

A push of a button would enable powerful transactions like these:

- SEND stocks or crypto as gifts to my friends’ kids for Christmas
- INVEST in new start-ups in real-time after falling in love with their product
4.3/ THE FUTURE

- TRADE those points to pay for anything from AirBnB rental to buying Stocks
- BUY/SELL a house instantaneously
- BORROW from my home equity to invest in stocks
4.4/ THE FUTURE

- LIST & SELL content I have created instantly via NFT (Non-Fungible Tokens)
- DONATE to charity using any method in my wallet

All settlements and accounting would be built in. No fuss or headaches at tax time!
4.5/ TIMELINE

To make this all possible you would have to API all the different platforms (brokerage, bank, crypto, lending etc) into one platform.

The world when we have ONE DIGITAL WALLET TO RULE THEM ALL👇
5/ GRIT NEWSLETTER

Every week I write a newsletter to ~20k investors including hedge funds, pension funds, investment advisors & billionaires.

SUBSCRIBE to see how we’re playing this! 👇

gritcapital.substack.com/welcome
6/ YOUTUBE

SUBSCRIBE to my YouTube channel for more insights! 👇

• • •

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More from @GRDecter

26 Mar
The FED is like your grandparents who gave you extra allowance money.

Your PARENTS are like the media, economic & political pundits shaming them for spoiling you.

The truth is both are right.

Time for a thread 👇👇👇
Sometimes the economy needs an extra BOOST OF MONEY, especially during tough economic times.

BUT this extra money causes unintended consequences:

- We become DEPENDENT on it
- We end up in DEBT because of it
- We create INFLATION that destroys it
Why should you care?

Because we are in uncharted territory.

The FED has never printed this much money.

In many ways, though, they didn’t have a choice.

The alternative was to let the economy and stock market crash — have a prolonged recession or potentially a depression.
Read 23 tweets
17 Mar
One year ago stocks dropped 12% in a single day.

The stock market can be a very confusing place.

Time for a thread 👇👇👇
1/ What is a correction in the stock market? A crash?

A correction in the stock market is generally defined as a drop of between 10-20% in the market indices in 1-2 days.

Whereas a crash is a drop of +20% in the same amount of time.
2/ What causes these drops?

Drops come from both internal and external factors to the market.

For instance, overvalued stocks (INTERNAL) can cause investors to pull money from the market, causing a dip.

But, EXTERNAL factors, like the COVID-19 pandemic, can also cause drops.
Read 8 tweets
5 Mar
When an asset class grows 60x in 1 year from $1B to $60B and you’ve got:

Mark Cuban saying it reminds him of the beginning of the Internet.

…It’s worth tuning into.

Time for a thread 👇👇👇
This week, I break down Decentralized Finance!

1. DeFi 👉 What is it & why should you care?

2. Four Big Uses 👉 Lending, Stablecoins, Trading & NFTs
1/ DEFI: WHAT IS IT?

In a nutshell, DeFi is doing finance activities OUTSIDE the financial system.

Like lending, trading, crowdfunding, insurance, derivatives, digital collectibles etc.

It has the potential to disrupt the ENTIRE financial economy.
Read 21 tweets
26 Feb
3 months ago, I announced I was buying Bitcoin.

It was at $13k.
Today, it’s $49k.

Why am I still BULLISH?

Time for a thread 👇👇👇
1/ $1 TRILLION MARKET CAP

Bitcoin can now buy you:

- A Tesla
- A down payment on a house
- A new financial advisor ; )

And it’s bigger than the top financial institutions in the world.
2/ THE FED.

The FED printing an ungodly amount of money in response to COVID — tanking the US dollar — has helped spark the run.

But it's much more than that...
Read 20 tweets
19 Feb
Real Estate: PHYSICAL TO DIGITAL!

Did you know the wealthiest people in the world are no longer rich from REAL ESTATE?

They are rich from TECHNOLOGY.

Time for a thread 👇👇👇
1/ NINJA LOANS.

After the financial crisis when housing ownership peaked in America — fuelled by NINJA MORTGAGES = NO INCOME, NO JOB, and NO ASSETS...

Technology titans quietly BUT swiftly moved into the top spot!
2/ NO INNOVATION.

What’s even more fascinating is that the Real Estate sector has been the most resistant to innovation.
Read 31 tweets
10 Feb
Real Estate: Value Play or Value Trap?

"$126 billion in commercial real estate will be forced to sell at distressed prices through 2022, more than the first 2 years after the global financial crisis" - Bloomberg

Time for a thread 👇👇👇
1/ Asset or Liability.

Investors believe REAL ESTATE is a never lose investment.

But what if something was brewing beneath the surface, that you and I & Harvard’s endowment fund couldn’t see coming?

When trillions of dollars move from being an ASSET to a LIABILITY?
2/ Physical Real Estate.

Let’s breakdown it down:

- Bonds ‘Holding the Bag’ 😳
- Bad vs Good 🕵️‍♀️
- Physical to Digital 📲
Read 30 tweets

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