Week 55-57 - #COVID19 in Iran
The 4th wave is now finally confirmed.
Picking up from 3 weeks ago [due to lack of development waiting for a more coherent picture to develop]
The 4th wave is now finally confirmed.
Picking up from 3 weeks ago [due to lack of development waiting for a more coherent picture to develop]
https://twitter.com/aliostad/status/1371169374720167938?s=20
[Current Outlook/1]
While the 4th wave had been expected for months and was in development in limited areas (Khuzestan) within Iran, now according to official reports it has spread all across the country.
The B117 strain (a.k.a British) seem to be the main driver.
While the 4th wave had been expected for months and was in development in limited areas (Khuzestan) within Iran, now according to official reports it has spread all across the country.
The B117 strain (a.k.a British) seem to be the main driver.
[Current Outlook/2]
It has been very surprising that the 4th wave did take quite a while to develop which is probably due to development of partial herd immunity. And it is likely that the current resurgence is direct result of the new strain (B117).
It has been very surprising that the 4th wave did take quite a while to develop which is probably due to development of partial herd immunity. And it is likely that the current resurgence is direct result of the new strain (B117).
[Current Outlook/3]
As for the official numbers all these show confirmed 4th wave:
- rising daily deaths above 100
- rising daily admissions above 1000
- rising patients in critical condition to above 4000
OVERALL, outlook is dismal since there is no prospect for vaccination.
As for the official numbers all these show confirmed 4th wave:
- rising daily deaths above 100
- rising daily admissions above 1000
- rising patients in critical condition to above 4000
OVERALL, outlook is dismal since there is no prospect for vaccination.
[Personal/1]
I received the 1st does of the AstraZeneca vaccine. Had some pretty severe reactions such as crushing body ache, headache, unstoppable shakes and malaise. I was OK 24 hours later and fully recovered 72 hours after.
I received the 1st does of the AstraZeneca vaccine. Had some pretty severe reactions such as crushing body ache, headache, unstoppable shakes and malaise. I was OK 24 hours later and fully recovered 72 hours after.
[Personal/2]
My brother in Iran contracted COVID for the 2nd time, confirmed by the test. He had really tough and prolonged symptoms for two weeks. His O2 level dropped to 92.
He has recovered since and feels better. This came a year after his 1st episode during the 1st wave.
My brother in Iran contracted COVID for the 2nd time, confirmed by the test. He had really tough and prolonged symptoms for two weeks. His O2 level dropped to 92.
He has recovered since and feels better. This came a year after his 1st episode during the 1st wave.
The vaccination in Iran has been a complete sham. While the medical staff were defined as the 1st priority group, in lack of any official numbers, anecdotal reports among my friends show 10-15% vaccination while the number of doses imported was enough for the whole group.
It appears that the imported dose have all used up and there is no prospect of importing any more.
The official word is that widespread vaccination will not start until October 2021!
The official word is that widespread vaccination will not start until October 2021!
https://twitter.com/ManotoNews/status/1378242527354966016?s=20
Now it is clear (if there was any doubt) that the sanctions had zero impact in ability to purchase vaccines. It is all due to lack of "will" preferring to spend the funds differently [missile program?]
There are a few dozen programmes for making vaccine - so far nothing.
There are a few dozen programmes for making vaccine - so far nothing.
Bloomberg pointed out that in a number of countries including Iran, with this rate of vaccination it would take 10 years for the whole population to get vaccinated.
https://twitter.com/IranIntl/status/1377924814652968962?s=20
Chairman of the Health Commission of Iranian Chamber of Commerce believes Iran lost its opportunity to pre-order vaccines and now it is too late.
https://twitter.com/ManotoNews/status/1376513971830710275?s=20
The government, in its ability (or lack of will) to provide vaccine has allowed privately owned companies to import COVID vaccine. [Such companies have later said they are unable to acquire vaccine]
https://twitter.com/shokrani_maryam/status/1374622305469534209?s=20
Leaving you with a recommendation - as I have always said, I am doing these reports while not a journalist or epidemiologist/virologist.
Highly recommend following UK-based virologist @Mahan_Ghafari for in-depth view of the COVID in Iran.
Highly recommend following UK-based virologist @Mahan_Ghafari for in-depth view of the COVID in Iran.
https://twitter.com/ArisKatzourakis/status/1377735822066257921?s=20
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