THREAD: Robert Pape's @washingtonpost essay about his study (that provides more details than a comment in a @nytimes story) is actually INTERESTING. The racism propelling the "protect the vote" insurrection and subsequent GOP voter suppression strategy are known to Pape. 1/
It would be too bad to lose this data based on a strong research agenda, then condensed to a column, that was written about by a reporter, only for Pape's quote to be criticized on twitter b/c he decided to have some fancy rollout only tomorrow so no one has seen the report! 2/
For me, though, some data from what Pape has released is interesting: "Those involved are, by and large, older and more professional than right-wing protesters we have surveyed in the past. They typically have no ties to existing right-wing groups." "In the past" is operative.3/
I suspect the latter "no ties" point is because Trump became their de facto terror leader (my essay here), bypassing existing racist groups or the need for any affiliation with them to organize. Trump, WH, GOP operatives did it for them. 4/

theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/…
The point about income isn't that they had money, it is that they had more money than others at right-wing rallies or violent events. Now I'd love to learn more here, but that could be because the GOP -- a well-funded organization -- so embraced the movement that 5/
it became appealing to a larger swath of the GOP, including the wealthy.

Anyway, an unfortunate turn but I hope you all can review the study because it might be helpful. And this provides another reason why academics shouldn't do fancy "rollouts." 6/6
Should add his column! +1
washingtonpost.com/opinions/2021/…

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More from @juliettekayyem

15 Mar
This is already so good. @Harry_Styles #grammys
Given the lack of live performances for so long, the whole thing -- voices over theatrics, music in the round, the artists sitting and grooving to other artists, the first three selections -- is just a joy to watch. #GRAMMYs
This is such a neat touch and I hope they keep it; artists talking about their careers and how they think about their music. It's just interesting. Plus #BlackPumas are just so good. #GRAMMYs
Read 13 tweets
12 Mar
WHITE GOP MEN AND VACCINES. As I noted before, every cohort of past vaccine resistant pops has shifted towards yes (to "now" or "yes, but not first" category).
Vaccinations beget vaccinations.
EXCEPT GOP men and Trump supporters remain unmoved. Trump continues to harm. 1/
Trump did not announce his vaccination, no photo, no former Pres PSA video. He is hostile to Biden's successes in the roll out. It's tragic, really. FOX could help. But data shows that people can be moved by family and friends too so talk to them, don't shame, one at a time. 2/
Minority and vulnerable populations face access issues, but it is incorrect to call that hesitancy or hostility. Different problem and one that needs to be fixed. Indeed in African American and even Hispanic communities (though latter is still high), hesitancy dropping fast. 3/
Read 4 tweets
22 Feb
(Personal) Thread on debate about US Covid status -- glass half full or half empty; life back to normal or "constant vigilance." It seems to be less about data, but about choosing a standard of measurement: bulk or intimate. I earlier described the mental pivot we needed⬇️ 1/
By any "bulk" measurement, the foundations are strong/awesome. All systems are go (ice delays notwithstanding); vaccines are working; strong proof for controlling transmission; glitches are fixable; supply increasing; more vaccines will be approved; hesitancy going down. 2/
With any "intimacy" measure, there is (may always be?) worry. We get to normal if people continue to behave well so the risk of claiming victory prematurely is high; minority and disadvantaged communities are being left out; "blips" are real; anti-vaxxers suck; variants exist. 3/
Read 7 tweets
10 Feb
Thread on data of #capitolriot charges. This is why the isolation, condemnation and deplatforming of their spiritual and operational head must continue: only small % had ties to organized groups, while the rest only had allegiance to Trump. This is good 1/
nytimes.com/interactive/20…
Why? The question remains how relevant to domestic terrorism movement is Trump? Qanon moves on; white supremacy exists; hate never went away. Of course that is true but I don't think helpful. We have a tactical threat: the concern that Trump continues to nurture and recruit. 2/
Yes we have "big picture" issues about race and tolerance and conspiracies but sometimes solving an immediate problem can help with longer term one. Trump's use of terrorism tactics was that problem. And the data shows he was successful at getting individuals radicalized. 3/
Read 5 tweets
5 Feb
.@Farah_Pandith, who wrote a book about radicalization, has something to say about the podcast Caliphate today. This isn't just about fact-checking. Every female counterterrorism expert saw what was happening: the selling of a sexy (pun intended) story to the public. 1/
From the PR campaign, to the haunting fear that the reporter has about being physically in danger, to the glamorization of violence, and the caricature of female ISIS members, the whole thing was, in Farah's words, made "glam." 2/
And it worked. Caliphate was to counterterrorism as Serial was to criminal justice issues by bringing a major issue to the forefront through audio storytelling of the life of one man through a believing woman. I am well aware of the irony is this analogy. 3/
Read 5 tweets
11 Jan
Political commentators are falling into mistake that violent terror threats get less so if some mercy (no impeachment) is shown its leader. There is history of counterterrorism efforts that show otherwise. Only complete isolation, powerlessness, deplatforming, of leader works. 1/
For the next 10 days and beyond, Trump has to be seen as ineffectual, without oxygen, so he can not have second act. No soft exit. It’s horrible to admit, but do not buy into argument that violence is less if we put a brake on gas pedal. They need to be stopped. 2/
But the violence is actually worse if they, and future recruits, view him as strong. They want to back a winner. We prepare for violence but it will be less so in the future with no leadership and if they know their leader can’t help them. 3/
Read 4 tweets

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