1. #COVID19BC cases continue to rise to unprecedented levels 🧵
2. The rise is on most age levels, except the older demographics, a sign that the vaccines are working! (And that we are not vaccinating fast enough)
3. Particularly concerning is the rise in the school-aged demographic in Vancouver Coastal (note that the y-axes are different)
4. The Harvard Global Health Institute recommends closing school once the number of new cases per day exceeds 25 per 100k.

5. Vancouver Coastal and Fraser have now exceeded this threshold.
6. Hospitalizations are rising in BC.
7. And particularly we have now reached a new record number of people in the ICU.
8. This time it seems to be younger people filling up the ICUs

9. Bringing some of our local hospitals to dire conditions.

10. Particularly concerning is the rise in the Variants of Concern, which will likely continue to increase exponentially our case numbers.

11. Today we have 877 cases of P.1, which continues to almost triple every week.
It is important to pivot and change strategy. @DFisman discussed many ideas here.


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More from @eresc79

8 Apr
1. Updated numbers from #COVID19BC situation report (bccdc.ca/Health-Info-Si…) 🧵

2837 #B117 (vs 3122 predicted), new Rt is still 1.6.
872 #P1 (vs 879 predicted), new Rt is 3.2.

2. The estimated Rt values for P1 have been consistent for three weeks now. Image
3. New numbers from today fit beautifully an exponential growth curve Image
Read 7 tweets
15 Sep 20
The number of cases per week continues to increase. 1/ #covidbc Image
The current wave started with the young (20-29), but it is expanding to other age demographics 2/ Image
Assuming that the current second wave started on June 1st, the cumulative cases point to a doubling time of ~20 days 3/ Image
Read 7 tweets

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