THREAD: The top 0.1% of ideas I’ve stumbled upon on the internet.
The rabbit holes (without the distractions).
The rabbit holes (without the distractions).
1. Directional Arrows of Progress
“Study the undeniable arrows of progress.” - @wolfejosh
• The future is kinda like a crossword puzzle.
• Nobody is going to spell out for you - but clues exist.
• Wolfe uses the trend line of history as clues for the future.
“Study the undeniable arrows of progress.” - @wolfejosh
• The future is kinda like a crossword puzzle.
• Nobody is going to spell out for you - but clues exist.
• Wolfe uses the trend line of history as clues for the future.
• E.g. Look at this directional arrow of progress
• Every time the computer gets more powerful, smaller and closer to our bodies.
• Wolfe used this trend line to bet that Brain-Machine interfaces will be huge and started funding companies in the space.
• Every time the computer gets more powerful, smaller and closer to our bodies.
• Wolfe used this trend line to bet that Brain-Machine interfaces will be huge and started funding companies in the space.
2. The Cobra Effect
”When a measure becomes a goal, it ceases to become a measure” - @G_S_Bhogal
• British colonialists tried to reduce the snake population in India.
• They offered bounties for dead cobras with cash given out to the killers
• The incentives back-fired...
”When a measure becomes a goal, it ceases to become a measure” - @G_S_Bhogal
• British colonialists tried to reduce the snake population in India.
• They offered bounties for dead cobras with cash given out to the killers
• The incentives back-fired...
• The local population started breeding cobras & killing them.
• When the government discovered this, the reward program was scrapped.
• The cobra breeders then released their $0 snakes into the street, making the problem much worse.
• When the government discovered this, the reward program was scrapped.
• The cobra breeders then released their $0 snakes into the street, making the problem much worse.
3. Shaan Clubs
• Cliche trope: "You're the average of the 5 people you spend the most time with"
• @ShaanVP takes this simple cliche and actually implements it - by creating clubs of similar people.
• He wanted to learn poker, so lived in a house of people learning poker
• Cliche trope: "You're the average of the 5 people you spend the most time with"
• @ShaanVP takes this simple cliche and actually implements it - by creating clubs of similar people.
• He wanted to learn poker, so lived in a house of people learning poker
• He wanted to learn e-commerce, so created an e-commerce Zoom club.
• "I have a method of trying to get good at something... I form a mastermind of other people in the same boat." - @ShaanVP
• So simple and nobody does it. I felt like an idiot after hearing it.
• "I have a method of trying to get good at something... I form a mastermind of other people in the same boat." - @ShaanVP
• So simple and nobody does it. I felt like an idiot after hearing it.
4. Asch Negative
• The obvious answer is A.
• Asch’s study found that if actors gave the wrong answer, other people would sometimes copy them.
• “Asch Negative“ is a trait where people go against the room. (Contrarian for the sake of truth)
H/T @EricRWeinstein
• The obvious answer is A.
• Asch’s study found that if actors gave the wrong answer, other people would sometimes copy them.
• “Asch Negative“ is a trait where people go against the room. (Contrarian for the sake of truth)
H/T @EricRWeinstein
2 interesting ideas this leads to:
A. Asch Negative will be a test in schools of the future
• How many macro-atrocities (genocide) or micro-atrocities (bullying) could be prevented by having Asch-Negative training for kids?
Watch "@DerrenBrown - The Push" on Netflix
A. Asch Negative will be a test in schools of the future
• How many macro-atrocities (genocide) or micro-atrocities (bullying) could be prevented by having Asch-Negative training for kids?
Watch "@DerrenBrown - The Push" on Netflix
B. We need people to create new words
• Before @EricRWeinstein introduced Asch-Negative, there weren’t any words to truly describe it - resulting in low adoption
• Society’s belief system is like open-sourced software
• New words create new functions & forks in the code
• Before @EricRWeinstein introduced Asch-Negative, there weren’t any words to truly describe it - resulting in low adoption
• Society’s belief system is like open-sourced software
• New words create new functions & forks in the code
5. CEO's > Presidents
• With the rise of a remote population that can migrate easier, @balajis argues that future presidents will look like CEO's.
• They will focus less on politics - and more on sales, recruitment, and product of their city.
• Early signs are here...
• With the rise of a remote population that can migrate easier, @balajis argues that future presidents will look like CEO's.
• They will focus less on politics - and more on sales, recruitment, and product of their city.
• Early signs are here...
• Smaller cities (startups) will think outside the box to compete with huge attractive cities (mega-corps)
• LA or NYC is the mega-corps that don't have to innovate because they're number 1
• Most challenger cities will fail - like startups. (But % will thrive)
• LA or NYC is the mega-corps that don't have to innovate because they're number 1
• Most challenger cities will fail - like startups. (But % will thrive)
6. Calendar-Priority Alignment
• When @rabois meets with a new CEO, he asks to see:
1. Their priorities
2. Their calendar
• They rarely ever match.
• So simple. So obvious. Rarely ever done. I felt stupid after hearing it.
• When @rabois meets with a new CEO, he asks to see:
1. Their priorities
2. Their calendar
• They rarely ever match.
• So simple. So obvious. Rarely ever done. I felt stupid after hearing it.
Reminds me of Munger on Mozart being miserable his whole life - because he overspent his income
"If Mozart can't get by with this kind of asinine conduct, I don't think you should try."
If elite CEO's fail the calendar-priority alignment test, I'm 99% sure we are (I am).
"If Mozart can't get by with this kind of asinine conduct, I don't think you should try."
If elite CEO's fail the calendar-priority alignment test, I'm 99% sure we are (I am).
7. Write Before Action
• @Conaw writes down what he plans to do, and how he plans to do it (in detail) before he does it
• "Why? Because sometimes I realize as I am halfway through writing things out that there is a fundamentally better approach."
• So simple. Rarely done
• @Conaw writes down what he plans to do, and how he plans to do it (in detail) before he does it
• "Why? Because sometimes I realize as I am halfway through writing things out that there is a fundamentally better approach."
• So simple. Rarely done
• "...my main reasons for writing things down is because I want to find out if there is work I can safely avoid." - @Conaw
• "Another advantage of breaking down the steps into detailed and discreet chunks of work -- you don't have to do everything yourself." - @Conaw
• "Another advantage of breaking down the steps into detailed and discreet chunks of work -- you don't have to do everything yourself." - @Conaw
8. The Hotel Bathroom Principle
• "When you want to cultivate serendipity, stick to the 'Hotel Bathroom' dress code.
Always dress well enough to walk into any a bathroom at a hotel you're not staying at and get away with it." - @david_perell
• "When you want to cultivate serendipity, stick to the 'Hotel Bathroom' dress code.
Always dress well enough to walk into any a bathroom at a hotel you're not staying at and get away with it." - @david_perell
9. Knowledge = The Value
• "(Knowledge) it's not inside the thing itself. For example, oil is useless unless you know how to refine it, burn it, and use it for combustion.
Information is useless unless there's a brain there to receive it." - @naval
• "(Knowledge) it's not inside the thing itself. For example, oil is useless unless you know how to refine it, burn it, and use it for combustion.
Information is useless unless there's a brain there to receive it." - @naval
• The internet is kinda like college. Educational but full of distractions.
• Customisable algorithms of the future should optimise for the individual's goals - rather than the goals of the platform.
• Until then, we’re all swimming in sewage trying to find nuggets of gold.
• Customisable algorithms of the future should optimise for the individual's goals - rather than the goals of the platform.
• Until then, we’re all swimming in sewage trying to find nuggets of gold.
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