House price growth in northern cities and towns is continuing to outpace southern locations, including London, according to the latest UK Land Registry data.
Liverpool had risen 16.7% since the UK first went into lockdown last year.
Meanwhile...
In the City of London, the capital's financial district, prices were down 6.5% since March last year. In Westminster and Tower Hamlets, property prices were down 5% & 4.7% respectively.
Australian residential property markets are super hot, with all capital cities experiencing strong auction clearance rates and rapidly rising values.
“CoreLogic’s national home value index recorded a 2.8% rise in March, the fastest rate of appreciation since October 1988 (3.2%).
…exceptionally strong growth conditions remain broad-based, with values rising by at least 1.4% across each of the capital cities.”
Central banks are artificially holding rates as low as possible, not only in AU but worldwide.
If rates stay low, #Brisbane is as affordable to buy (service the debt) as it was in 2002 & 1980.
The chart below shows interest payments as % of average salary.
The keyword is "IF".
A lot of foreigners think #Australia has a property bubble, but relative to other global cities prices are inexpensive.
We believe #Perth (Western Australia) is one of those.
After 81 months of falling dwelling prices, the Perth residential market has most likely hit a bottom.
Meanwhile, another market in which we are quite active is #Prague (Czech Republic).
Premium property prices are reaching close to 130,000 Czech Krona per m2 (5,900 USD / 5,000 EUR).
Prague's market is turning RED HOT & making us very uncomfortable.
Residental prices across the Czech Republic are going through a once-in-a-lifetime boom and we are happy to have participated.
Prague has seen prices rise by over 100% since 2013.
However, sharp value rise & unaffordability are making us very uncomfortable investors.
Comparing Prague to others in Europe based on price to average annual salary isn't a pretty picture.
Prague is one of the most expensive cities in the EU, with valuations & affordability touching almost 14X average salary, while the whole country is at 11X.
• • •
Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to
force a refresh
Cash levels have constantly remained low throughout this bull market.
The majority are invested & any turbulence sees central banks step in, saving the day.
However, low cash will eventually be a concern when forced liquidation starts since there will be no marginal buyers.
S&P 500 is approaching a record valuation of 3 times forward-looking sales.
Even if the market was to crash by -30%, valuations would be expensive since the market would trade at around 2X revenue — this was a top back in the year 2000.
CBs have created a monster bubble.
Jeff Gundlach is saying the US stock market is incredibly overpriced by any traditional metric and the next crash will be for the history books.
Thinks the $VIX will spike to never-before-seen levels surpassing the crash of 1987 & 2008.
Mezzanine financing is one of the most opportunistic ways to allocate capital, whether it's in public or illiquid markets — and yet it is very misunderstood.
In this super thread, which will be ongoing, I will disclose the theory & practice I've learned about the asset.
Mezzanine financing occurs in situations where a business or a project has insufficient creditworthiness or collateral to borrow in classic (& cheaper) form like a bank loan or senior debt & potentially where owners/sponsors refuse to dilute shareholders or give up legal control.
From what I've learned over the years, mezzanine deals are looked at differently in the US vs other developed markets like Eurozone & Anglo-Saxon jurisdictions.
There is a large misunderstanding between players, both with private equity & real estate, due to these developments.
A collection of threads, which will focus on what we are doing with our capital and the strategies we employ to achieve targeted returns in public & alternative assets.
None of this is advice, but merely a journal of how we allocate & opportunities we are attracted to.
We invest in real estate passively (LPs) & actively (sole ownership or JVs).
We also focus on residential strategies like value add & development in several countries.
This thread showcases one of our luxury value adds in Prague. 👇
Also known as "the funding gap" between classic bank loans & common equity ownership, it is one of the most opportunistic ways to allocate capital from the risk vs reward standpoint.