1) Premier François Legault decided not to sugar-coat the #pandemic on Tuesday, warning Quebecers there will be “a lot of uncertainty over the next two months.” Legault spoke of the #COVID19 resurgence in the regions. In this thread, I will focus on what he didn’t speak about.
2) Legault spoke about how Quebecers in their 20s, 30s, and 40s are now being hospitalized for #COVID19 amid the variant-driven third wave. But he didn’t speak about the rise in cases in eldercare homes. montrealgazette.com/news/quebec/an…
3) As I wrote about in my @mtlgazette column tonight, Quebec’s eldercare residents are overdue their second vaccine shots, especially in regions where the more contagious variants are accelerating. Elders are also being hospitalized in high numbers, as the chart below shows.
4) The other trend Legault didn’t talk about is the proliferation of #COVID19 outbreaks in the workplace. The province reported its fifth daily increase in clusters in this sector. The number jumped by 43 to 583, the biggest hike by far of any sector.
5) Quebec on Tuesday crossed the thousand-outbreak threshold, 1,037 to be exact — with those in the workplace accounting for 56% of all such clusters. Beyond mandating face coverings in the workplace, what other measures is Quebec considering?
6) The province’s public health institute recorded 728 more variant #COVID19 cases, raising the total to 17,444. Puzzlingly, Health Minister Christian Dubé announced Quebec will now screen only half of #COVID19 samples for the variants.
7) Dubé explained the government is doing this to ease the burden on labs. But with such screening down to 50 per cent, Quebec could deprive itself of knowing much better where the new, more transmissible variants are spreading in the province, and what strains they might be.
8) On Tuesday, the Outaouais reported the sharpest increase in variant cases of all the regions, suggesting the contagion is worsening in this corner of Quebec. If screening is cut in half, what kind of picture will the province have of the variants?
9) The third wave is beginning to weigh on hospitalizations, with the number rising by 13 to 643 in Quebec. Most of the increase in hospitalizations is occurring in the Capitale-Nationale, but the number in Montreal inched up by three to 281.
10) In addition to hospitalizations, there are four critical outbreaks in eldercare homes, as the chart below indicates. In the most serious example, the CHSLD L’Assomption in Chaudière-Appalaches added six cases in the past 24 hours to a total of 35, with one death.
11) And at the other end of the age spectrum, the number of active #COVID19 cases among students and staff climbed by 81 to 3,506. In addition, 428 schools across the province were closed, according to the chart below by the Education Ministry.
12) And the number of #COVID deaths rose by a dozen in Quebec to 10,756, the sharpest daily increase in nearly three weeks. No wonder Legault said Quebecers face two more tough months despite the progress in vaccinations. End of thread. Please limit your social contacts.

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More from @Aaron_Derfel

13 Apr
1) In addition to the B.1.1.7 variant that originated in the U.K., there were tentative signs on Monday that three other variants are beginning to pop up in regions across Quebec. In this thread, I will assess what this means.
2) The B.1.1.7 variant is still the predominant one in Quebec, with 1,434 cases, up by five since last week. This doesn’t mean there were only five new cases of B.1.1.7, though. There’s still a backlog of thousands of cases to sequence genetically.
3) Apart from B.1.1.7, the Outaouais declared for the first time a B.1.351 case. This #COVID19 strain originated in South Africa and has been shown to be resistant to the AstraZeneca vaccine. Cases in the B.1.351 hot spot of Abitibi-Témiscamingue inched up by three to 131.
Read 15 tweets
11 Apr
1) Quebec’s Health Minister expressed concern on Sunday that 58% of new cases across the province are being identified in people under the age of 40 in the third wave. In this thread, I will show how #COVID19 hospitalizations are occurring here in younger age groups, too.
2) Quebec on Sunday posted a total of 608 #COVID19 hospitalizations, up by 25 since Saturday. The chart below shows that 10 of those hospitalizations occurred in Quebecers in their 30s. Still, the predominant group are those in their 60s, 20 years younger than in the first wave.
3) This is happening for two reasons. Many Quebecers in their 80s and 90s have already been vaccinated against #COVID19, although a good number are still being hospitalized for the #pandemic illness, as the chart below reveals.
Read 11 tweets
11 Apr
1) Since April 1, the age group in Quebec reporting both the greatest number of #COVID19 hospitalizations and the sharpest increase are those in their 60s, according to the latest provincial data. This is a drop of 20 years from the first wave.
2) The data by Quebec’s public health institute shows a net increase of 80 #pandemic hospitalizations since the start of the month for a total of 583. This suggests the third wave is already having a deleterious effect on the province.
3) The number of #COVID19 deaths has risen by 61 to 10,737 in Quebec since April 1. In the eight days prior to the start of April, the number of deaths rose by 49. Again, this suggests the third wave is growing worse in Quebec.
Read 10 tweets
10 Apr
1) COVID-19 outbreaks in Quebec workplaces are not getting the attention they deserve, but they’ve been surging just as much, if not more, than those in schools. On Friday, the number of such clusters jumped by 25 to 499. In this thread, I will address the workplace phenomenon.
2) Since April 1, the number of #COVID19 outbreaks in schools across Quebec has risen from 175 to 251, or 43%. During the same period, workplace outbreaks have climbed from 349 to 499, or 43% as well. Yet the risks of workplace contagion are not being discussed as much.
3) Perhaps that’s one of the reasons why Quebec made masks mandatory for employees in all workplaces on Thursday. No doubt the more transmissible variants spurred public health authorities to act more aggressively in this third wave. But which workplaces are the most vulnerable?
Read 10 tweets
9 Apr
1) The impact of the third wave on Quebec hospitals thus far is not nearly as severe as what is going on in Ontario, but there are ominous signs the situation is deteriorating in the acute-care system here. In this thread, I will examine those signs.
2) As I report in my @mtlgazette column tonight, over-burdened Maisonneuve-Rosemont Hospital is now offloading #COVID19 patients to nearby Santa Cabrini Hospital. The reason is a severe shortage of nurses. montrealgazette.com/news/local-new…
3) In the past nine days, the number of #COVID hospitalizations in Quebec has jumped from 487 to 566. The biggest increase is being observed in the 60-to-69 age group, as you can glimpse from the chart below. In the first wave, it was patients in their 80s who were hospitalized.
Read 10 tweets
8 Apr
1) On the eve of a second 5 p.m. news conference tomorrow by Premier François Legault this week, it’s now clear that the #pandemic in Quebec has deteriorated sharply in the past two days. In this thread, I will take stock of the latest worrisome trends.
2) First, let me extend my heartfelt condolences to the family of the 16-year-old student who died of #COVID19 at Sainte-Justine Hospital Saturday, the youngest person in Quebec to have succumbed to the #coronavirus, most likely from one of the variants. montrealgazette.com/news/local-new…
3) Quebec posted an increase of 29 #COVID19 hospitalizations Wednesday, raising the total in the province to 543. The increase was the highest since Jan. 17, when Quebec was at the peak of its second wave. Yet Health Minister Christian Dubé downplayed the severity of the spike.
Read 11 tweets

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