Western paralysis over Putin's threat to Ukraine - where next? 1/ France and Germany have signalled no chance of military action if Putin invades; and no chance of Nato accession for Ukraine... my @NewStatesman column...
newstatesman.com/world/europe/2…
newstatesman.com/world/europe/2…
2/ Biden now thinking more about asset seizures, AML measures and enforcement on the tax havens/conduits than military action or blanket sanctions... newstatesman.com/world/europe/2…
3/ We need collective European security more than ever, via the EU and NATO - exactly what Johnson and his mate Trump spent years sabotaging.... but in no major European capital is there appetite for war with Russia over Ukraine... newstatesman.com/world/europe/2…
4/ European govts need to think beyond this crisis to the next one. Putin cannot swallow Ukraine - not ever Belarus. But the US looks busted - its presidency and the GOP both institutions prey to white supremacism and Kremlin manipulation... newstatesman.com/world/europe/2…
5/ Moscow and Beijing playing tag as the US "Unipolar superpower" disintegrates... newstatesman.com/world/europe/2…
6/ So forget the "tilt to Indo-Pacific" - it's an imperialist conceit. Start building a strong defensive alliance of our European friends and neighbours to stabilise Europe's eastern borders and contain Putin's hybrid destabilisation plans... newstatesman.com/world/europe/2…
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