To science friends: @ScienceMagazine @hholdenthorp asked me about public health comms and lessons learned. As a mere consumer of health intelligence to guide things I do -- assist state, local and private entities and public how to respond -- I have some (hard) takes. Thread. 1/
Health intelligence is like other intelligence: imperfect, changing as we learn, looks solely through one lens. It provides insights into the "what," but the ultimate decisions often have to take into account costs and benefits that aren't necessarily "scientific" in nature. 2/
Thorp's editorial from the interview lays out the key takeaway: in a national crisis, there are many lanes, all relevant for a nation suffering. We could blame Trump and, while correct, that is too easy. 3/
science.sciencemag.org/content/372/65…
Too often, public health communicators strayed from what they do best, and seemed less than willing to accept the expertise of others who might know about their lanes. A mayor or Governor or CEO (or parent!) faces difficult weighing decisions. Some act in bad faith. Most not. 4/
When the vaccination rollout began, many doctors became logisticians, some unnecessarily panicking the public. For many of us, once President Biden got in, it began to look familiar: slow and bumpy, surge, things look good, but 5/
(warning) we will hit hesitancy soon and need to pivot again. That things changed in real time in response to real world experience didn't mean the system was useless; it looked familiar to many of us who knew the difference between a disaster and something that is complex. 6/
A few other points. I love the public status of so many health communicators. But a responsibility -- and one I learned the hard way -- is that you don't have to have an opinion on everything. People look to you to have takes on what you know. 7/
Sure, feel free to opine on police brutality or climate change, but part of the benefit of your expertise is that you can influence those who may not be as progressive. Want to change the mind of the hesitant or the anti-masker? Not sure your take on the #ChauvinTrial helps. 8/
Also, public health is a lot of things, but it is not everything, all the time. The binary nature of so much of how this was portrayed -- follow the science or don't follow the science -- did not allow for serious discussions on risk minimization. 9/
As I said in interview, “focus more on risk minimization rather than risk elimination. I think the American public can get that." This will be important as we head, I fear, towards a summer where we will not get to herd immunity, but close. Help us understand what that means. 10/
I know we were handed a bad hand, and so many did so much to help in the absence of leadership. So I say this all with respect and admiration. I try not to make it personal, but maybe this is helpful for the next pandemic you keep telling me about (gallows humor). 11/

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More from @juliettekayyem

9 Apr
The "replacement theory" isn't just Tucker's usual racism. It is different. The theory -- that space is limited b/c displacement is occurring -- is used as justification for violence to protect a limited resource. It is a promotion and defense of violence. 1/
Also known as "the great replacement," the ideology was first introduced in France about fears of Arab and Muslim immigrants who were allegedly overwhelming the "elite." But Tucker clearly is focused on Hispanics, Jewish Americans and other minorities here. 2/
Tucker is coy because he is also correct in one sense. Replacement is occurring. Young white men today are the last generation of Americans born when Caucasian births outnumbered those of nonwhites. This trend will continue and it animates the racist violence. 3/
Read 6 tweets
6 Apr
THREAD: Robert Pape's @washingtonpost essay about his study (that provides more details than a comment in a @nytimes story) is actually INTERESTING. The racism propelling the "protect the vote" insurrection and subsequent GOP voter suppression strategy are known to Pape. 1/
It would be too bad to lose this data based on a strong research agenda, then condensed to a column, that was written about by a reporter, only for Pape's quote to be criticized on twitter b/c he decided to have some fancy rollout only tomorrow so no one has seen the report! 2/
For me, though, some data from what Pape has released is interesting: "Those involved are, by and large, older and more professional than right-wing protesters we have surveyed in the past. They typically have no ties to existing right-wing groups." "In the past" is operative.3/
Read 7 tweets
15 Mar
This is already so good. @Harry_Styles #grammys
Given the lack of live performances for so long, the whole thing -- voices over theatrics, music in the round, the artists sitting and grooving to other artists, the first three selections -- is just a joy to watch. #GRAMMYs
This is such a neat touch and I hope they keep it; artists talking about their careers and how they think about their music. It's just interesting. Plus #BlackPumas are just so good. #GRAMMYs
Read 13 tweets
12 Mar
WHITE GOP MEN AND VACCINES. As I noted before, every cohort of past vaccine resistant pops has shifted towards yes (to "now" or "yes, but not first" category).
Vaccinations beget vaccinations.
EXCEPT GOP men and Trump supporters remain unmoved. Trump continues to harm. 1/
Trump did not announce his vaccination, no photo, no former Pres PSA video. He is hostile to Biden's successes in the roll out. It's tragic, really. FOX could help. But data shows that people can be moved by family and friends too so talk to them, don't shame, one at a time. 2/
Minority and vulnerable populations face access issues, but it is incorrect to call that hesitancy or hostility. Different problem and one that needs to be fixed. Indeed in African American and even Hispanic communities (though latter is still high), hesitancy dropping fast. 3/
Read 4 tweets
22 Feb
(Personal) Thread on debate about US Covid status -- glass half full or half empty; life back to normal or "constant vigilance." It seems to be less about data, but about choosing a standard of measurement: bulk or intimate. I earlier described the mental pivot we needed⬇️ 1/
By any "bulk" measurement, the foundations are strong/awesome. All systems are go (ice delays notwithstanding); vaccines are working; strong proof for controlling transmission; glitches are fixable; supply increasing; more vaccines will be approved; hesitancy going down. 2/
With any "intimacy" measure, there is (may always be?) worry. We get to normal if people continue to behave well so the risk of claiming victory prematurely is high; minority and disadvantaged communities are being left out; "blips" are real; anti-vaxxers suck; variants exist. 3/
Read 7 tweets
10 Feb
Thread on data of #capitolriot charges. This is why the isolation, condemnation and deplatforming of their spiritual and operational head must continue: only small % had ties to organized groups, while the rest only had allegiance to Trump. This is good 1/
nytimes.com/interactive/20…
Why? The question remains how relevant to domestic terrorism movement is Trump? Qanon moves on; white supremacy exists; hate never went away. Of course that is true but I don't think helpful. We have a tactical threat: the concern that Trump continues to nurture and recruit. 2/
Yes we have "big picture" issues about race and tolerance and conspiracies but sometimes solving an immediate problem can help with longer term one. Trump's use of terrorism tactics was that problem. And the data shows he was successful at getting individuals radicalized. 3/
Read 5 tweets

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