Can’t begin to describe how bad it is in India 🇮🇳—don’t let it happen in other countries. Some can try to accuse I’m a “fearful alarmist” all they want—but I’m here to warn & speak up for those who don’t have a voice. And in India🇮🇳 Brazil🇧🇷 & Peru🇵🇪—they need our help. Read ⬇️
2) Doubling every 5 days... is a LOT!! And that’s just what India can test. Testing is unlikely able to keep up.
3) And the actual #COVID19 death count is MUCH MUCH higher in India. Based on cremation reports, we are talking about double-digit undercount. And maybe even 100x undercount in some places of India.
4) if you think 1,700 deaths a day is low? FT estimates it’s likely at least 10x more per day - 17,000! Per day! 🔥
5) Very sobering read by @jburnmurdoch. amp.ft.com/content/683914…

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More from @DrEricDing

23 Apr
📍3x KIDS DEATHS—An alarmingly high number of babies & children are dying of #COVID19 in Brazil 🇧🇷. While government data from Brazil suggest >800 children under age 9 have died of Covid—expert estimates that the death toll is nearly **3 times higher**. 🧵
nbcnews.com/news/latino/br… Image
2) experts say the real death toll is higher because cases are underreported because of a lack of widespread coronavirus testing, according to the BBC.
3) Dr. Fatima Marinho of the University of São Paolo, a leading epidemiologist estimated that the virus has killed 2,060 children under 9, including 1,302 babies.
Read 5 tweets
22 Apr
~SIX TIMES HIGHER IN KIDS—An asymptomatic school study of #COVID19 cases found that infection rates in Omaha Nebraska schools were 2.5x higher for staff and **nearly 6x higher for students** than reported through routine self-initiated tests. 🧵
abcnews.go.com/Health/study-s… Image
2) “The program also found nearly 10 times the cases per population than what was observed through testing in the surrounding county. The study didn’t review origin, just that teachers and students with COVID-19 that was not previously identified because of limited testing”
3) “The results show "as many as nine in 10 student COVID-19 cases and seven in 10 staff cases might be missed by conventional reporting," Dr. Jana Broadhurst, a corresponding author in the study and an assistant professor at the University of Nebraska Medical Center.”
Read 9 tweets
22 Apr
⚠️OXYGEN SUPPLY COLLAPSE in mere hours—Delhi government reports the current oxygen supply in Delhi hospitals. All <=24 hours oxygen supply. Most under half a day.

Pray for India 🇮🇳 #CovidIndia #COVID19 Image
2) Some hospitals down to just mere minutes of oxygen left. Indian states now fighting each other refusing to send oxygen supplies to other states. indianexpress.com/article/india/…
3) my god... I could stop crying earlier when I watched this. But don’t look away. Please watch this. And tell your friends to vaccinate damnit!!!
Read 4 tweets
22 Apr
BREAKING—U.S. State Department has added at least 116 countries this week to its “Level Four: Do Not Travel” advisory list, putting the UK, Canada, France, Israel, Mexico, Germany and others on the list, citing a “very high level of #COVID19.” 🧵
reuters.com/world/us/us-ad… Image
2) On Monday, the State Department said it would boost the number of countries receiving its highest advisory rating to about 80% of countries worldwide.
Before Tuesday, the State Department listed 34 out of about 200 countries as "Do Not Travel."
3) Other countries in the "Do Not Travel" list include Finland, Egypt, Belgium, Turkey, Italy, Sweden, Switzerland and Spain. Some countries like China and Japan remain at Level 3: Reconsider Travel."
Read 5 tweets
22 Apr
But but but... SWEDEN!

Sweden 🇸🇪 holds the dubious title of having 15 of the top 21 #COVID19 hotspots in Europe.

France 🇫🇷 Netherlands 🇳🇱 and Croatia 🇭🇷 holds several of the other top spots.
2) “But but but, show me the Swedish deaths” you ask? Here you go. 100+ year record excess deaths. Analysis by @zorinaq
3) “But but but all those deaths are last year” you say? Show me Sweden hospitals now!

Okay: thelocal.se/20210421/yes-i…
Read 4 tweets
22 Apr
I cry for the India 🇮🇳. Brutal epidemic ravaging the country, and hospitals are completely overwhelmed. A staggering 300,000 cases—and possibly 10x underdiagnosis means maybe ~3 million actual cases a day. #COVID19

2) FT thinks underdiagnosis is 10x in India. But some think it’s even higher...
3) By deaths alone, comparing cremations vs reported deaths, some areas have 24x higher underreport.
Read 6 tweets

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