📍3x KIDS DEATHS—An alarmingly high number of babies & children are dying of #COVID19 in Brazil 🇧🇷. While government data from Brazil suggest >800 children under age 9 have died of Covid—expert estimates that the death toll is nearly **3 times higher**. 🧵
nbcnews.com/news/latino/br…
2) experts say the real death toll is higher because cases are underreported because of a lack of widespread coronavirus testing, according to the BBC.
3) Dr. Fatima Marinho of the University of São Paolo, a leading epidemiologist estimated that the virus has killed 2,060 children under 9, including 1,302 babies.
4) Her estimate is based on the number of excess deaths from an unspecified acute respiratory syndrome during the pandemic.
5) There is a misconception that children are at zero risk for Covid-19, Marinho told the BBC after she found that there have been 10 times more deaths from an unexplained respiratory syndrome over the past year compared to previous years.
6) Throughout her research, she has seen a rise in cases of multisystem inflammatory syndrome among Brazil children. The rare syndrome is a newly identified & serious health condition associated with #SARSCoV2. It tends to affect children up to six weeks after they are infected.
7) "the failed response in Brazil has caused a humanitarian catastrophe," Dr. Christos Christou of Doctors Without Borders. "Each week there is a grim new record of deaths and infections — the hospitals are overflowing, and yet there is still no coordinated centralized response."
8) Last week, more than a quarter of the world's coronavirus deaths were in Brazil. Christou said he expects the situation to worsen in the coming weeks if nothing changes.
9) Experts in Brazil say low coronavirus testing rates, lack of contact tracing efforts and a shortage of vaccines have contributed to rises in cases and deaths. These factors have also increased the risk of exposure and potential death among more Brazilian babies and children.
10) "Their refusal to adapt evidence-based public health measures has sent far too many to an early grave.” 😢
11) BBC report— 10x more deaths than past years—estimates that #SARSCoV2 in fact killed 2,060 children <9 years old, including 1,302 babies in Brazil.

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More from @DrEricDing

25 Apr
HUGELY UNDERCOUNTING DEATHS—India is either sloppy in miscounting #COVID19 deaths, or they are criminally covering up overwhelming deaths. All signs & reporting points either one or the other—“It’s a complete massacre of data”. Real deaths 2x-5x higher.🧵
nytimes.com/2021/04/24/wor… ImageImage
2) Interviews from cremation grounds across the country, where the fires never stop, portray an extensive pattern of deaths far exceeding the official figures. Nervous politicians and hospital administrators may be undercounting or overlooking large numbers of dead, analysts say.
3) ““It’s a complete massacre of data,” said Bhramar Mukherjee, an epidemiologist at the University of Michigan who has been following India closely. “From all the modeling we’ve done, we believe the true number of deaths is two to five times what is being reported.”
Read 11 tweets
24 Apr
I’m sorry—but @narendramodi’s authoritarian government can goto hell if they dare try to silence the true human suffering.

🔥HEADLINE: “India asks Twitter to take down some tweets critical of its #COVID19 handling” reut.rs/3axrjgj Image
2) The Indian government asked social media platform Twitter (TWTR.N) to take down dozens of tweets, including some by local lawmakers, that were critical of India’s handling of the coronavirus outbreak, as cases of COVID-19 again hit a world record.
3) Twitter has withheld some of the tweets after the legal request by the Indian government, a company spokeswoman told Reuters.

The government made an emergency order to censor the tweets, Twitter disclosed on Lumen database, a Harvard University project.
Read 8 tweets
24 Apr
“There are next to no ICU beds [left] in a city of 20 million" — Delhi hospitals are overwhelmed and collapsing without any oxygen left. 🧵

BBC journalist @yogital reports. #COVID19 #CovidIndia
2) When an anchor asks the executive director of Batra Hospital what it means that there’s zero oxygen... he replies “it’s over”.
Read 8 tweets
24 Apr
SOS—“Our oxygen supply is over. There is no oxygen in the tank. We are only able to supply oxygen to patients in ICU. [The Delhi authorities] are not able to supply us oxygen”: Dr Bankata, Batra Hospital, Delhi, India 🇮🇳 sending SOS to the world. #COVID19
2) Keep in mind Delhi has some of the best hospitals in all of India. Most of the hospitals sending Sos and getting in TV are wealthy private hospitals. Public hospitals for the poor... you can imagine.
3) Again, Batra Hospital is one of the premiere private hospitals in Delhi for the rich. Here is the reality for the non-rich... it’s been long over for the public hospitals for the lay public....
Read 16 tweets
24 Apr
1 million #COVID19 **deaths** projected in India 🇮🇳 by August 2021. The model even assumes vaccines to will bring it under control by May 17th (peak deaths).

God help us. God help India.

(Projections by the world renowned epidemiology center @IHME_UW)
covid19.healthdata.org/india?view=tot… ImageImage
2) the worse case is 1.04 (95% CI 840k-1.25 mil) by August 1st.

Even with universal masks and vaccine rollout, it will likely be 878k (95% CI: 728k-1.07 mil). Image
3) How many projected global #COVID19 deaths? 5 million or so by August 2021. Image
Read 8 tweets
23 Apr
💡AMAZING—First high >75% efficacy vaccine for a disease with 229 million cases & 409,000 deaths worldwide in 2019 —#Malaria!

Created by Oxford, produced by Serum Institute of India, & supporting adjuvant by Novavax, SII expects to make 200 mil doses a year!

Science! #vaccine Image
2) A malaria vaccine has taken much longer to come to fruition because there are thousands of genes in malaria compared to around dozen in coronavirus, and a very high immune response is needed to fight off the disease. "That's a real technical challenge”.
bbc.co.uk/news/health-56…
3) Study author Adrian Hill, director of the Jenner Institute and professor of vaccinology at the University of Oxford, said he believed the vaccine was the first to reach the World Health Organization's goal of at least 75% efficacy.
Read 4 tweets

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