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Eric Feigl-Ding Profile picture
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22 Apr, 4 tweets, 2 min read
But but but... SWEDEN!

Sweden 🇸🇪 holds the dubious title of having 15 of the top 21 #COVID19 hotspots in Europe.

France 🇫🇷 Netherlands 🇳🇱 and Croatia 🇭🇷 holds several of the other top spots.
2) “But but but, show me the Swedish deaths” you ask? Here you go. 100+ year record excess deaths. Analysis by @zorinaq
3) “But but but all those deaths are last year” you say? Show me Sweden hospitals now!

Okay: thelocal.se/20210421/yes-i…
4) Sweden vs its Scandinavian peers.

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More from @DrEricDing

Eric Feigl-Ding Profile picture
24 Apr
SOS—“Our oxygen supply is over. There is no oxygen in the tank. We are only able to supply oxygen to patients in ICU. [The Delhi authorities] are not able to supply us oxygen”: Dr Bankata, Batra Hospital, Delhi, India 🇮🇳 sending SOS to the world. #COVID19
2) Keep in mind Delhi has some of the best hospitals in all of India. Most of the hospitals sending Sos and getting in TV are wealthy private hospitals. Public hospitals for the poor... you can imagine.
3) Again, Batra Hospital is one of the premiere private hospitals in Delhi for the rich. Here is the reality for the non-rich... it’s been long over for the public hospitals for the lay public....
Read 13 tweets
Eric Feigl-Ding Profile picture
24 Apr
⚠️Nix 6 feet—The risk of being exposed to Covid-19 indoors is as great at 60 feet as it is at 6 feet — even when wearing a mask, according to a new study by MIT researchers who challenge social distancing #COVID19 guidelines adopted across the world. 🧵
cnbc.com/2021/04/23/mit…
2) MIT professors Martin Z. Bazant, who teaches chemical engineering and applied mathematics, and John W.M. Bush, who teaches applied mathematics, developed a method of calculating exposure risk to Covid-19 in an indoor setting that factors in a variety of issues...
3) that could affect transmission, including the amount of time spent inside, air filtration and circulation, immunization, variant strains, mask use, and even respiratory activity such as breathing, eating, speaking or singing.
Read 8 tweets
Eric Feigl-Ding Profile picture
24 Apr
1 million #COVID19 **deaths** projected in India 🇮🇳 by August 2021. The model even assumes vaccines to will bring it under control by May 17th (peak deaths).

God help us. God help India.

(Projections by the world renowned epidemiology center @IHME_UW)
covid19.healthdata.org/india?view=tot… ImageImage
2) the worse case is 1.04 (95% CI 840k-1.25 mil) by August 1st.

Even with universal masks and vaccine rollout, it will likely be 878k (95% CI: 728k-1.07 mil). Image
3) How many projected global #COVID19 deaths? 5 million or so by August 2021. Image
Read 4 tweets
Eric Feigl-Ding Profile picture
23 Apr
💡AMAZING—First high >75% efficacy vaccine for a disease with 229 million cases & 409,000 deaths worldwide in 2019 —#Malaria!

Created by Oxford, produced by Serum Institute of India, & supporting adjuvant by Novavax, SII expects to make 200 mil doses a year!

Science! #vaccine Image
2) A malaria vaccine has taken much longer to come to fruition because there are thousands of genes in malaria compared to around dozen in coronavirus, and a very high immune response is needed to fight off the disease. "That's a real technical challenge”.
bbc.co.uk/news/health-56…
3) Study author Adrian Hill, director of the Jenner Institute and professor of vaccinology at the University of Oxford, said he believed the vaccine was the first to reach the World Health Organization's goal of at least 75% efficacy.
Read 4 tweets
Eric Feigl-Ding Profile picture
23 Apr
📍3x KIDS DEATHS—An alarmingly high number of babies & children are dying of #COVID19 in Brazil 🇧🇷. While government data from Brazil suggest >800 children under age 9 have died of Covid—expert estimates that the death toll is nearly **3 times higher**. 🧵
nbcnews.com/news/latino/br… Image
2) experts say the real death toll is higher because cases are underreported because of a lack of widespread coronavirus testing, according to the BBC.
3) Dr. Fatima Marinho of the University of São Paolo, a leading epidemiologist estimated that the virus has killed 2,060 children under 9, including 1,302 babies.
Read 10 tweets
Eric Feigl-Ding Profile picture
22 Apr
~SIX TIMES HIGHER IN KIDS—An asymptomatic school study of #COVID19 cases found that infection rates in Omaha Nebraska schools were 2.5x higher for staff and **nearly 6x higher for students** than reported through routine self-initiated tests. 🧵
abcnews.go.com/Health/study-s… Image
2) “The program also found nearly 10 times the cases per population than what was observed through testing in the surrounding county. The study didn’t review origin, just that teachers and students with COVID-19 that was not previously identified because of limited testing”
3) “The results show "as many as nine in 10 student COVID-19 cases and seven in 10 staff cases might be missed by conventional reporting," Dr. Jana Broadhurst, a corresponding author in the study and an assistant professor at the University of Nebraska Medical Center.”
Read 9 tweets

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