As we speak our @CMOH_Alberta and health minister are betting on vaccinations to temper hospital and ICU admissions despite our exponential case numbers. That is a high risk wager if they get it wrong. Based on current hospitalizations and past experiences we should lock down.
This is a similar situation to last wave. Though I hold optimism that vaccines will save lives, using lagging indicators just means we wait for young people to start overwhelming the system. Even though they tend to have better disease outcomes, this remains a percentage game.
This is predictable math. To make infection control an all or nothing game is naive and irresponsible. Lock down now. Continue aggressive vaccination. Open up at 80% vaccine uptake, regardless of how low case counts are. Better yet push for #CovidZero.
Prevent variant spread and genesis. Prevent the 4th wave. Give our children a chance to go to school in the fall. Prevent the unnecessary death of our youth & young adults. Reduce long term disability & suffering. Stop gambling with the lives of Albertans and do the right thing.
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