Le Monde has a big deep-dive poll of 10K people by Sopra-Steria & Ipsos today on first round of Pres elections – the first of a series over the next year. V good results for Macron – btwn 25 & 29% in first round, depending which of three possible centre-right candidates run 1/3 
.@MLP_officiel is 26 - 28%. @xavierbertrand does better than @vpecresse – 16 as against 11% - but there is still no sign of a big bounce for his early declaration. The Left is scattered but totals 30% - higher than in other recent polls. Suggests a single left-wing candidate 2/3
Could hope to challenge Macron & Le Pen for a place in 2nd round but chances of a single left-wing candidate being agreed are close to zero – as Paul Taylor says in Politico. Overall, this is a very encouraging snapshot for Macron but a long way to go.. 3/3
+1: In 2nd round, the poll shows Macron winning 57-43 against Le Pen – higher than recent smaller polls. Interestingly, it also suggests that Macron would narrowly defeat Bertrand in the unlikely event that they were the two 2nd round runners off. Bertrand would crush Le Pen
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