Johnson's camarilla in turmoil - let's go back to the basic story 1/ His late lockdown decision in March 2020 cost tens of thousands of lives. Cummings has the evidence ...

thetimes.co.uk/article/guerri…
2/ Cummings said to "fear jail" over either Brexit spending or the October lockdown leak... but MI5 can't pinpoint who sent the vital WhatsApp message revealing market (and probably national security) sensitive info...
3/ The October leak also caused a frenzy of socialising that boosted infections... and then the Cain-Cummings clique imploded under the pressure... Now the Symonds-Stratton clique has also imploded leaving Rosenfield/Johnson to manage the fall out ...
4/ Rosenfield and Case now have to manage the fallout... but though both from civil service backgrounds, and honest, Rosenfield works for Johnson and is supposed to protect Tory political interests. Yet he can't cover up for malfeasance, and Case is duty bound to root it out....
5/ of course none of this "cuts through" ... yet. Voters see Johnson's clown act as harmless and regard all politicians as crooks... but they care about outcomes and language in that order...
6/ ... and most people understand they are voting for a mayor or council ... but the massive incompetence and hubris-driven death toll during the pandemic will exact a political price ... plus there's a problem with Johnson ..,
7/ Johnson had gone through two camarillas- Cain-Cummings and now Stratton-Rosenfield-Lister... from "vote Leave" to "pink Stetson" ... there is nothing left once that's used up ... except maybe the actual Spectator crowd ...
8/ Johnson himself has no resouces of competence... hence the ridiculous decision to brief the papers himself against Cummings... finally...
9/ Times suggests Cummings fears prosecution over Vote Leave and leaking. In fact the SFO and Electoral Commission should be all over this administration. Even the October leak is a live investigation. If Cabinet solidarity cracks all bets are off (Gove characteristically MIA)

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More from @paulmasonnews

18 Apr
Right it's a showdown now between football-capitalism and civil society. What price the "image rights" of any player who goes along with the destruction of competitive football? The fans can stop them and here's why... 1/ Unless there's a draft, as in NFL, the games will be dire
2/ ... only the NFL draft keeps the closed leagues competitive. Once established as a super-brand a team like Real, Man City *has to win every season*... it will be a procession of Mourinho-style draws...
3/ We, the fans, can throw so much shit at the SuperLeague that it becomes a brand pariah - and we'll have great ammo because the games will be dire. They will change the rules...
Read 6 tweets
14 Apr
Western paralysis over Putin's threat to Ukraine - where next? 1/ France and Germany have signalled no chance of military action if Putin invades; and no chance of Nato accession for Ukraine... my @NewStatesman column...
newstatesman.com/world/europe/2…
2/ Biden now thinking more about asset seizures, AML measures and enforcement on the tax havens/conduits than military action or blanket sanctions... newstatesman.com/world/europe/2…
3/ We need collective European security more than ever, via the EU and NATO - exactly what Johnson and his mate Trump spent years sabotaging.... but in no major European capital is there appetite for war with Russia over Ukraine... newstatesman.com/world/europe/2…
Read 6 tweets
12 Apr
Ukraine update and analysis: 1/ Ukraine reports six ceasefire violations over the last 24 hours
facebook.com/pressjfo.news/…
2/ #UkraineAnalysis Ukraine's military claims that Russia is sending landing craft to the Black Sea from both its Northern and Baltic fleets
zn.ua/POLITICS/dejst…
3/ #UkraineAnalysis 3.Erdogan met Zelensky, resulting in Turkey reiterating its refusal to accept Russia's annexation of Crimea. Pro-Russian media launched a bitter attack on Erdogan in response
news.antiwar.com/2021/04/11/tur…
Read 14 tweets
10 Apr
Ukraine crisis - a summary of the last 24 hours:
1/ Ukraine army chief declared they have no intention of using military force to retake the Donbas.
english.alarabiya.net/News/world/202…
2. More shelling and remote minelaying on Donbas front line
liveuamap.com
3. Zelensky imposed sanctions on former president Yanukovich and other former ministers.
ukrinform.ua/rubric-polytic…
Read 9 tweets
9 Apr
No defence experts I talk to claim to be certain what Putin plans in Ukraine. What we know is: 1/ Russia launched a big military buildup, giving itself the ability a) break out of Crimea to the north and b) stage a landing on the Azov coast (map not mine h/t @mhmck)...
2/ Ukraine’s president Zelensky looks out of his depth. He has called for UKR to be allowed to join NATO, which is a non-starter. I say this as someone highly critical of Russia’s geopolitics and internal repression....
3/ I am told the Ukrainian military preparations look currently shambolic, as they believe the USA will ride diplomatically to their rescue and, in any case, are numerically and technologically outclassed...
Read 12 tweets
8 Apr
Alba, NIP, WEP... the rise of the popup party is about more than just networks lowering the barrier to entry... it's what happens when people contemplate the permanent rule of English Tory xenophobes... 1/ newstatesman.com/politics/uk/20…
2/ British politics looks less like the A-Level Politics syllabus than at any time since the 1930s... "liberalism, conservatism and socialism" have all fragmented culturally... newstatesman.com/politics/uk/20…
3/ FPTP is holding fragmentation at bay, but if you look at Spain, Ireland, Germany or Italy - the same centrifugal forces in politics are there.... newstatesman.com/politics/uk/20…
Read 9 tweets

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