A year ago, I predicted that an actual Public Option being passed was perhaps 10% even with a Dem trifecta, assuming the filibuster was kept in place.
Even THAT assumed Dems would have 53-54 Senators. With 50/50 (including Manchin/Sinema), I'd give it a 1% shot at most.
Even THAT assumed Dems would have 53-54 Senators. With 50/50 (including Manchin/Sinema), I'd give it a 1% shot at most.
https://twitter.com/JStein_WaPo/status/1386304341020188675
Having said that, note that I say "...BY 2024". Dems should go for as much as they can get right now (which should include adding dental, vision, hearing & a drug MOOP to Medicare, which would be MASSIVE).
Again: If the CBO scores haven't changed much & the other estimates are close, Dems should be within ~$100B of passing a robust ACA 2.0 upgrade AND dramatically beefing up Medicare coverage...and possibly closing the Medicaid Gap at the same time:
acasignups.net/21/04/25/updat…
acasignups.net/21/04/25/updat…
This doesn't mean all three WILL happen of course; right now only a partial ACA 2.0 is on the table from the WH. It just means that the "pay fors" should mostly be there if Dems are willing to go for it.
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