ZH - Nomura Axes Head Of Risk After Revealing More Losses Tied To Archegos Implosion

Nomura also suspended some senior executives, following in the footsteps of $CS

- more cockroaches in the kitchen? 🤣👌
There are 4 different SMA related "breadth" indicators:

index % stocks
1 above 20d SMA
2 above 50d SMA
3 above 100s SMA
4 above 200d SMA

if the index itself (say, S&P-1500) is trading above 20d-SMA, it doesn't make sense to look into % stocks above 100d SMA or 200d SMA.
The 200d SMA is far below the current price, there should be tons of index stocks trading above 200-d SMA,

you want to take a look at the % stocks above 20d SMA or 50d SMA for divergences between the index price and % stocks trading above the same SMA.
if the index is trading >20d SMA, but there are only 40% of index stocks trading >20d SMA or 60% of stocks trading >50d SMA, there is a divergence

if the index is trading between 50d & 100d SMA, then one should look into % of stocks trading >100d and 200d SMA for divergences.
if the index is trading <200d SMA, it does not make sense to look into % stocks trading >20-d SMA, just noise

one should look into % stocks trading >200d SMA for positive divergence; if % stocks above 200d SMA picking up BIGLY on a down day, then BTFD due to positive divergence.
example:

Today
% Russell 3000 stocks above 200-day SMA

Russell 3000 index is trading above 10-day SMA, it does not make sense to look into % stock above 200-day SMA; tons of stocks would be trading above 200-day SMA, it would take a sizable correction to take this number down.
Today
% Russell 3000 stocks >20-day SMA

below breadth would make some sense for divergence:

it dipped below 30% last week when small-cap lagging other indices; it picked BIGLY the last few days due to small-cap short-squeeze, you wouldn't find this info in the previous chart.
Mr. Superman burr4ever Powell's 4 mandates

1. Hyper-Inflation=transitory😉
and
2 The Fed Total Asset=forever to infinity🍻
3 SPX price=to da Moon🤣
4 Stock Valuation=to da Mars with TSLA/Elon👌

mission accomplished

see Powell's mandates in two charts🧐
worth a million words🤣

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More from @kerberos007

26 Apr
Every weekend,
during the "shaking out the weak hands" attempt,
just BTFD when #BitCoin down ~20%, and found support around 100d-SMA (red line)

works like a charm

50-day SMA also offered a strong support since April 2021

%B (20, 2) also a good confirmation signal around 0 line
A. Tuesday Inflation Chart porn:

There is no inflation
inflation is contained
Inflation is transitory 🤣

#1: Bloomberg Commodity Index cash
#2: Bloomberg Agriculture Index Futures

Since May 2020, burrrr4ever to infinity
and
whatever it takes.

they got what they wanted
🍻👌
B. Tuesday Inflation Chart porn:

There is no inflation
inflation is contained
Inflation is transitory 🤣

#3: Bloomberg Grains Futures
#4: Bloomberg EX Energy Futures

Since May 2020, burrrr4ever to infinity
and
whatever it takes.

they've got what they wanted 🍻👌
Read 10 tweets
22 Apr
Seagate STX is scheduled to report 3rd fiscal 2021 earnings on Apr 22

STX anticipates third-quarter fiscal 2021 non-GAAP earnings of $1.30 (+/-15 cents) per share.

Priced for perfection. over-valued.

yesterday, $STX put volume surged = 4x 30-day avg

Volume PCR = 5.42👌🧐
ORCL

Volume-PCR for $ORCL surged the last two days with analyst upgrades.🧐

Put volume surged BIGLY yesterday.

somebody always knew in advance

Today $ORCL down -2.3%

$SPX down 40 points.
$VIX above 19 again.
Jaws update

Nasdaq New Highs / New Lows

Ugly breadth vs. $SPX Price
Read 4 tweets
20 Apr
that's a quiz🧐

"when most of the Index IVX30HL=0; last Fri"
what does that mean?
ans: 1 yr low

yep. most of the index & ETF IVX30HL ~0 last Fri,
bullish++
Stonks always go up, what could possibly go wrong?

then
time to buy VIX calls
or buy SPY puts
on Fri

super leading🍻😎
Small cap (Rut & IWM) was down more than 1.5% Mon

See the puts explosion since last wk on $RUT & $IWM

especially RUT put volume for Mon

massive Put volume demand for $Rut on a -1.5% down day

volume Put/Call ratio=10.87?🦃(wow)
fear of a small-cap crash 🍻🤣

IVXHL surged also
QQQ stats

QQQ put volume also surged since last wk

Also the implied volatility (IVX30) for $QQQ surged
&
IVXHL surged due to the put demand & premium surge on a -1% dn day

expecting a QQQ crash?💣

see the $Put demand, Put premium & IVX
causality that I explained yesterday?
Read 5 tweets
4 Feb
To the new generation of penny stock investors
WallStreetKids

Penny stock screener

criteria

stocks < $1
up 50+%

WSK lotto tickets to da Moon screener

Click 'like' if you want me to keep posting the penny screener with different criteria 🤣🧐

Is this legal? 🍻 Image
WSK to da Moon screener

penny price > $0.01
penny price < $2.00

up 20+% today Image
Added:

today's volume / 10-Day avg Volume ratio
> 200%

WSK penny stocks need volume to fuel the rocket to da Moon

up 10+% today with huge volume. Image
Read 21 tweets
23 Dec 20
To quant followers:

A few good books for Christmas and New Year.

1 Machine Learning for Factor Investing R Version
by Tony Guida; Sep 1, 2020

2 Algorithmic Trading: A Practitioner's Guide Paperback – by Jeffrey M Bacidore; July 20, 2020
3. Machine Learning for Algorithmic Trading: Predictive models to extract signals from market and alternative data for systematic trading strategies with Python, 2nd Edition Paperback – July 31, 2020
by Stefan Jansen

- this is the best one for 2020 from my reading list.
For newbie Algo traders. Free

a great introductory algo book written by a real trader & well-respected hedge fund mgr, who divulged some of his most profitable strategies

Trading Evolved: Anyone can Build Killer Trading Strategies in Python Kindle (free)

by Andreas Clenow
Read 4 tweets
18 Dec 20
if our beloved $SPX tanks 20-30% from here, I would post a looooong BTFD list 😉

stay tuned.

it is coming 🤣
$USD up
$VIX up

$USD up
$VIX up
$SPX down

the correlation between $USD and $VIX > 50%,
since March

If USD == up and SPX == up
STFR 👌

if USD ~= 85:
sky is falling 🤣

Plus $JPY correlation, Image
$JPYAUD up
$VIX up

$VIX up
$JPYAUD up
$SPX down

$JPYAUD and $VIX correlation > 60%

$JPY up
$VIX up
$SPX down

super leading indicator.. 👌🧐 Image
Read 176 tweets

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