Heh. Clever! This pretty much addresses my "1st shot only" concern--if it's implemented 2 weeks later, that (hopefully) means several hundred thousand more people will have gotten their first (or second) shot by the time it's actually implemented.
Having said that, basing the % on those 16+ means that Michigan is effectively stating that 56% of the total population being fully vaccinated "counts" as "herd immunity" which is still too damned low by any measure.
I'm REALLY hoping the FDA approves the vaccines for 12-15 yr olds SOON, because the only way to get 70% of the *total* population vaccinated right now would be to get 88% of those 16+ vaccinated, which isn't likely to happen anytime soon.
If you add 12 - 15 yr olds to the mix, it would take 82% of everyone 12+ getting vaccinated to hit 70% of the total population, which would still be a stretch but is at least vaguely feasible.

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More from @charles_gaba

1 May
📣 WONKY BUT IMPORTANT:
CMS releases 2nd half of #NBPP2022 rule; will save #ACA enrollees $400 in out of pocket costs; COBRA SEP & more! acasignups.net/21/04/30/cms-r…
1. CMS is rejecting a Trump rule re. how maximum out of pocket (MOOP) expenses are increased; by reverting back to the prior formula, the MOOP increase will be $400 - $800 less than it otherwise would have been.
2. CMS has confirmed that those taking advantage of the #AmRescuePlan's COBRA subsidies thru September WILL be able to switch to an #ACA plan for October - December via a Special Enrollment Period! (this is a big deal for several million people).
Read 19 tweets
30 Apr
For anyone wondering, here in Michigan, blue counties have fully vaccinated about 10% more of their population than the red counties, but the swing counties are actually doing the best so far. Image
(Note: I'm dividing the total number of doses by 2, then dividing that by the TOTAL population, not just those 16+. J&J is only around 3% of the total so it shouldn't move the needle much).
Here's a scatter plot graph of all 83 counties. I dont' know how to vary the dots by population size in Excel, however; the handful of counties on the right side actually have more people living in them than the flurry of dots on the left side. Image
Read 4 tweets
29 Apr
⚠️ WEEKLY UPDATE: Which *COUNTIES* have the highest cumulative per capita rates of #COVID19 cases and deaths?
acasignups.net/21/04/29/weekl…
Counties w/highest cumul. CASES per capita:
1. Chattahoochee County, GA 🆕
2. Crowley County, CO
3. Bent County, CO
4. Dewey County, SD
5. Lincoln County, AR
6. Lake County, TN
7. Norton County, KS
8. Bon Homme County, SD
9. Trousdale County, TN
10. Buffalo County, SD
After spending months in the top spot, Crowley County, CO has finally ceded its "COVID Crown" to Chattahoochee County, GA, where a full 35.7% of the entire population has tested positive to date.
Read 7 tweets
28 Apr
📣 IT'S OFFICIAL: #AmFamiliesPlan to *permanently* #KillTheCliff & #UpTheSubs. Make no mistake: This is still a #BFD.
acasignups.net/21/04/28/its-o…
NOTE: I'm switching from #AmFamiliesPlan to #AmFamPlan. Shorter, easier to type and it's alliterative!!
📣 REMINDER: Here's the @urbaninstitute's estimates of how much the uninsured rate would go down in every state if the expanded #ACA subsidies are made permanent: acasignups.net/21/04/16/urban…
Read 5 tweets
28 Apr
📣 Ahead of tonight’s big speech: I have no idea if he’ll give an update on ACA enrollment, but if he does, I’m guessing he’ll announce over 1.0 million ADDITIONAL exchange enrollees via HealthCare.Gov alone since the relaunched enrollment period started on 2/15.
According to @JStein_WaPo, it sounds like Biden will be proposing $200B to make the expanded #ACA subsidies permanent, but no other major healthcare provisions *at the moment*. This actually makes more sense than you may think given this poll: acasignups.net/21/04/27/huh-s…
Having said that, the WH resistance to going bigger in healthcare *at the moment* seems to center around passing #HR3 to pay for other stuff, which is fiercely opposed by #PhRMA.
Read 15 tweets
28 Apr
Wyoming just became the 27th state where more than 1 out of 10 residents has tested positive for #COVID19 to date.
📣 UPDATE/CORRECTION: As @mlow29 just noted, all my estimates until now have been based on 2019 estimated state population data--with the US Census Bureau having released at least the statewide April 2020 numbers, I've updated my spreadsheet...
...as a result of the updated, official Census data, SOUTH DAKOTA now takes the TOP SPOT in cumulative #COVID19 cases per capita.

NORTH Dakota now ranks second, and RHODE ISLAND drops back to third, at least for the moment.
Read 7 tweets

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