on Apr 16, as Science Table proclaimed doom, Ontario govt adopted annoying but irrelevant outdoor rules. To universal condemnation by Ontario media and COVID establishment for being inadequate and irrelevant. @fordnanation was right not to over-react to SciTable doomcasting. 
2/ as on previous occasions, Ontario Science Table's projection was wildly wrong. In only 2 weeks, actuals are at 50% of levels predicted under the draconian measures not adopted and 25% of predictions under "weak" (not exactly) measures that @fordnation continued.
3/ although cases are a fraction of Science Table predictions, hospitalizations and ICU remain high (in Ontario terms). While SciTable like to point to some prior forecasts of high ICU levels, such forecasts were tied to forecasts with MUCH higher case numbers than experienced
4/ on Feb 25, SciTable projected case range from slow decline to incipiebt 3rd wave. Unusually, actuals fit one of their scenarios (medium). They predicted reduced ICU occupancy, presumably reflecting case decline in previous 8 weeks. This didn't happen.
5/ ICU occupancy remained stubbornly high in late Feb/Mar, defying SciTable predictions of decline. Rather than SciTable giving prescient advice to Ontario govt on ICUs, their advice was diametrically wrong on ICU occupancy at given case rates.
6/ what appears to have been happening was that 2nd/3rd wave was less lethal (deaths went down), but, perhaps as a result of lower lethality, caused longer and greater ICU occupancy per case than contemplated in SciTable models.
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