Thread by @lxeagle17

You get the Hispanic reversion people have been discussing in this simulation, but a map like this really shows how even slight slippage with the white vote electorally dooms Democrats because of the racial balance of the United States and the electoral college.

https://twitter.com/bot_2024/status/1389988575597326336

That's not something anyone likes to hear, but the reality is that if the Democrats want a majority coalition in the near future, they probably need to continue making some serious gains with the educated white vote, especially if Hispanic margins continue to shrink.

The reality, as @Nate_Cohn mentioned, is that the diversification of the United States hasn't necessarily resulted in the overwhelmingly pro-Democratic electorate everyone thought it'd give. But their small gains with the white vote have outsized effects.

https://twitter.com/Nate_Cohn/status/1389595900381523974?s=20

Basically, if you gain your margins back with Hispanics but you slip with educated whites, you can unfortunately say goodbye to Texas, Georgia, North Carolina, and Arizona, and likely Wisconsin for the near future. That's a problem the party would probably like to avoid.