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Ziad 😷 Fazel Profile picture
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6 May, 8 tweets, 10 min read
Premier Kenney imposed #COVID19AB restrictions without any exit criteria.

4.4m Albertans aren't going to do this again without a clear "Are we there yet?"

Let's meet or beat last summer:
• We did it before
• We have vaccines to help us now
• Summer-Summer comparison is fair
I propose this clear, balanced scorecard.
• Mix of leading & lagging indicators.
• Existing, official data sources.
• Measures of success or trouble we already know
• Simple to update or replicate

#LastSummer #BalancedScorecard #COVID19AB
I propose targets from 1 July 2020 (Canada Day).
• We were out of lockdown
• We thought we had #COVID19 under control then
• Symbolic date for all 🇨🇦 (like 4th of July 🇺🇸)
• Achievable again, especially with vaccines

Specific, Measurable, Actionable, Realistic, Timed
#SMART
Where is "Are we there yet?" for Alberta's current restrictions?

What truly would be:
• "One last time"
• using the help from vaccinations
• low risk of 4th Wave or Miserable Plateau
• near the end of the tunnel
• and back to life more like normal?

@threadreaderapp unroll
Need help from @GosiaGasperoPhD or @imgrund for an R(t) for 1 July 2020.

For current R(t), I will use alberta.ca/covid-19-alber…

For all other stats
alberta.ca/stats/covid-19…
Premier Kenney has already given a target R value of 0.8 before lifting restrictions, endorsed by our CMOH. So I'll go with that.

Great work as usual by @JWongGlobalNews
globalnews.ca/news/7507443/a…

and @Emily_Mertz
globalnews.ca/news/7521181/c…
Are we there yet? Meet Summer 2020 to lift #COVID19AB restrictions.

We did it before - despite all our anti-mask, personal irresponsibility, same MLAs - without vaccines.

Premier Kenney's habit of "benchmarking" to the worst (Ontario hospitals, Peru lockdowns) made us worst. Balanced scorecard of leading & lagging indicators comparingBenchmarking to the worst made us worst in Canada or US, mor
I know #ZeroCOVID is THE solution to #COVID19. New evidence proves that every day:
• Deaths
• Economic Recovery, and
• Civil Liberties.

I'm trying to establish the process of benchmarking AB to AB with a balanced scorecard, independent of FINAL goal.

thelancet.com/journals/lance…

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More from @ZiadFazel

Ziad 😷 Fazel Profile picture
17 Apr
Because #COVIDisAirborne + Canada's worst-governed provinces are now in a massive 3rd wave, I decided to upgrade from mask to N95-style respirator.

Just in time, @cbcmarketplace lab-tested 14 available respirators. 7 passed. I found 3 in Calgary stores.

cbc.ca/news/canada/ma…
I am sharing my buying experience, including links and prices, to help others. H/T @RajBhardwajMD for the Marketplace story.

The new Variants of Concern are much more transmissible (stickier) than the coronavirus we encountered last spring. We need better than the usual masks.
Demand >> supply for true N95 respirators for healthcare workers exposed to infected people, so @cbcmarketplace looked at respirators meeting Chinese KN95 & Korean KF94.

These are now available because #ZeroCOVID countries no longer need as many.

blogs.cdc.gov/niosh-science-…
Read 13 tweets
Ziad 😷 Fazel Profile picture
18 Dec 20
Thread: Doubts & Questions about Preparedness of @AHS_media to safely distribute COVID-19 vaccinations.

An open letter to Deputy Minister Paul Wynnyk
cc: MGen Dany Fortin @GovCanHealth
@shandro @PattyHajdu @HarjitSajjan

@RachelNotley @Dave_Khan
My doubts began right away, when I saw pallets stacked on their sides inside the walk-in freezer.

But my concerns are not just limited to violations of Alberta's Occupational Health & Safety Code, meant to protect workers, and the risk of damaging vials.

For another example, why is this Ultracold Freezer so warm that the Manager, Immunization Business, a Registered Nurse, is able to touch it with her bare hand?

It is not below -70ºC as required for the Pfizer vaccine. How can DM Wynnyk claim Alberta is prepared without this? ImageImage
Read 29 tweets
Ziad 😷 Fazel Profile picture
2 Nov 20
Thread.

Last week I decided to dig into the life-threatening Precondition & Excuses from Alberta Health to resist enabling the National COVID-19 Exposure Notification App.

@Dave_Khan @DShepYEG @shandro @jkenney @RachelNotley ImageImage
The Precondition and Excuses became clear enough last week to analyze and examine critically against the facts.

@Jantafrench @jasonfherring @ctvedmonton @PattyHajdu @JustinTrudeau ImageImage
Frustrated with the lack of answers, or evasive answers from provincial elected officials, municipal officials and provincial media have been asking @CMOH_Alberta.

@iceTyyc @nenshi @CBCFletch @Adam_Toy ImageImage
Read 77 tweets
Ziad 😷 Fazel Profile picture
22 Apr 20
Thread: Alberta Health's procedural masks.

@AHS_media: "These masks are all safe, certified and meet ATSM Level 1 filtration requirements."

Longtime supplier PRI•MED follows ASTM F2100-11 (2011).

New supplier Vanch follows YY/T 0969-2013.

@Arfarfarf8 @mchatenay @Dave_Khan
There are key differences between the North American and Chinese standards.

ASTM Level 1 requires both Bacterial (3.0 µm) & Particle (0.1 µm) Filtering Efficiency ≥ 95%.

YY/T is silent on anything smaller than 3.0 µm.

Coronavirus average 0.125 µm.

smartairfilters.com/en/blog/compar…
Depending on the English translation, YY/T 0969-2013 requires the nose piece to be "pliable" or "plastic".

Unfortunately, Vanch took that to mean a non-pliable plastic strip in some batches, and a thin twist tie in others.

Read 9 tweets
Ziad 😷 Fazel Profile picture
28 Jul 19
@gccarra @DaleCalkins @maxfawcett @DruhFarrell Here's 1 of my questions. The proposal pretends there is a 50/50 split of the capital requirements, but only includes $2m of flood mitigation in the $550m. It is as if the building will be floating in mid-air without regard to land value or location costs. @fieldofschemes
@gccarra @DaleCalkins @maxfawcett @DruhFarrell @fieldofschemes But proposed location sits in provincially-regulated flood zone, with 72-93% chance of flooding at least once in next 25 yrs, which means higher flood mitigation costs & insurance costs. City received estimates for these. Why were they not disclosed? What are they? @trevortombe
@gccarra @DaleCalkins @maxfawcett @DruhFarrell @fieldofschemes @trevortombe From my reading, the Land Use Bylaw does not allow for a basement or below-ground bowl for proposed arena. The first floor must be min 0.3m above street, no electrical or mech equipment below, +sewer backup protection. No way this will cost $2m. Where will money come from?
Read 6 tweets

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