According to Hendry and Richard (1982), a final acceptable model should
satisfy several criteria (adapted slightly here). The model should:
● be logically plausible
● be consistent with underlying financial theory, including satisfying any
relevant parameter restrictions
●have regressors that are uncorrelated with the error term
● have parameter estimates that are stable over the entire sample
have residuals that are white noise (i.e. completely random and exhibiting no patterns)
● be capable of explaining the results of all competing models and more.
cass.city.ac.uk/__data/assets/…
ECONOMETRIC METHODOLOGY BY PROFESSOR HENDRY
Oxford bulletin of economics and statistics,48,3 1986.

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More from @SAH16928046

10 May
What is the Gaussian copula and how to use it to derive the joint probability of the default of two assets?
This is an interesting question, but I would like to discuss its implications and how this kind of model added fuel to the global financial crisis fire back in 2007.
Risk Management is like a Greek Tragedy, where actors laugh to express their sorrow. Hence, here what mimics laughter is the Normal (Gaussian) PDF and its assumptions.
Read 15 tweets
8 May
When we talk of IR #Interest #Rate #Risks we must understand the markets in which this product operates, and the fundamental pricing, trading, and hedging dynamics of this financial #derivative asset class.
Banks normally use IR Derivatives and Structured Products for on and/or off-balance-sheet ALM Asset Liability Management and Immunization, Bond Risk Hedging, NII Risk Hedging, Arbitrage Opportunity Exploration using the treasury based fixed income desks, Rate Speculation, etc.
Of course, we have other financial market participants such as Pension Funds, Hedge Funds, Insurance Companies, and several other specialized asset management firms, that have strategies and asset allocation models, which use IR derivative for both Macro and Micro-hedging.
Read 26 tweets
19 Apr
What factors are considered by banks when assessing credit risk to customers?
Credit Risk Management is part of IRA - Integrated Risk Assessment that is carried out by banks to measure transaction and obligor default risks.
The credit risk assessment goes through stages =>
Front Office (RMs at the branches and/or Head Office prepare the credit application/ Clp for further processing).
Middle Office (Financial Risk Management Analysis for checking the Basel Pillar 1/2 Compliance Requirements, to check the BRMC - Board Risk Management Approved and Assigned Risk Appetite Limits etc.)
Read 22 tweets
19 Apr
What is better for working in the banking and financial services industry, a Master’s in #Economics or #Finance?
@CFAinstitute @LSEEcon @LBS
A very broad question!

How would you define Finance Roles across FI and Non -Fi Settings?
Finance work is required both within and outside the financial services industry. I can share my collective understanding of roles(that might require Economics or Finance related skillsets) based on my experiences, that I have collected on my CV.
Read 14 tweets
10 Apr
Does #risk management involve a lot of maths?
Yes and No!

It's a well-rounded discipline.
For #Actuarial, Insurance, Financial Engineering, Quantitative Finance and Investment Management, Mathematical Trading, and Financial Risk Assignments, you might require a lot of Maths and Statistics.

Is like asking whether we need milk and sugar for making ice cream ;)
Read 9 tweets
8 Apr
Highlights "Winsemius in Singapore's Economic History" via @YouTube
We must remember what Lee Kuan Yew used to say about the prospects of political system democracy in underdeveloped societies.
This American or UK Style one man one vote political system has no cultural, political, societal, economic, or dialectical antecedents in several of the Asian, Latin American or African Countries.
Read 4 tweets

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