There's now a kind of briefing war going on between Reed and Tory HQ as to who knew what. @rupertevelyn from ITV has been following it all: itv.com/news/2021-05-0…
Tory HQ knew for *at least a week*
But that's not the strangest thing... the *reaction* is weird. Because this ought to be simple
There are two issues here, and you have to separate them
The rule is clear: Reed did not comply with the rules, cannot legitimately stand, and was disbarred. Done. Clear cut
Whether the rule is *right* or *adequate* or too harsh or not harsh enough is fair enough to debate - but that is a separate issue
Sure, have that debate, but that will not, cannot, and should not save Reed
It was also... checks notes... the Tory-Lib Dem Government of David Cameron who introduced PCCs and set up the rules for them
For the Tory Party to then have a problem with said rules is some chutzpah
One of the supposed roles of political parties in mature democracies is to be able to do this sort of candidate vetting. It's perhaps symptomatic of how British party politics has fallen that the Tories are incapable even of this
But to conclude, the outcome here is as clear as the light of day: Reed broke the rules, is disbarred. That's done.
/ends
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Twitter is full of wrong takes on Labour's Hartlepool loss
Was Labour too left/not left enough? 🤷♂️
Would Corbyn have done better than Starmer? 🤷♂️
Should Labour have been more/less pro-Brexit? 🤷♂️
Wrong candidate, chosen the wrong way? 🤷♂️
And it needs to take account of the changes in voter behaviour documented by @robfordmancs in Brexitland
It also ought to look at what is happening elsewhere in Europe (sorry, but despite Brexit, what's happening in Britain reminds me of so much from European politics!)
It's like Labour is the SPD 🇩🇪 or PS 🇫🇷
And the Tories Fidesz 🇭🇺 or PiS 🇵🇱
The critique from plenty of people in 🇪🇺 and 🇬🇧 has been 🇪🇺 got its vaccines strategy *wrong*
So if it were wrong, what should it have done better?
First BioNTech/Pfizer orders and approval
🇬🇧 approved 3 weeks before 🇪🇺, and received a solid early order (shipped from Puurs 🇧🇪)
🇬🇧 signed contract with Pfizer/BioNTech 4 months before 🇪🇺, but EIB and 🇩🇪 provided funding, 🇬🇧 govt did not
BioNTech has also stated that more public funding would have not helped it scale up faster
Also looking forward, with Marburg 🇩🇪, Frankfurt 🇩🇪 due on stream in a couple of months, and lipids from Hanau 🇩🇪 (Evonik) to complete the 🇪🇺-based supply chain, this looks solid now
tl;dr: the worst of 🇪🇺's supply woes are behind it now...
1/11
22-29 January was really the low point
22 Jan: AZ scaled back its delivery forecast to the EU for Q1 from 100m to 31m
29 Jan: von der Leyen caused all the controversy by including reference to Art 16 NI Protocol in the transparency mechanism
2/11
But that transparency mechanism was when it all began to turn. For it allowed the EU to explain what vaccines were going where - and also highlight how much of UK's early vaccine success was based on exports from the EU
On 28 February this NY Times piece by @SharonLNYT:
"The initial 3.9 million [J&J] doses were manufactured at its factory in the Netherlands; officials have said the rest of the doses were expected to come from its Baltimore plant." (that's Emergent)
So now the European Commission *is* taking AstraZeneca to court, I presume all the EU-sceptics who said the Commission will never dare will eat their words?