I'm "most common masks do very little for an aerosolized virus one-two-thousands the size of the pores" and "there really are trade-offs of health and communication" and "harassing people over this seems crazy".
I'm not "anti-vaxx".
I'm "I'd like to know the long term risks both for my person and also existential risks such as leaked evolutionary pressure that might make this thing go 'Spanish flu' for real this time" and "give me a cost-benefit analysis first" and "kids? Really?!"
I'm not "anti-science".
I'm "opposed to government institutions with substantial conflicts of interest using 'science' as an excuse for ramming their interests down people's throats".
I'm not "anti-lockdown".
I'm "anti-lockdown in all but a tiny minority of cases because historically it never worked and it destroys people's abilities to make a living and isn't living what we're trying to preserve, anyhow?"
I'm not "right wing" for thinking public displays of child sexuality might not be healthy for children.
I'm not "left wing" for thinking corporations have an excess of power. Intellectual property rights are centralizing power to the point that individual rights are hemmed in.
And 2 + 2 = 4.
That's the whole sweet tweet.
I'm not a "crazy conspiracy theorist" for thinking through hypotheticals regarding obscured information that has great consequences on the world.
But if you think so, you might actually have totalitarian tendencies.
I'm not a racist for noticing that most violent crime in America is committed by black men. I don't want for any of them to grow up fatherless and poor. I'm pretty certain 'fatherless' and 'poverty' are variables that matter.
I'm not a conservative for thinking minimum wage doesn't solve poverty.
I'm not a liberal for thinking most state regulation of victimless crimes fails to get at the root(s) of the problem(s).
I'm not transphobic for thinking people born as men have a competition-destroying advantage if allowed to compete with women, and that destroys the joy of sporting.
But if you want to keep tabs on me, and report all this through your hierarchy---because "labels"---in return for pats on the head, you might actually be a Nazi. Or just a pathetic zombie of some similar form.
But if you need all these labels, or accept being confined by a tribe with whose leaders you have asymmetric parasocial relationships, that's not a reflection on me.
It's a prison you build for yourself.
And it hurts for me to watch it.
Now, if you haven't already, go back to the top and read the article. Please. It has deep historical importance. Understand what it means to point to a deer and call it a horse. This is the sign of the existential crisis.
There is a strangely organized rumor going around that the AMA passed a resolution recognizing the efficacy of HCQ and calling on a reversal of its suppression. Unfortunately, that resolution was not passed, but I suggest the story is more interesting than that...
When you think about it, the resolution never had a chance of passing. Intuitively, we all know this. The AMA and Pharma are far too intertwined, and further with the government. Suggesting that the resolution could pass would be to suggest there was no opposition to begin with.
But here is the interesting part: Almost nobody, save for the few of us doing broad levels of research on the topic, knew to step in and correct the mistake. What does that mean?
As a consistent third party voter living in a state that wasn't going to swing a close election, I don't vote R or D.
But this is the time to throw weight behind an investigation into the possibility of a stolen election. We must investigate the statistical evidence.
So, let us investigate the statistical evidence broadly and as a community. Carefully and honestly. Benford's law is a clever technique, but there is an underlying reason behind it that should be understood to best apply the fundamental test.
The reason behind it is that population pools grow exponentially, so they move through orders of magnitude at an invariant rate. If we take the logarithm, the results are then linear. Discarding the integer parts, the fraction parts should form a uniform distribution.
1. This thread is a bit of comic relief from the pandemic.
2. Somewhere, out in the Ocean, a beautiful and thriving civilization spans the island of Pandemos. Larger in land size than Australia, you might miss it on a map, er, due to distortions in scale caused by Mercator projection.
3. The lush and resourceful Pandemos has allowed for the Pandemosians to engineer an amazing modern society.
1. This is a thread compiling the most interesting threads of the 2020 pandemic. If you've seen a thread or even a single epic tweet that you think belongs, share it and I'll consider adding it.
2. The #LancetGate may get a few mentions along the way.
How did anyone who handle the Surgisphere study prior to publication think it would look real?
1. This thread is about a statistical phenomenon called a Simpson's paradox and how it relates to the #Hydroxychloroquine research that gets so hotly debated.
A more complete version of this analysis will appear in my next book #TheChloroquineWars.
2. If you are unfamiliar with Simpson's paradoxes, you can read up on the basics here. However, the example I present may well teach the concept. en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Simpson%2…
3. Consider three hospitals with different treatment policies. Perhaps the standard of care (SoC) is uniform, for the sake of simplicity, but the hydroxychloroquine (HCQ) treatment policies are different.