Thread.
#WhatsApp myths about #India's slow sputtering #Covid #Vaccination program. Let's bust them one by one.
1. Vaxx shortages are because of our ambitious aim to make it available to the 18-44 age group as well (Phase3)
A. Hang on. why then are the total No. of doses falling
2. It's all those bloody lefty anti-Modi intellectuals who criticised Covaxin and generated all those negative vibrations. That led to #VaxxHesitancy.
A. Well firstly, Covaxin was approved on Jan 3 w/o a shred of data on efficacy. science.thewire.in/health/dcgi-cd…
Secondly, similar widespread criticism of AZ trials did not affect Britain's rollout of the vaccine, did it. The difference was Britain had a truly independent regulator.
3. One WhatsApp post attributed to a fellow who had gone to IIT (wow, I'm genuflecting already!!) suggested that the early vaccine hesitancy led to "several million doses" being wasted. really?
A. What about the 65 million doses that were flown out of India? Trumpeted as #VaccineMaitri to great fanfare 🥁🎺to provide photo-ops for PM and Health Minister.
End of rant. This is not against India's efforts to deal with the #SecondWave of #coronavirus. This is a rant against the crude scurrilous attempts by the propaganda cell of the BJP to distance Modi by making it everybody's fault but his.
Meanwhile here are the facts:
As of 11 May 2021, India has given 175.2 Million doses, inc. 3 million to those under 44 (phase3).
38.5 million Indians have had 2 doses.
#vaccination offers the only way out in the med -long term.
But India did not use its lockdowns well.

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More from @GorwayGlobal

11 May
When I click the link in this tweet by India's Minisiter of State for Finance and Corporate affairs (pic 1) I get a 504 error (pic 2)
Clearly the Govt of India has created a whole fake newspaper website called The DailyGuardian.com to mirror Britain's @guardian
This is so clearly because @guardian published many news stories critical of the Indian Govt. such as this one: theguardian.com/world/commenti…
In case you cant see the full article here it is: in screen shots:
Read 6 tweets
10 May
I do not see how this can be correct. bear with me and follow my logic. If the GST on vaccine is reduced to Zero% then the Vaxx manufacturer can reclaim ALL of the Input GST that he paid to his suppliers. Let me give an example of how GST works.
Assume GST is 10%. VAXX Manufacturer (VM) buys in 50 worth of supplies (tax = 5) so he pays his supplier 55 gross.
he makes and sells vaccine for 100 (GST = 10) so gross price charged to end-user is 110.
No he pays to Tax Collector: Output GST of 10 offset by Input GST of 5 = 5
Now if GST on Vaxx is reduced to 0 then:
his input GST stays the same = 55 but the price he charges for his vaccine is now 100 +0 = 100. so his output GST is NIL. So he pays to tax collector zero offset by input GST of 5 = -5. i.e. he claims a refund of 5.
Read 5 tweets
8 May
Imagine India was not a democracy. There was an Emperor in New Delhi who addressed his people once a month, strutted around the world before Covid, gave pep-talk littered with religious references at times of crisis, parleyed with kings and other world leaders; Imagine further..
That the Emperor appointed a Council of Ministers to implement his ideas and that the deal was that they credited him, the Emperor with successes, and took the blame for failures. Imagine also that the Emperor had hired an army of courtiers whose job it was to sing his praises
Imagine that these courtiers did not have to attend the durbar but instead would sit in airconditioned studios from where their Songs of Praise would be carried into peoples' homes. Imagine also that there as a peoples assembly at which the Emperor deigned periodically to attend
Read 8 tweets
8 May
The daily new cases count is still above 4 lakhs, at 401,343 yesterday 7 May.
Meanwhile, the vaccination drive sputters on fitfully. It seems to bear an inverse relationship to the spread of the virus.
The Ministry of Health, @MoHFW, seems more concerned with defending the Govt agaibnst criticism. Every day it boasts about how many doses of vaccine it has given to the states "free of cost" See this from today's Press Release.
Read 4 tweets
8 May
Genome sequencing and Variants of Concern in India.
it appears to me that INSACOG - the Indian SARS-CoV-2 Genomic Consortium - has a poor understanding of Data. In their report attached here:
dbtindia.gov.in/sites/default/… there is a table that I find very puzzling.
But look at this table - it is on page 4 and is dated 5 May 2021. Focus for a moment on the total. It seems to be purely numerator data. I dont get a sense of how many samples in total were looked at.
Summarising just the country-wide picture I conclude that. 05 the 3900 samples in which genome sequencing showed a Variant of Concern (VoC) or a variant of Interest (VoI) the breakdown is as follows:
B1.617 - 1,850 ("Indian variant")
B1.117 -1,922 ("UK variant")
B.1.351 - 1,27
Read 10 tweets
6 May
A short thread
In his interview with @manojladwa, (see link), India's Exernal Affairs Minister, @DrSJaishankar, when asked about the ongoing #SecondCOVIDWave crisis in India, acknowledged that it was a grave problem almost an "existential crisis". But then he tried..
to soften the impact on his NRI audience, he compared what India is going through to the second wave in Britain in 2020 late summer and autumn when the health services were swamped, "you've been through something similar, that is what India is going thru now"
This is not untrue, but grossly misleading. Yes Britain, at the height of the epidemic, was reporting 50k cases a day and 1,750 deaths. See chart 1. In population terms britain had far more cases and deaths (Chart 2) ImageImage
Read 9 tweets

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