Bull markets don't die of old age; they are murdered by errors. What kills them are the policy mistakes made by Central Bankers, elected officials + Politicians of all kinds.
One person's "taking away the punchbowl" is another person's murder weapon...
And a 30% pullback in individual names after a 50-100% run up feels like normal volatility to me...
"Second-level thinking is back. With the benefit of hindsight, investors should have been paying attention to the expectations that were baked into some of these stocks."
-Strengthens Biden stimulus proposals
-Embarrasses those yelling about inflation
-Big increase in wages = more hiring
-"All models are wrong, but some are useful"
-BLS models are especially noisy
-NFP = overrated economic indicator
-"Nobody know anything"
I would add that assembling this data during lockdown/pandemic is exceedingly difficult. Lots of variables errors introduced into April.
May/June/July reports now hold potential for huge upside surprise
The key point here: There are always examples of silly valuations, especially among penny stocks, a hotbed of fraud, self-dealing, manipulation and nonsense.
My 2015 grilled cheese truck lesson? Be wary of drawing broad market conclusions from illiquid microcap scamcos