Eric Feigl-Ding Profile picture
May 13, 2021 14 tweets 10 min read Read on X
📍My god… the upgraded warning #B16172 variant (magenta) is surging so fast. Epidemiologists now estimate it is 60% faster than even #B117 UK/Kent variant, which is already 50% faster. If true, it could make it fastest transmission one to be found worldwide. Thread 🧵. #COVID19 Image
2) #B1672 has become quite dominant in India 🇮🇳 sequenced samples in @GISAID data. And it is projected to take over further by June. Figure from @TWenseleers.

Some say it could be due to sampling, but Tom doesn’t think so because #B16171 wouldn’t be selectively withheld. Image
3) @TWenseleers used his methods from earlier paper to estimate the new #B16172 transmission being 60% fast than the U.K. Kent #B117 variant.
4) the Brazilian #P1 variant m, despite being 2x faster than original strain, would be actually slower than the #B16172 if put into head to heads transmission competition.
5) And now #B16172 is surging in the UK too. Someone poke Boris Johnson to wake up.
6) the new UK data on #B16172 surge from @sangerinstitute is reliable because it excludes travel sequenced cases and excludes screening.

UK data even suggested #B16172 could even by 2x faster (not just 60% faster from India 🇮🇳 data above) than the #B117!! Wow. 👀
7) The World Health Organization said that the coronavirus variant first identified in India last year is being classified as a variant of global concern, with some preliminary studies showing that it spreads more easily

8) Its surging across UK. #B16172 is the new variant that we faced with in addition to #P1.
9) #B1617 lineages are surging worldwide.

Nobody is safe until we are all vaccinate.
10) surging even in wealthy Singapore
11) To be clear, we think the #B16172 Indian VOC may be ~2.6x as fast as original strain, and 60% faster than #B117 from UK/Kent. #P1 is thought to be 2-2.5, but we haven’t seen P1 and B16172 sufficiently together in same place yet in a head to head comparison to know for sure.
12) yes the US has more vaccines than India. But we are seeing #B16172 rise even with high vaccinations in the UK. And again, not all vaxxed.

also THINK OF THE KIDS… tens of millions of kids aren’t vaccinated or even eligible yet… cough… #LongCovid @LongCovidKids… cough.
13) India variant #B16172 in the UK. Anything out of the ordinary? No? Move along.

(Ht @Dr_D_Robertson ) Image
14) Bad news from UK 🇬🇧 SAGE govt report on the #B16172. It’s blazing fast. https://t.co/m36AINf9oO

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More from @DrEricDing

Feb 14
⚠️WORST FLU SEASON ever since 2002-2003 when we began to track flu (red, first graph). Worst hit this year are children ages 0-4 and 5-17. ▶️We also have significantly LOWER flu vaccine uptake this year, one of the lowest flu vaccine coverages (red 3rd graph). Indisputable facts. Image
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2) I don't need to tell you that certain US states have vastly lower vaccination rates than others. See map (lighter green, less flu vaccination coverage), and which have higher (darker green)...

If you want to see details and demographics on which state has the LOWEST flu vaccine coverage rates... the data is here.
cdc.gov/fluvaxview/das…Image
3) It’s not just the flu that is going around… Gaines County, TX, where the epicenter of the measles outbreak is, has one of the lowest measles vaccination rates too.
Read 7 tweets
Feb 11
INFLUENZA REACHES EPIDEMIC THRESHOLD in New York—Influenza A (Unknown variety) positivity soars (yellow), while hospitalizations stand higher than past 3 years. The rise of unknown subtyping Flu A has led NY to issue new alert to subtype all Flu A immediately for bird flu. Image
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2) This was the reason for the urgency in NY issuing an alert to subtype all hospitalized cases for bird flu if Flu A. See thread below 👇
3) the testing memo seems very aggressive for bird flu.
Read 7 tweets
Feb 10
BREAKING—22 States sue to block Trump WH cuts to NIH research grants. Image
2) Attorneys general representing 22 states sued the Trump administration on Monday, asking a federal judge to temporarily block a major policy change by the National Institutes of Health that would substantially limit payments for research overhead

statnews.com/2025/02/10/nih…
3) In the lawsuit, filed in U.S. District Court for the District of MA, the AGs argued that NIH’s abrupt decision to set a 15% cap on payments for indirect costs would cause major harm to institution budgets, jeopardizing basic operations and medical research.
Read 5 tweets
Feb 8
💣TORPEDOING MEDICAL RESEARCH—NIH indirect grant funding just got slashed by Trump to 15%. What does this mean for you? Colleges and universities won’t be able to support students, tuition will increase, especially graduate students & researchers who find cures/preventions for cancer, diabetes, heart disease, Alzheimer’s and more. This will not only raise tuition and hurt pipeline of future scientists/doctors, but COMPLETELY DECIMATE MEDICAL & PUBLIC HEALTH RESEARCH. It will also give more power to big pharma to manipulate research agendas and buy out ideas that should remain in the public domain. Ie THE RICH BIOTECH TYCOONS (eg Vivek Ramaswamy) WILL GET RICHER. The lay public will someday only see future drug/tech prices soar as biotech and big pharma control more science and make more money.

Also, Trump’s NIH posted this graphic - but it ignores that most public universities also heavily rely on indirect to subsidize tuition, and train next generation of scientists and medical doctors doing research. (Public colleges can’t compete with wealthier schools who do have endowments, and hence will fall further behind). Public colleges that do medical research will literally fall apart without this mechanism.Image
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2) People don’t seem to get 2 things:

📌Indirect funds college administration and facilities and support services. Academic advising, building operations, new labs and classrooms for students— where does that money come from? If not indirect grants, then it’ll have to come more from ⬆️student tuition.
3) Most universities don’t have billion+ endowments. Most have almost none — so when you slash NIH indirect grant funding to just 15%… it hurts small schools and public colleges the most—smaller places might even go under. Rich school survive, public schools do not.
Read 4 tweets
Feb 7
😷Flu is so bad right now that schools across the country are closing. Schools around the U.S. are closing due to surges of flu which are sickening students and staff.

📌At least 41 states are currently reporting "very high" or "high" influenza-like illness activity Image
2) As the 2024–2025 flu season rages on with no peak yet in sight, some school systems are overwhelmed with sick students and staff.

Schools and even entire school districts are temporarily closing in Texas, Ohio, Georgia, Tennessee and other states.

today.com/health/cold-fl…
3) this is promoting now nationwide testing of hospitalized flu cases for Flu A and bird flu in humans!
Read 7 tweets
Feb 7
BAM—called it again—there is clear proof of cat-human household transmission of bird flu. CDC scientists posted the data—but suddenly deleted soon afterwards. CDC is being blatantly muzzled. Image
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2) C.D.C. Posts, Then Deletes, Data on Bird Flu Spread Between Cats and People

The data, which appeared fleetingly online on Wednesday, confirmed transmission in two households. Scientists called on the agency to release the full report.

Gift 🎁 link

nytimes.com/2025/02/06/hea…
3) I’ve been reading the tea leaves 🍃 lately— it’s quite clear they know there is household transmission of bird flu. Hence the final alert issued by CDC before Trump took over was to get national testing of Flu A to see if bird flu in hospitals nationwide. See important 🧵
Read 6 tweets

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