1/ While the dog coins, fancy launch videos and Tiktok memers are finding new and creative ways to bankrupt retails...
Crypto's MOST used projects have been growing at an exponential pace.
2/ Some of the DeFi protocols now generate more fees in a day than #Bitcoin - an almost trillion dollar asset.
These fees are paid by genuine users - NOT staking rewards paid to maintain empty blocks.
3/ The reason behind this growth: in April 2021, we saw a 100x increase in trading volume on decentralized exchanges, versus just 1 year ago.
Even compared to DeFi summer peaks, April 2021 still saw more than 2x the trading volume (!)
4/ In early 2020, seeing DeFi cross $1B in total value locked seemed unfathomable.
Today, more than $80B worth of assets are put down as collateral in DeFi protocols - that's a 80x growth within 1 year.
5/ Those who invest billions in crypto as their full time job recognize DeFi as the vertical with the largest addressable market.
With all the hype around digital art in Q1 you may have thought most of the private funding went to funding NFTs.
You'd be wrong...
6/ Interesting, despite being the most used and fastest growing vertical in crypto, DeFi token prices have lagged the market, particularly $ETH.
7/ Few potential reasons:
- High gas fees drove incremental demand to other chains (see Pancakeswap trading volume vs. Uniswap v2 below)
- New capital were deployed into meme coins
- $ETH rally sucking up all the liquidity as people sell DeFi for $ETH
8/ With L1 chains reaching ludicrous valuations relative to the economic activity generated on them (e.g. fees), DeFi tokens are beginning to look dirt cheap on a relative basis.
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1/ @compoundfinance is the only lending protocol discussed without immediate plans for token fee capture, which leaves room for a value unlock event.
$COMP is underpricing its annualized interest by a factor of 10x relative to $AAVE!
2/ Sure, @compoundfinance is the only protocol with liquidity mining, so volumes are incentivized.
But...
Even if we assume 90% of the volumes will go poof without LM (aggressive assumption), it is still cheaper than its main competitor on a per dollar volume basis.
2/ Later in 2018, I was connected with @SpartanBlack_1 when he was just setting up @TheSpartanGroup's first fund, and it marked my full time transition to crypto.
🚨 @RayDalio finally releases the Daily Observation on Bitcoin.
Here's your about what the largest hedge fund in the world thinks about $BTC.
1/ First - what you came here for, the investment view.
RD likens Bitcoin to a long-duration option - the type where you wouldn't mind losing ~80% of your principal. Scenario analysis suggests 160% is conservative upside pending a few things.
That's a good start!
2/ Is Bridgwater invested?
Nope, but there is a alt-cash fund being worked on that offers alternative storeholds of wealth as part of BW's "cash is trash" outlook.