π£β οΈπ¨ππ₯ HEADS UP! The fate of the #ACA & healthcare coverage for 30 million people may be decided this Monday: acasignups.net/21/05/13/headsβ¦
AS A REMINDER, there's basically 4 ways this could go:
1. SCOTUS throws out the case for being stupid or because the plaintiffs have no standing.
This is what SHOULD happen.
1. SCOTUS throws out the case for being stupid or because the plaintiffs have no standing.
This is what SHOULD happen.
2. SCOTUS strikes down the individual mandate itself only, severing it from the rest of the law.
This is the most likely scenario IMO. It would be a bit irritating but would basically amount to the status quo.
This is the most likely scenario IMO. It would be a bit irritating but would basically amount to the status quo.
3. SCOTUS strikes down the mandate *and* the ACA provisions "directly related" to it...but leaves everything else.
This would leave a lot of important parts of the ACA in place (Medicaid expansion, subsidies, etc)...but would WIPE OUT PRE-EXISTING CONDITION PROTECTIONS.
This would leave a lot of important parts of the ACA in place (Medicaid expansion, subsidies, etc)...but would WIPE OUT PRE-EXISTING CONDITION PROTECTIONS.
This would be horrible for ~130M w/pre-existing conditions...but would also make for a logistical mess. How do you calculate subsidies based on the "benchmark plan" when there IS NO "benchmark plan"? (Not to mention, insurers could go back to denying coverage altogether anyway).
4. SCOTUS strikes down the Entire. Patient. Protection. And. Affordable. Care. Act. (or virtually all of it).
THE NIGHTMARE SCENARIO.
THE NIGHTMARE SCENARIO.
As a reminder, here's just a sampling of what would happen if SCOTUS strikes down the entire/nearly the entire law: 
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