Stan Druckenmiller gave the keynote speech at the USC Student Investment Fund annual meeting last week:

vimeo.com/548917378

A rare long form (1 hr) conversation where he touched on a wide range of topics.
The first 20 minutes expands on the ideas he discussed in his op-ed in the WSJ this week titled “The Fed is Playing With Fire” where he expressed concern that the Fed was remaining accommodative for too long and risking an asset bubble.

wsj.com/articles/the-f…
Druckenmiller comments on the current craziness in financial markets:

“With #dogecoin which was started as a joke with a $60 billion dollar market cap and NFTs on everything you can spell out there, is there any doubt in anybody’s mind that we’re in a bubble?”
Druckenmiller on #commodities:

“The other way we’ve positioned ourselves for this inflationary outcome is we are long all sorts of commodities. We’ve been long #oil, we’ve been long #copper, we’ve been long grains. Pretty much if it moves, we’re long it in the commodity world.”
Druckenmiller on equities:

“We are long, but I will be very surprised if we don’t make the exit by the end of this year”

He uses both fundamental and technical analysis:

“I would never buy a stock unless the fundamentals were great and the chart was great”
Lessons from Soros:

“It’s not whether you’re right or you’re wrong, it’s how much money you make when you’re right and how much you lose when you’re wrong”
Position sizing when you have conviction:

Stan wanted to bet 100% of the fund on a long Mark short Pound trade, Soros said 200%

“He was not as good at predicting security prices to me but he always seemd to make a ton of money because he would size his positions accordingly”
On active vs passive management:

“Depends on who’s managing the money”

“Most investors will underperform the averages going forward as they have historically”

“There are investors that have historically outperformed the market by a lot and I think that will continue”
Druckenmiller has 1% of his net worth in #bitcoin

“I tried to buy $100 million of it last spring at 6800. I bought $20 million, it took me about 10 days and I said to hell with this, this is too illiquid”
A lot more wisdom from the legendary investor in the full interview:

vimeo.com/548917378

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